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Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 6192024

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 6/19/2024

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Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals 6/19/24
  • Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
  • The Marlins are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview

At 12:40 PM ET, the Cardinals and Marlins square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami, and the Cardinals are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their line sitting at -175 compared to the Marlins at +146. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.

St. Louis will be looking for a win and move above .500, as they are 36-36, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 24-49. Kyle Gibson will start for the Cardinals, while the Marlins are sending Yonny Chirinos to the mound. MLBN is carrying this one on TV.

Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – St. Louis Cardinals odds

Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

  • The Cardinals are 3-2 across their last five road games. They have gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
  • On the other side, the Marlins have gone 0-5 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
  • Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Cardinals are 6-4 straight-up and 4-6 vs. the runline.
  • As the underdog, the Marlins have gone 1-9 vs. the runline and 3-7 straight-up.

Miami rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Cardinals series. The Marlins scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-8 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were at +114 on the money line.

Roddery Muñoz got the start for the Marlins, going just four innings while giving up six runs and striking out three. Calvin Faucher got the win out of the bullpen. Lance Lynn only went 5 1/3 innings for the Cardinals, giving up five earned runs on 10 hits.

Jesús Sánchez and Christian Bethancourt each homered for the Marlins, while Josh Bell went 2/4 with two RBIs. Tim Anderson also had a two-hit game and drove in three runs.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

St. Louis is at an even 36-36 overall as they take on the Marlins today, and they are 6.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals are 9-9 in divisional games this year. St. Louis has won two straight series and has an overall series record of 12-10-1 this year.

At home, the Cardinals are 17-15 this year and 19-21 on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals have gone 18-16 this year and 18-20 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Cardinals have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When betting on the St. Louis Cardinals’ run line, it’s important to note that they have a losing record against the run line overall, but they have been better at covering the run line on the road than at home. They have a 36-36 run line record overall, but they are 18-22 on the run line on the road compared to 18-14 at home. They have a negative run differential on the road, but they have been able to cover the run line more often as the underdog, going 23-15 against the run line in those games.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the St. Louis Cardinals’ road game against the Miami Marlins is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season. The Cardinals have hit the over in 15 of 24 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over the line in two straight contests.

Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA. In his last outing, Gibson picked up the win, going seven innings and not allowing a run against the Cubs. Looking back further, he has given up three earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .225 off Gibson this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.20. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 7.85 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 25th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 14th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. The Cardinals do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, with Brendan Donovan and Paul Goldschmidt each having two homers in their last seven games, with Goldschmidt batting .276 and Donovan hitting .296.

Nolan Gorman is the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 15 homers are 8th in the league. However, he is batting just .201. Alec Burleson has been a nice surprise for the team so far, as he is batting .274 with 10 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 13th in the league.

Miami is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 24-49, putting them 5th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Nationals by 11.5 games for 4th place in the division and are 25 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have really struggled in the NL East this year, going just 5-17 in divisional matchups.

The Marlins have dropped six straight series and are 5-17-1 in series play this year. At home, they are 10-14 as the underdog and 11-23 on the road. Miami has really struggled as the favorite this year, going just 3-12, and they are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.

The Marlins have a run line record of 30-43 this season, with a 13-26 record at home. As an underdog, they are 29-29 against the run line, but as a favorite, they are just 1-14. Their average run differential is -1.6 runs per game.

The Miami Marlins are playing at home today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. Miami has a 39-33 over/under record on the year, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 15-13. The over has hit in two straight games for the Marlins.

Yonny Chirinos will be taking the mound for the Marlins as they take on the Cardinals. Last season, Chirinos made 20 appearances and nine starts, finishing the year with a record of 5-5. His ERA for the season was 5.40, and his WHIP was 1.39. Chirinos allowed a batting average of .271 and an on-base percentage of .328. He gave up a total of 15 home runs last season and finished the year with zero quality starts. His strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 2.0.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s team batting average is just 15th in the league at .234, and they have the worst isolated power mark in the league at .117.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been hot of late for the Marlins, as he has gone 9/19 in his last six games with three runs scored and four RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs (36) while batting .266 for the season. Bryan De La Cruz is also near the top of the Marlins’ home run and RBI leaderboards, but he has only gone 5/25 in his last six games.

We see the Marlins taking this one at home with a predicted final score of 6-5. Given that they are the underdogs, you can get a payout of +146 by taking them on the money line, which is our recommended bet.

Looking at the Cardinals, they are projected to have a tough time at the plate, with our models having them finishing with just eight hits, which is the second-lowest in the league today. As for the Marlins, they are actually predicted to finish with the most hits in the league today, and you could also look at their over/under line, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips

  • We like the Marlins on the moneyline (+146)
  • The Marlins are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
  • Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Miami Marlins Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Sandy Alcantara Out Elbow
Jesús Luzardo Questionable Back
Sixto Sánchez Out Shoulder
Edward Cabrera Out Shoulder
Ryan Weathers Out Finger
Eury Pérez Out Elbow
Josh Simpson Out Elbow
Bryan Hoeing Out Hamstring

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report

Player Status Injury
Kyle Gibson Out Personal
Steven Matz Out Back
Willson Contreras Out Forearm
Keynan Middleton Out Forearm
Giovanny Gallegos Out Shoulder
Tommy Edman Out Wrist
Drew Rom Out Biceps
Riley O’Brien Out Forearm
Masyn Winn Questionable Illness
Lars Nootbaar Out Oblique
Nick Robertson Out Elbow

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