Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Preview
At 10:00 ET, the Boston Celtics (-114) will travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets (-106). The Celtics are 48-13 and currently lead the Eastern Conference, while the Nuggets are 42-20 and sit 3rd in the West.
Currently, Boston is favored by 1 point and the over/under line is set at 221.5. This non-conference matchup will be played at Ball Arena and can be seen on TNT.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Boston Celtics odds
Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Celtics and Nuggets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Nuggets have the leg up at 2-1. The Nuggets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 226 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-1-1.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Boston has an ATS record of 5-4-1 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 8-2 overall in these games.
- When looking at their past three matchups at home, Denver has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Nuggets have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Celtics have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-3-1.
Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Prediction
The Celtics are the heavy favorites today against the Nuggets (-1). This season, Boston has been favored in 58 of their 61 games, going 46-12 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have an ATS record of 27-28 and have gone 29-32 on the O/U.
In terms of their scoring differential as the favorite, the Celtics are +11.8 points per game. As for their average scoring differential as the favorite, it is +11.8 PPG.
Boston’s O/U record for the season is 29-32, and their last two games have gone under the posted totals. On average, their games have finished with 230.8 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 221.5.
Despite being favored by 8.5 points, the Celtics lost their last game to the Cavaliers by a score of 105-104. This dropped their overall record to 48-13, which is the best in the Eastern Conference.
This season, the Celtics have an ATS record of 29-29, including a 12-15 record on the road. However, they have won seven straight games straight-up on the road.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Celtics lead the NBA with an average of 16.3 made threes per game. Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 121 points per game. However, on the road, Boston is averaging 118.3 points per game (5th).
So far this season, the Celtics have outscored the NBA scoring average in 72.1% of their games. In terms of pace, Boston is 18th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting efficiency, the Celtics are 10th in field goal percentage at 48%. Inside the arc, they are 3rd in the NBA at 57% but are just 29th in two-point attempts.
So far this season, the Celtics defense has been performing well, ranking 4th in the NBA at 109.8 points allowed per contest. Most recently, the Celtics’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 105 points to the Cavaliers.
The Nuggets are 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 42-20. In the West, they are 24-14 and 5-5 against other teams in the Northwest Division.
As the underdog, Denver is 4-5 this season and 27-33 against the spread overall. On average, they have been outscored by -4.9 points per game as the underdog.
At home, the Nuggets have a straight-up record of 24-6 and are 14-15 ATS. Their scoring differential at home is +9.2 points per game, and they have lost two straight ATS at home.
In their last game, the Nuggets lost to the Suns by a score of 117-107. The O/U line for that game was 224, and Denver was favored by 8.5 points going into the game.
This season, Denver has played in games with higher O/U lines than 221.5 in 46 of their 62 games. On average, their games have finished with 224.8 points.
Overall, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 27-33, and they are 23-28 vs. the spread as the favorite. Today, they are 1-point underdogs against the Celtics.
At home this season, the Nuggets are averaging 118.1 points per game, which is 9th in the league. Overall, they are 16th in scoring at 114.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the NBA at 49%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 27th in made threes per game and 14th in three-point shooting percentage. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the league at 96.2 possessions per game.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 46.8% of their games. In terms of free throws, Denver is 29th in both attempts and makes.
On defense, the Nuggets come into the game ranked 7th in the league in points allowed at 110.4 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 109.3 points per contest (15th). In the terms of takeaways, Nuggets are causing 11.9 turnovers per game, ranking 5th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 11th in rejections, averaging 5.5 blocked shots each game.
Based on our analysis, we foresee the Celtics winning the game with a predicted score of 117-110.
Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Betting Tips
- Take the Celtics on the moneyline
- The Celtics should also cover at -1
- Projecting a combined 227 points, we like the over
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
Boston Celtics Injury Report
- Jaylen Brown – Pelvis – Questionable
- Neemias Queta – Right Knee – Out
