Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics Prediction & Betting Tips 5/12/2024

Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics Preview

At 4:10 PM from T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have an American League matchup between the Athletics and Mariners. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Athletics are 19-22, while the Mariners are above .500 at 21-19. Oakland is currently +200 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.

NSPCA is carrying Sunday’s TV coverage, and the Athletics are starting Alex Wood. As for the Mariners, they are sending Luis Castillo to the mound.

Check out BetCoco for Seattle Mariners – Oakland Athletics odds

Seattle Mariners Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Athletics are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• The Mariners, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
• In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mariners have a record of 4-6 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Athletics have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.

Oakland cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Athletics had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Athletics were at +192 on the money line.

Joey Estes only went five innings for the Athletics but gave up just one run and two hits. He finished the game with five strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Bryce Miller was tagged for two homers and six runs in six innings of work for the Mariners.

At the plate, the Athletics were led by JJ Bleday and Brent Rooker, who each had two RBIs. Bleday, Abraham Toro, and Max Schuemann each scored twice for Oakland’s offense.

Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics Prediction

With an overall record of 19-22, the Athletics are 3rd in the AL West, three games behind the Rangers for the division lead. So far, they have gone 4-5 in divisional matchups. Oakland is currently at .500 on their current road trip, having won two of three in their most recent series vs. the Twins.

As the road team today, the Athletics are 9-9 compared to 10-13 at home. This year, the Athletics have been really good as the underdog, putting up a mark of 15-21. When favored, the Athletics are 4-1 this year. Oakland’s overall series record is 6-5-1, and they are 1-1 so far in this series vs. the Mariners.

The Athletics have been a solid run line team this season, going 23-18 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 11-7 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 21-15 against the run line. Their average run differential is -0.7 runs per game, and they have a run differential of -0.8 runs per game on the road.

The Oakland Athletics have played to the over in five straight games and have a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 20-20, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 5-9, and 58.5% of their games have had higher lines than that. Only 7.3% of their games have had lower lines than 7.5 runs.

Alex Wood gets the start for the Athletics today as he faces off against the Mariners on the road. So far this season, he has made eight starts and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 5.30. Wood’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.74. Looking back at his last outing, Wood finished with a no-decision against the Rangers, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only gave up two hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Wood has allowed a total of five homers this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Athletics are 22nd in the league in scoring, averaging 4 runs per game. Although their team batting average is just 16th in the league, they have the 3rd most home runs in the league and have been good at avoiding strikeouts. Oakland’s top home run hitters are Shea Langeliers and Brent Rooker, who are both tied for 4th in the league with 9 homers.

Brent Rooker has been one of the hottest hitters in the league of late, going 15/34 (.441) with 4 homers over his last nine games. This has helped him move into the team lead with 25 RBIs, which is 8th best in the league. Abraham Toro has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/42 in his last nine games and 3rd on the team with a .293 batting average.

Seattle is 21-19 overall and trails the Rangers by just a half-game for the AL West lead. The Mariners are 5-3 against other teams in the AL West. So far, they are 12-9 at home compared to 9-10 on the road.

As the home favorite, the Mariners have gone 8-7 this year, and they are 12-10 overall as the favorite. Seattle is 6-5-1 in series so far this year, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Seattle has been a .500 team this season, and that’s reflected in their run line record, which is 19-21. They’ve been a slightly better bet on the road, going 9-10 against the run line, compared to 10-11 at home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 10-8 against the run line in those games, compared to 9-13 as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +3.3, while it’s -3.6 in losses.

Seattle has gone over the total in five straight games, and their games have averaged 7.4 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 13-25, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, they are 5-8. So far this season, 47.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season.

Right-hander Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Athletics at home. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-5 with a 3.35 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .230 off Castillo this year, and he has turned in five quality starts. Castillo’s ERA at home is 4.14, and he has a record of 1-3 at home. In comparison, he is 2-2 on the road with a 3.22 ERA. The last time he pitched, Castillo gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work and took the loss.

Cal Raleigh has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mariners, going 6/25 in his last eight games with four homers and 10 RBIs. Raleigh’s 10 homers are the most on the team and 10th in the league. Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco are also tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, but both are batting under .210 for the season.

As a team, the Mariners are 26th in the league in scoring at 3.7 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .222, and their team on-base percentage of .300 is also near the bottom of the league. Currently, they have one player on a hitting streak, with Josh Rojas having a hit in five straight games.

Our pick for this Athletics vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Athletics on the money line, with the payout sitting at +200. We have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Athletics, and with the over/under at 7.5 runs, you could also look to take the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Alex Wood finishing with six strikeouts, which is 11th among starters. As for Luis Castillo, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which is the best among starters today.

Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics Betting Tips

• We like the Athletics on the moneyline (+200)
• The Athletics are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over

Seattle Mariners Injury Report

Oakland Athletics Injury Report