Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Preview
The Rockies and Marlins are set to face off in an NL matchup at 12:10 PM ET on Thursday. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami and features a Rockies club that is 7-23 compared to the Marlins at 8-24. Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Peter Lambert for the Rockies.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the Marlins are the favorite at -162 on the money line. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by Bally Sports Florida.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Colorado Rockies odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Rockies have recorded a 0-5 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- In the Marlins’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- As the favorite, the Marlins are 2-8 over their last ten games, including going 1-9 vs. the runline.
- The Rockies have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Miami picked up a 4-1 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 5th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Marlins were favored at -144 on the money line.
Roddery Muñoz started for the Marlins and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Anthony Maldonado got the save. Dakota Hudson had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.
Emmanuel Rivera was the difference for the Marlins, as he went 2/2 with two runs scored and two RBIs. Dane Myers also had a two RBI game at the plate. As for the Rockies, Raimel Tapia went 2/4 with an RBI.
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Colorado is on the road today vs. the Marlins, and they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak. So far this season, the Rockies are just 7-23, putting them 11.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. In the division, they are 4-7 this season.
The Rockies have really struggled on the road, going 2-13 compared to 5-10 at home. So far, they have been the underdog in every game. Colorado’s overall series record is 0-8-1, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
When the Rockies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.3 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.2 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 13-17, and they’re 6-9 against the run line on the road. They are 7-8 against the run line at home. They are 13-17 against the run line as the underdog, and they have yet to be favored in a game this season.
Colorado’s games have had an average of 10 runs scored this season, but the oddsmakers set the line for today’s game at 7.5. The Rockies have played 28 games this season, and only one of them had an over/under line set lower than 7.5 runs. In that game, the Rockies and Marlins combined for just five runs, well below the line of 9.0 runs. Overall, the Rockies have gone 14-16 on the over/under this season.
Peter Lambert will be looking to build off his last outing, where he came out of the bullpen and didn’t allow a run. In that appearance, he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up just two hits. Against the Mariners on April 21st, Lambert took the loss after giving up six earned runs in three innings of work. He has made one start and is 2-1 this season with a 4.67 ERA. Lambert’s WHIP for the season is 1.33. So far, he has allowed one homer and is averaging 7.79 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Rockies offense has been one of the league’s worst, averaging just 3.8 runs per game (22nd) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. However, they do come into the game with a few hitters swinging the bat well of late. Ryan McMahon has gone 8/21 in his last six games, including two homers, and Brenton Doyle is 7/23 in that stretch and is on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, McMahon is hitting .324 with four homers, and Doyle is batting .311.
McMahon and Michael Toglia are tied for the team lead with four homers, but Toglia is hitting just .106 this season. As a team, the Rockies are batting .241, which is 12th in the league, and have the league’s 3rd best BABIP. Their team on-base percentage of .304 is just 17th in the league.
Miami is hosting the Rockies today with an overall record of 8-24, which puts them 13.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9. The Marlins have won two straight games, and this came after losing six in a row.
At home, the Marlins are just 4-15 this year, and they are 4-9 on the road. Miami has really struggled in night games, going 3-13 this year. So far, they are 2-11 as the favorite and 6-13 as the underdog. Miami’s overall series record is 0-8-1, and they have lost two straight series.
When the Marlins are favored, they have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going 1-12. However, as the underdog, they are 9-10 on the run line. Their average run margin in losses is -3.5, while in wins, it is +3.1. Their overall run line record is 10-22, but they are 6-7 on the run line on the road.
When the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies met on Monday, the over/under line was set at 9.0 runs. The game finished with a combined total of 5 runs, which was well below the line. This was the first time in the last three games that the Marlins have played in which the total runs scored was under the over/under line.
Edward Cabrera and the Marlins are hosting the Rockies today. Cabrera has started three games this season and has a 1-1 record. In his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Nationals, giving up 4 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings. He did pick up a win in his first start of the year, going 5 innings and striking out 7 Cubs hitters.
So far this season, the Marlins have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league, averaging just 3.6 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .223 and have the league’s worst isolated power number at .105.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. comes into the game as the Marlins’ leader in RBIs (17) and is 2nd on the team with four home runs. However, he is batting just .230 for the season and has gone just 3/16 in his last five games. Bryan De La Cruz has also struggled of late, going 0/11 in his last four games. De La Cruz is 13th in the league in RBIs and has five homers this season.
Our prediction for the Marlins vs. Rockies matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. With the Marlins coming out on top by a score of 5-4, there is a bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the line, but we see the over as the better pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Edward Cabrera of the Marlins has a higher strikeout ceiling than Peter Lambert of the Rockies. Cabrera is projected to finish with seven K’s, while Lambert is at six. Offensively, the Marlins lineup is projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Rockies with eight.
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Marlins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | Out | Undisclosed |
| Tim Anderson | Questionable | Thumb |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Puk | Out | Shoulder |
| Jake Burger | Out | Oblique |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Foot |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Freeland | Out | Shoulder |
| Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
