Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview
The Brewers will be looking to move to 25-15 on the season, and they are sending Bryse Wilson to the mound vs. a Cardinals team that is 15-24 and starting Miles Mikolas. This game is set to get started at 2:10 PM from American Family Field in Milwaukee.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Brewers are the favorite at -147. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSMW.
Check out BetCoco for Milwaukee Brewers – St. Louis Cardinals odds
Milwaukee Brewers Trends and Key Stats
- 0-5 is the record of Cardinals in their last five road games. They have also gone 0-5 vs. the runline.
- On the other side, the Brewers have gone 1-4 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- As the favorite, the Brewers are 7-3 over their last ten games, including going 5-5 vs. the runline.
- Looking back at their last ten games as the underdog, the Cardinals have a 4-6 straight-up record and a 6-4 record vs. the runline.
Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Cardinals had a late rally in the last game of this series but still fell short with the Brewers winning 5-3. Milwaukee’s offense only had six hits in the game but took advantage of some Cardinals mistakes, as they scored three unearned runs. Heading into the game, the Brewers were favored at -191 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Kyle Gibson for the Cardinals. Peralta went six innings and gave up three earned runs but still picked up a win in the game. Gibson struggled, giving up two homers and seven runs in five innings of work.
Rhys Hoskins hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs. Lars Nootbaar had a three-hit game for the Cardinals and drove in two runs.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
St. Louis is on the road today, and they have dropped seven straight games, and all of these losses have come against NL Central opponents. So far, they are 0-6 in the division, and they trail the Brewers by nine games in the NL Central. The Cardinals’ overall record is 15-24 this season.
At home, the Cardinals are 6-11 this year compared to a 9-13 mark on the road. So far, they have struggled in day games, going 5-14 this season. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 7-12 this year, and they are 8-12 as the favorite. St. Louis’ overall series record is 5-7, and they have dropped three straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Cardinals have been a tough team to figure out this season. They are 18-21 overall on the run line, including 10-12 on the road. They have lost five straight run line bets on the road, and they have covered the run line in just seven of their 20 games as the favorite.
The St. Louis Cardinals have had a high over/under line in their games this season, with 51.3% of their games having a line set at over 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 16-22 on the season. Their over streak is currently at four games, and their games have gone over the line in three of their last four games.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas is starting for the Cardinals today as he faces the Brewers on the road. This year, he has made eight starts and has a record of 2-5 with a 6.43 ERA. Looking at his numbers on the road, Mikolas is 2-3 with a 6.14 ERA. In his three home starts, he is 0-2 with an 8.61 ERA. Mikolas’ WHIP for the season is 1.48, and he has allowed a total of eight home runs. His last outing was on May 7th, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Out of his eight starts, Mikolas has three quality starts.
For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.4 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. This is also the worst mark in the league in terms of home runs, as they have just 28 homers so far this season. As a team, they are batting just .218, which is 17th in the league.
Willson Contreras has been one of the team’s few bright spots on offense so far, as he is batting .280 and has a team-high six home runs. Nolan Arenado has also been solid, hitting .270 with two homers and a team-high 20 RBIs. Arenado has gone 8/30 in his last eight games.
Milwaukee is hosting the Cardinals today with an overall record of 24-15, good for 1st place in the NL Central. The Brewers hold a 1.5-game lead over the Cubs in the division. So far, they have been good against other NL Central teams, putting up an 11-5 record.
The Brewers have won three straight games, and they are also on a five-game winning streak at home. Milwaukee’s overall record as the home team is 10-7 compared to 14-8 on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 11-6 as the favorite and 13-9 as the underdog this year.
At home, the Brewers have a run line record of 7-10, but they have covered in five straight games. Overall, they are 21-18 against the run line, with an average run differential of +0.9 runs per game. As an underdog, they are 15-7 against the run line, while they are just 6-11 when favored.
When the Milwaukee Brewers play, the over/under line is usually set at 8 runs, and the over has hit in 24 of their 39 games this season. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and the over has hit in their last five games. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in seven of them.
Through 10 appearances and four starts, Bryse Wilson has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.40 for the Brewers. Wilson’s WHIP for the season is currently .93. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Royals on May 6th, Wilson went six innings, giving up just one hit and three walks. He finished with six strikeouts in that outing. Wilson has made four starts at home, going 0-1 with a 2.57 ERA. On the road, he is 2-0 with a 10.19 ERA.
William Contreras has been on a tear for the Brewers of late, going 8/18 in his last five games, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. He is also batting .342 for the season and has driven in 30 runs, which is 4th in the league. Rhys Hoskins has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/15 in his last four games, including three homers. Hoskins is also 4th in the league with nine homers.
As a team, the Brewers are 4th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Overall, they are the 4th ranked home run hitting team in the league.
Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line at -147. We actually have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving us some good value on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryse Wilson finishing with three strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters. As for Miles Mikolas, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of today’s starters.
Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips
- Take the Brewers on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Cardinals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Milwaukee Brewers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Wade Miley | Out | Elbow |
| Ray Black | Out | Personal |
| Taylor Clarke | Out | Knee |
| Devin Williams | Out | Back |
| Jakob Junis | Out | Shoulder |
| Brandon Woodruff | Out | Shoulder |
| J.B. Bukauskas | Out | Lat |
| DL Hall | Out | Knee |
| Garrett Mitchell | Out | Finger |
| Joel Payamps | Out | Personal |
| Joey Wiemer | Out | Knee |
St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Matz | Out | Back |
| Willson Contreras | Out | Arm |
| Keynan Middleton | Out | Forearm |
| Giovanny Gallegos | Out | Shoulder |
| Tommy Edman | Out | Wrist |
| Drew Rom | Out | Biceps |
| Riley O’Brien | Out | Forearm |
