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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Betting Tips 3/5/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Betting Tips 3/5/2024

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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns 3/5/2024
  • We like the Suns on the moneyline (+325)
  • The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +9
  • Projecting a combined 225 points, we like the over

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Preview

At 10:00 ET, the Nuggets will host the Suns in a Western Conference matchup. Denver is currently on a 6-game win streak and is favored by 9 points (-422). Phoenix has lost two straight and is 6th in the West.

This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and can be seen on TNT. The over/under line is currently sitting at 224 points.

Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Phoenix Suns odds

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Head-to-Head and Key Stats

The Nuggets have gone a perfect 3-0 in their last three head to head matchups vs. the Suns. Going back to the last five head-to-head games between the Nuggets and Suns, the over/under record in these games is 3-2 with a combined average of 232 points per contest.

  • In their last three games away from home, the Suns have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 5-4-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 109 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Suns have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • The Nuggets have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Phoenix has lost their last two games and are currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 35-26. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place.

This season, the Suns have an average scoring differential of +2.6 points per game on the road. At home, their scoring differential is +2.7 PPG.

As the underdog, the Suns are 5-10 straight-up and 6-9 against the spread. Their ATS record as the underdog is 2-3.

In their most recent game, the Suns lost to the Thunder by a score of 118-110. The O/U line for that game was 232.5, and Phoenix was getting 4.5 points.

The Suns have an O/U record of 27-34-0 for the season, and the under has hit in their last seven games. This year, their games have averaged 231.5 points per game.

Against the spread, the Suns are 24-36 for the season and have failed to cover in three straight games. Today, they are 9-point underdogs.

When it comes to scoring, the Suns are 13th in the NBA with an average of 117.1 points per game. Interestingly, they have scored the same number of points at home and on the road this season. In terms of pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.7 possessions per game.

One area where the Suns have excelled this season is their field goal percentage. They are currently 4th in the NBA at 49%. In terms of three-point shooting, Phoenix is 10th in the league at 37% but just 22nd in three-pointers made per game.

Despite being 15th in assists, the Suns are 2nd in free throws made per game at 20.4. Overall, they are 5th in true shooting percentage. When it comes to offensive rebounds, Phoenix is 20th in the NBA.

At present, the Suns’ defense is ranked 16th, allowing 114.4 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Suns are forcing 14.2 per game, which is 27th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 4th in blocked shots at 6.1 per game.

In the Western Conference standings, the Nuggets are currently in 3rd place with a record of 42-19. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 24-13 and 18-6 in non-conference games.

Denver has won six straight games and is favored by 9 points in today’s matchup. This is the 5th straight game that they have been favored, and they have a record of 39-13 as the favorite this season.

In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the Lakers by a score of 124-114. They were also able to cover the spread, as they were favored by 1 point going into the game.

This season, Denver has an average scoring differential of +9.8 points per game at home. Against the spread at home, they are 14-14 compared to 13-18 on the road.

For the season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 22-38-1. Today’s line of 224 is just below their season average of 224.8 points per game.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are averaging 114.5 points per game this season, which is 16th in the NBA. However, they have been much better at home, where they are averaging 118.5 points per game.

Denver is known for their ability to score inside, as they are 2nd in the league in two-point field goals made. Overall, they are shooting 49% from the field, which is 5th in the NBA.

Despite their high field goal percentage, the Nuggets are just 27th in the league in three-point shooting, making just 36% of their attempts. They are also one of the worst teams in the NBA at getting to the free-throw line, averaging just 20.3 attempts per game.

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 26.2% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 110.3 points per game allowed. Opponents are hitting 52.5% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.1% of their three-point attempts.

Despite being 9 point underdogs, we predict the Suns to come out on top with a final score of 116-109.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Betting Tips

  • We like the Suns on the moneyline (+325)
  • The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +9
  • Projecting a combined 225 points, we like the over

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  • Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out

Phoenix Suns Injury Report

  • Jusuf Nurkic – Calf – Questionable
  • Devin Booker – Ankle – Out
  • Damion Lee – Knee – Out
  • Josh Okogie – Hip – Out
  • Nassir Little – Left Knee – Out

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