Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 6/19/2024

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Preview

The Phillies head into Wednesday’s matchup vs. the Padres looking to extend their winning streak to three games. They are 49-24 this season and Ranger Suarez will be on the mound for them. The Padres, on the other hand, have lost five straight and are 37-40 overall. Matt Waldron will start for the Padres.

Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -170 compared to the Padres at +143. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this game will be televised on MLBN.

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Philadelphia Phillies Trends and Key Stats

• 0-5 is the record of Padres in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• The Phillies, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 record.
• Over their last ten games when playing as the favorite, the Phillies have won 7-3 straight-up, and have a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Padres have a straight-up record of 3-7 and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.

Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning, and the Padres could only muster three runs in the final frame. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -164 on the money line.

Aaron Nola got the start for the Phillies, going six innings while giving up three runs and striking out six. He picked up a win in the game, while Jeff Hoffman got the save. Michael King only went 4 2/3 innings for the Padres, giving up one earned run on six hits.

Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while Brandon Marsh scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Bryson Stott also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction

San Diego is on the road today, looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which has dropped their record to 37-40, 4th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Giants by a half-game for 3rd place in the division and are 10 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres are 14-15 in divisional games this year.

At home, the Padres are 18-21 this year and have gone 19-19 on the road. This season, the Padres are 13-17 as the underdog, and they have dropped five straight as the underdog overall. San Diego’s series record is 13-9-3 this year.

San Diego’s run line record on the road is 26-12, with a scoring margin of +0.7 runs per game. The Padres have been a better bet on the road than at home, where they are 13-26 vs. the run line with a scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the San Diego Padres’ road game against the Philadelphia Phillies is slightly higher than their season average of 8.0 runs per game. The Padres have played 76 games this season, with 46 of them having lower over/under lines than today’s line of 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is currently at .500 with a mark of 38-38.

Matt Waldron gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 3.65. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .223 this season. In his 14 starts, Waldron has turned in five quality starts. The right-hander’s last outing came on June 14th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

So far this season, the Padres have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 2nd in batting average, 6th in on-base percentage, and 11th in slugging. They are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 8th best OPS in the league. Heading into today’s game, Jurickson Profar is on a three-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with 10 homers. Profar is also batting .320 for the season, and his 47 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 11th in the league.

Profar and Luis Arraez are both hitting over .300 for the season, with Arraez batting .318 and Profar at .320. Arraez has 18 RBIs this season, which is 7th on the team, and Profar is 2nd on the team with 46 RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .273 with a team-high 13 homers.

With an overall record of 49-24, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Braves. The Phillies have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Padres and have a series record of 14-7-4 this season. At home, the Phillies are 29-10 this season and have gone 20-14 on the road.

This season, the Phillies have been really good in night games, putting up a record of 32-12. As the favorite, the Phillies are 43-18 this season and 6-6 as the underdog. Looking at their recent form, the Phillies are 5-5 over their last ten games.

When the Phillies win, they usually win by more than a run, as they have an average run margin of 3.7 in victories. They are 39-34 against the run line this season, with a 21-18 mark at home. As the favorite, they are 33-28 against the run line, while they are 6-6 as the underdog.

The Philadelphia Phillies host the San Diego Padres today with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have an over/under record of 32-36 this season, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-9. So far this season, 63% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Padres at home. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 10-1 with an ERA of 1.77. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is .88, and he has one complete game shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez finished with a no-decision against the Orioles, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Suárez has been especially tough at home, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.6.

As a team, the Phillies are the 2nd highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. This has been even better at home, where they are averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top home run hitting team and are also 2nd in team batting average. Philadelphia also has three of the league’s top 12 RBI leaders, with Alec Bohm leading the team and ranking 3rd in the MLB with 60 RBIs.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear for the Phillies, hitting .400 over his last 10 games with six homers and 13 RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .257, and his 17 homers are 6th best in the league. Schwarber’s 48 RBIs are 10th best in the MLB. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season, batting .282 with 15 homers and 46 RBIs.

Our predictions for this Padres vs. Phillies matchup is to take the over, as we see the Phillies coming out on top by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for the Phillies (-170) is a bit low, and we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ranger Suarez finishing with four strikeouts compared to Matt Waldron with five. Suarez is projected to go seven innings, while Waldron is projected to go five.

Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• Take the Phillies on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Padres (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Philadelphia Phillies Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report