Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview
Wednesday night’s matchup between the Yankees and Orioles is set for 6:35 PM from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are 19-10 this season and are sending Corbin Burnes to the mound vs. a Yankees club that is 19-12 and starting Luis Gil.
Looking at the odds, the over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Orioles are the favorite at -160 on the money line. If you’re looking to catch this one on TV, it is being carried by MASN.
Check out BetCoco for Baltimore Orioles – New York Yankees odds
Baltimore Orioles Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Yankees are 2-3. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Orioles have achieved a 4-1 (SU) record and 3-2 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles have a record of 6-4 straight-up, and have gone 5-5 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 7-3 and a 7-3 record vs. the runline.
Baltimore picked up a 4-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight underdogs at +108.
Dean Kremer started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued four walks. Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.
Juan Soto hit the game’s only home run while going 2/3 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Adley Rutschman had a two-hit game for the Orioles, scoring a run and driving in a run.
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are on the road today vs. the Orioles, having dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Orioles. Overall, the Yankees are 19-12, which has them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are 5-6 in divisional games.
At home, the Yankees have gone 8-5 this year and are 11-7 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 13-9 this year and 6-3 as the underdog. New York has an overall series record of 7-1-1 this year.
The Yankees have been a good run line bet on the road this season, going 10-8. They have a run line record of 14-17 overall, and their average run margin is +1.3 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 7-2 compared to 7-15 as the favorite. They have covered the run line in their last two games as the road underdog.
When the Yankees and Orioles meet today, the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.4 runs this season, and their O/U record is 12-18. Their games have had an average O/U line of 9 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the O/U record is 9-6. The last two Yankees games have gone under the total, and this season, 29% of their games have had higher O/U lines than today’s 8.5 runs.
Luis Gil and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Orioles. Gil has been solid through his first two starts, picking up a win in his last outing against the Rays. In that game, he went 5 2/3 innings and struck out 9. He finished with 6 strikeouts in his first start of the year, but took the loss vs. the Blue Jays.
So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are 3rd in home runs and have the league’s top on-base percentage. New York’s lineup has been patient at the plate, as they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league.
Juan Soto comes into the game with a team-high 8 homers and is batting .325 overall. He has also gone 7/19 in his last five games, with two homers. Aaron Judge has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/19 in his last five games with two homers. However, Judge is batting just .207 for the season.
Baltimore is hosting the Yankees today with an overall record of 19-10, and they lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. The Orioles have gone 5-0 against other teams in the AL East, and they closed out their series vs. the Athletics with a win before taking the first two games of this series vs. the Yankees.
As the home team, the Orioles are 11-6 this year, and they are 8-4 on the road. So far, the Orioles have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 15-9. As for their record as the underdog, they are 4-1 this season. Baltimore has an overall series record of 6-3 and have won three straight series on the road.
The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 17-12 overall. They are 10-7 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +1.3 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 13-11 against the run line, while they are 4-1 as the underdog.
The Orioles have had a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-11. The average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 8-5. The over has hit in 7 of their games with lines set at 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under in 9 of the 31 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs.
Corbin Burnes has made six starts this season and has a record of 3-0 with an ERA of 2.55. So far, he has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits, three walks, and one home run. Burnes has given up a homer in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has a WHIP of .93 and is averaging 8.92 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .181 off Burnes this season.
Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 8/25 in his last six games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .322 with four homers, which is 7th in the league. Gunnar Henderson has been even better in the power department, as his 10 homers are the most in the league, and he is also 5th in the league with 24 RBIs.
The Orioles come into the game as the league’s top home run hitting team and are also near the top of the league in runs scored, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Not only are they the league’s top team in isolated power, but they also have the league’s top slugging percentage.
With the Orioles at -160 to pick up a win, this is the best way to play this one. We have the Orioles winning this one 6-5, and with the money line payout, we like this pick.
Looking at some potential player props, Luis Gil is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing seventh among all starters. As for Corbin Burnes, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, which would have him 13th.
Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Orioles on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Yankees (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | Questionable | Back |
| Austin Hays | Out | Calf |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| John Means | Out | Forearm |
| Kyle Bradish | Out | Elbow |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Kahnle | Out | Shoulder |
| DJ LeMahieu | Out | Foot |
| Gerrit Cole | Out | Elbow |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Nick Burdi | Out | Hip |
| Jon Berti | Out | Groin |
| Alex Verdugo | Out | Personal |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Oswald Peraza | Out | Shoulder |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Scott Effross | Out | Back |
| Jasson Domínguez | Out | Elbow |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
