Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
At 9:40 from Chase Field in Phoenix, we have an NL West matchup between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks. Los Angeles comes in with a record of 19-13, while the Diamondbacks are 14-17 overall. Toeing the rubber for the Dodgers is Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and he is up against Zac Gallen for Arizona.
Currently, the over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Dodgers are the road favorite, with a money line payout of -136. Looking at the Diamondbacks, their money line odds are at +113. You can catch this one on ESPN.
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Arizona Diamondbacks Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Dodgers are 3-2. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
- The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 record.
- The Dodgers have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 6-4.
- When playing as the underdog, the Diamondbacks have gone 2-8 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 4-6 over their last ten games.
Arizona picked up a 4-3 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a two-run lead heading into the 4th inning, but the Dodgers rallied and scored the game’s final run in the 10th. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were at -106 on the money line.
Brandon Hughes only went one inning for the Diamondbacks but didn’t give up a run and struck out two. Scott McGough got the win out of the bullpen, and Nabil Crismatt took the loss for the Dodgers. Landon Knack went five innings for the Dodgers, giving up one run on four hits.
Christian Walker hit the game’s only two home runs while going 3/5 with three RBIs. Eugenio Suarez also had a two-hit game for Arizona. As for the Dodgers, they were led by a two-hit performance from Mookie Betts.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles is on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 19-13, which has them leading the NL West by four games over the Giants. The Dodgers are 6-4 in division play and head into today’s game having won two straight series. Their overall series record is 6-5 this year.
The Dodgers dropped the first game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks but were able to take the series opener. So far, they have been really good as the road favorite, putting up a record of 10-4. Los Angeles has also been strong in night games this season, going 12-5.
When betting the run line with the Dodgers this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, where they have a 9-6 run line record. Their average run differential in those games is +1.8 runs per game. They’ve been a much better bet on the run line in wins, where their average run differential is +3.9 runs per game.
The Dodgers have played 32 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for just two of them. The combined run average for their games is 9.3 runs, and their over/under record is 19-13. Their games have gone over the line in 12 of their 32 games, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for just 7 of their games. Their games have gone over the line in 2 of those 7 games.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.54. In his two road starts, Yamamoto has been excellent, going 2-0 with an ERA of 0.00. Overall, he has a WHIP of 1.07 and is averaging 11.89 strikeouts per nine innings. Yamamoto’s most recent outing came on April 25th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run. He has made two quality starts this year.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring team, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .271, which is the best mark in the league, and also have the top on-base percentage and slugging percentage in the league. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league.
Shohei Ohtani and Mookie Betts have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Ohtani batting .336 and Betts at .368. Ohtani’s seven home runs are 4th in the league, while Betts’ 23 RBIs are 6th in the league. Will Smith has also been a big run producer for the Dodgers, as he has 23 RBIs to go along with a team-high three homers.
Arizona is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 14-17, which has them 4th in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead, and they are also 4.5 games behind the Padres for the second Wild Card spot in the NL.
The Diamondbacks won the most recent game of their series vs. the Dodgers after dropping the series opener. So far, they are 3-5-1 in series this year and have lost two straight series. At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-7 this year and 6-10 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 6-10 compared to an 8-7 mark as the favorite.
Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 15-16 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 8-7 against the run line. The Diamondbacks have been a better bet as the underdog, going 9-7 against the run line. In their wins, they have been dominant, with an average run differential of +5.3 runs per game.
Arizona’s over/under record is 13-17, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. In games where the line has been set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 3-3. Overall, 35.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, while 45.2% have had lines set lower.
Through six starts, Zac Gallen has a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 3.38. Looking at his overall numbers, Gallen has a WHIP of 1.22 and has made two quality starts. His ERA at home is an impressive 0.60, compared to 6.60 on the road. Gallen’s last outing came on April 26th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. The right-hander will be looking to get back on track today against the Dodgers.
Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.2 runs per game. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 7th in the league, and have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. Arizona’s top power threat is Christian Walker, who is 4th in the league with seven homers and is also 7th in the league with 22 RBIs.
Christian Walker has been swinging the bat well of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games with four homers and nine RBIs. Ketel Marte and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. are both on three-game hitting streaks coming into the game. For the season, Marte is batting .306 with five homers, and Gurriel Jr. is also at five homers but is batting just .254.
Our prediction for this Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at +113. With this payout, we see this as a great value pick, as we have the Diamondbacks winning this game by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Zac Gallen actually has the second-best projected strikeout total among today’s starters, finishing with seven. As for Yoshinobu Yamamoto, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him in the middle of the pack.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Tips
- Take the Dodgers on the moneyline
- The Diamondbacks are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Arizona Diamondbacks Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Miguel Castro | Out | Shoulder |
| Paul Sewald | Out | Oblique |
| Zac Gallen | Probable | Hamstring |
| Alek Thomas | Out | Hamstring |
| Geraldo Perdomo | Out | Knee |
| Merrill Kelly | Out | Shoulder |
| Luis Frías | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Nelson | Out | Shoulder |
| Drey Jameson | Out | Elbow |
| Ryne Nelson | Out | Elbow |
Los Angeles Dodgers Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brasier | Out | Calf |
| Clayton Kershaw | Out | Shoulder |
| Jason Heyward | Out | Back |
| Blake Treinen | Out | Lung |
| Walker Buehler | Out | Elbow |
| Dustin May | Out | Elbow |
| Brusdar Graterol | Out | Shoulder |
| Tony Gonsolin | Out | Arm |
| Connor Brogdon | Out | Foot |
| Bobby Miller | Out | Shoulder |
| Kyle Hurt | Out | Shoulder |
| Emmet Sheehan | Out | Forearm |
