Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
Wednesday’s Reds vs. Pirates game features Hunter Greene for Cincinnati and Mitch Keller for the Pirates. First pitch from PNC Park is set for 12:35 PM ET. SN PT will be televising this game, and the money line odds have the Reds at -101 compared to the Pirates at -117. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Both teams are 35-38 heading into the game, and the Reds are 4th in the NL Central, while the Pirates are 3rd. Looking at the forecast for Wednesday’s game, it looks like there will be overcast clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
Check out BetCoco for Pittsburgh Pirates – Cincinnati Reds odds
Pittsburgh Pirates Trends and Key Stats
- The Reds are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- Conversely, the Pirates have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- In the past ten games, when playing as the favorite, the Reds have a record of 8-2, while as the underdog, they have a record of 4-6.
- 6-4 is the record of the Pirates as the favorite, while their record as the underdog stands at 5-5.
Cincinnati picked up a 2-1 road win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a two-run 5th inning, and the Pirates scored their only run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -125 on the money line.
Nick Lodolo started for the Reds and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Bailey Falter got the start for the Pirates and took the loss, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs.
At the plate, the Reds were led by Santiago Espinal, Jonathan India, and Luke Maile, as they were the only three Cincinnati hitters to have more than one hit. Ke’Bryan Hayes was the only Pirates hitter to have more than one hit.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati is on the road today, and they are looking to get above .500, as they currently sit at 35-38. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, and they trail the Brewers by eight games for the division lead. So far, they are 9-9 in divisional matchups.
The Reds have been good as the road favorite this year, going 7-1, and they are 19-13 as the favorite overall. Cincinnati has been favored in 32 of their games this year. They have struggled as the underdog, going 16-25. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 8-13-2, and they are looking to take the series lead today vs. the Pirates.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 38-35 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 23-13. Their average run margin on the road is +0.6 runs per game, compared to -0.3 at home. They have been the favorite in 32 games and the underdog in 41 games.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their season average of 9 runs per game. The Reds have gone under the total in their last four games, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 31-39.
Hunter Greene will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Brewers and picked up the win. In that outing, he went 5 innings, giving up 2 earned runs, and he allowed 1 homer. Looking back further, Greene has allowed at least 1 homer in three straight starts. Greene has a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.61. Opponents are batting .199 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made one complete game and five quality starts. Per nine innings, Greene is averaging 9.73 strikeouts and 4.04 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is a slight improvement over their home average of 4.0 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .227, and their on-base percentage of .307 is 15th in the league. The Reds have been a below-average home run hitting team this season.
Jeimer Candelario has been on a tear for the Reds, going 11/32 in his last eight games with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .252 with 12 home runs and 35 RBIs. Candelario is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Elly De La Cruz and Jeimer Candelario are currently tied for the team lead with 12 homers.
Pittsburgh will take on the Reds today with an overall record of 35-38, which has them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by eight games in the division. So far, they have gone just 9-10 in divisional games. The Pirates are also looking to get back to .500 at home, as they are 17-18 this year.
The Pirates have an overall series record of 9-10-4 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. As the underdog, Pittsburgh has dropped two straight, and they are 22-21 as the underdog overall. They are 13-17 when favored this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Pirates have been a solid bet this season, going 41-32 overall. They have been particularly good at home, where they are 19-16 against the run line. They have been even better as the underdog, going 30-13 against the run line. Their average run differential is -0.4 runs per game this season.
The Pirates have been involved in games with an average of 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 35-37. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 13 times and under 10 times. The over/under line for today’s game against the Reds is set at 8.5 runs, and the under has hit in each of Pittsburgh’s last three games.
Mitch Keller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Cardinals, where he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Keller’s overall record is 8-4, and he has an ERA of 3.36. This year, he has one complete game and eight quality starts. Keller’s ERA at home is 3.09, compared to 3.95 on the road. For the season, opponents are batting .252 off the right-hander.
Andrew McCutchen has been one of the Pirates’ top power threats this season, as his 10 homers are the most on the team and 13th in the league. He is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 8/26 with two homers over his last seven games. Bryan Reynolds has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/33 over his last eight games, and he is batting .274 for the season with nine homers and 39 RBIs.
Overall, the Pirates offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, and they have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .231 and are near the bottom of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging.
Our pick for today’s Reds vs. Pirates game is to take the Reds on the money line at -101. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 5-4. At -101, there is some good value on the Reds to pick up the win.
Looking at some potential player props, Hunter Greene is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which is the highest among all starters today. As for Mitch Keller, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the fourth-best among starters.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- We like the Reds on the moneyline (-101)
- The Reds are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Pittsburgh Pirates Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Martín Pérez | Out | Groin |
| Johan Oviedo | Out | Elbow |
| Marco Gonzales | Out | Forearm |
| Ryan Borucki | Out | Triceps |
| Ji Hwan Bae | Out | Wrist |
| Joey Bart | Out | Thumb |
| Dauri Moreta | Out | Elbow |
| Quinn Priester | Out | Lat |
| Alika Williams | Out | Wrist |
| Henry Davis | Out | Head |
| Hunter Stratton | Out | Shoulder |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out | Elbow |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Pagán | Out | Lat |
| Jeimer Candelario | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| TJ Friedl | Questionable | Hamstring |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Noelvi Marte | Out | Suspension |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
