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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Betting Tips 5122024

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction & Betting Tips 5/12/2024

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San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers 5/12/24
  • Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
  • On the run line we like Padres (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

At 4:10 PM ET, the Dodgers and Padres will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at PETCO Park in San Diego and features a Dodgers club that is 27-14 compared to the Padres at 21-21. Los Angeles is sending Walker Buehler to the mound, while the Padres are starting Yu Darvish.

The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Dodgers are the road favorite on the money line at -130. If you’re looking to watch this one on TV, it is being carried by SNLA.

Check out BetCoco for San Diego Padres – Los Angeles Dodgers odds

San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

  • 3-2 is the record of Dodgers in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
  • On the other side, the Padres have gone 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 in their previous five home contests.
  • Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Dodgers are 7-3 straight-up and 7-3 vs. the runline.
  • As the underdog, the Padres have gone 6-4 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.

Los Angeles cruised to a 5-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Padres, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run.

James Paxton started for the Dodgers and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just four strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Freddy Freeman and Teoscar Hernandez each homered for the Dodgers, while Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2/4 with a stolen base for the Padres.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

With a record of 27-14, the Dodgers lead the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. This season, they have gone 8-5 in divisional games, and they have won five straight series. The Dodgers have been really good on the road, putting together a mark of 12-6.

Los Angeles has gone 26-13 as the favorite this season, and they are 1-1 as the underdog. In their current series vs. the Padres, the Dodgers are looking to win their fifth straight series on the road, and they have an overall series record of 8-5 this year. The Dodgers have been good at night, going 18-7 this season, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. They have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 22-19 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 11-7. As a favorite, they are 21-18 on the run line. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been slightly more profitable on the run line away from Dodger Stadium.

So far this season, the Los Angeles Dodgers have played in 41 games with an average combined run total of 8.8. Their over/under record is 22-19, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Dodgers have gone 13-8. Currently, they are on a three-game under streak.

Walker Buehler will be on the mound for the Dodgers today, as they take on the Padres. Buehler is coming off a start against the Marlins in which he went 4 innings, giving up 3 earned runs and striking out 4. He did give up a home run in that outing.

Not only do the Dodgers lead the league in scoring at 5.4 runs per game, but they also have the top team batting average in the league at .264. As a team, they are also 2nd in home runs and have the best on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS in the league. So far, they have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest.

Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, with both players having 11 homers. Ohtani is batting .352 for the season, while Hernandez comes in at .258. Max Muncy is also a big power threat, as he is 4th in the league with nine homers. Hernandez has three homers in his past five games and is batting .312 in that stretch.

San Diego is 21-21 overall and 6.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 11-10 against other teams in the NL West. So far, they are 9-13 at home compared to 12-8 on the road.

The Padres have an overall series record of 7-4-2 this year, and they have won three straight series. As for their record as the underdog at home, it is just 1-5 this year. San Diego has gone 13-11 as the favorite and 8-10 as the underdog overall.

San Diego has been a solid run line bet overall this season at 23-19, but they have been much better on the road, where they are 16-4. The Padres have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game overall, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.8 runs per game at home, where they are just 7-15 against the run line. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 12-6 against the run line in those games.

San Diego’s over/under record is 21-20 on the season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per contest. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Padres have gone 8-4 in those games. The under has hit in four straight games for the Padres, and their games have gone under the total in 54.8% of their games this season.

Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today vs. the Dodgers and comes into the game with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.94. So far, he has made seven starts and one of them was a quality start. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and opponents are batting .205 off the right-hander this season. In his last outing, Darvish picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He gave up three hits and one walk in the outing. Darvish has made two appearances vs. the Dodgers this season and has an ERA of 2.7 in those outings.

So far this season, the Padres offense has been one of the best in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game (9th) and batting a collective .255, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. They have also been a good home run hitting team, as their 42 homers is 7th best in the league. San Diego’s top hitters have been Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth, who are both batting over .320 and have six homers apiece.

Over his last eight games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone 12/35 (.343) with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .256 with a team-high seven homers. Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Profar going 7/29 and Cronenworth going 11/30 in their last eight games, respectively. Luis Arraez comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

For this Dodgers vs. Padres matchup, we really like the Padres on the money line at +109. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us a good amount of value with the Padres to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with six strikeouts compared to Walker Buehler with five. Darvish is also projected to have fewer earned runs than Buehler, and we have him finishing with a win in 17th compared to Buehler at seventh.

San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips

  • We like the Padres on the moneyline (+109)
  • On the run line we like Padres (+1.5)
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

San Diego Padres Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Joe Musgrove Out Elbow
Luis Patiño Out Elbow
Glenn Otto Out Shoulder
Tucupita Marcano Out Knee

Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Joe Kelly Out Shoulder
Ryan Brasier Out Calf
Clayton Kershaw Out Shoulder
Jason Heyward Out Back
Dustin May Out Elbow
Evan Phillips Out Hamstring
Brusdar Graterol Out Shoulder
Shohei Ohtani Questionable Back
Tony Gonsolin Out Arm
Connor Brogdon Out Foot
Bobby Miller Out Shoulder
Kyle Hurt Out Shoulder
Emmet Sheehan Out Forearm

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