Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Preview
At 6:40 PM ET, the Rockies and Marlins will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at loanDepot Park in Miami and features a Rockies club that is just 7-22 this season. The Marlins are 7-24 and are sending Roddery Munoz to the mound vs. Dakota Hudson for the Rockies.
Miami comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -152, and the over/under line is sitting at 8 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by BSFL.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Marlins – Colorado Rockies odds
Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- 0-5 is the record of Rockies in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Marlins have achieved a 1-4 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- The Marlins have a straight-up record of 2-8 in their last ten games as the favorite, and a 1-9 record vs. the runline.
- The Rockies have a 3-7 straight-up record and a 4-6 record vs. the runline over their previous ten games as the underdog.
Miami rallied for five runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Marlins vs. Rockies series. The Marlins scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-6 win. Heading into the game, the Marlins were favored at -138 on the money line.
Colorado wasted a good outing from Ryan Feltner, as he gave up just three earned runs in eight innings of work for the Rockies. Jalen Beeks took the loss. Tanner Scott got the win out of the bullpen for the Marlins as Sixto Sanchez went just four innings, giving up five earned runs.
Bryan De La Cruz, Dane Myers, Vidal Brujan, and Josh Bell each had two hits for Miami. De La Cruz, Elehuris Montero, and Ryan McMahon each homered for the Rockies.
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Colorado is 7-22 overall this season, and they have dropped three straight games heading into today’s matchup at the Marlins. The Rockies trail the Dodgers by 10.5 games in the NL West and are 5th in the division. So far, they have gone just 4-7 in divisional matchups.
The Rockies have really struggled on the road this year, going 2-12 compared to 5-10 at home. So far, they are 0-0 as the favorite and 2-12 as the underdog on the road. Colorado’s overall series record is 0-8-1 this year, and they dropped the first game of their current series vs. the Marlins.
On the road, the Rockies have a run line record of 6-8, but they have covered in two straight games. Their average run margin on the road is -2.9, and they have an overall run line record of 13-16. In their wins, they have an average run margin of +3.3, while in their losses, it drops to -4.3. As the underdog, they are 13-16 against the run line.
Colorado and Miami combined for 13 runs in yesterday’s game, going over the 8-run line. The Rockies have now gone over the line in three straight games and are 3-0 in games with an 8-run line this season. Colorado’s games have averaged 10.2 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 10 runs per game.
Dakota Hudson and the Rockies are on the road to take on the Marlins. Hudson has started 4 games this season and has yet to pick up a win. He has gone 6 innings in each of his last 2 starts, but has taken the loss in both outings. Hudson’s last start was at home against the Padres, where he went 3 1/3 innings and gave up 6 runs on 6 hits.
So far this season, the Rockies offense is averaging 3.9 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, but their on-base percentage of .307 is just 14th in the league.
Currently, Ryan McMahon is on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .321 for the season with a team-high 18 RBIs. He also has four homers, which is 7th in the league. Brenton Doyle has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/27 in his last seven games.
Miami is 7-24 overall, and they are 13.5 games behind the Braves for the NL East lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-9 in the division. The Marlins picked up a win in the first game of this series vs. the Rockies after dropping five straight to the Nationals.
At home, the Marlins are just 3-15 this year, and they are 4-9 on the road. So far, they have really struggled in night games, going 2-13. As the favorite, the Marlins are only 1-11, and they are 0-8-1 in series this year.
The Marlins have been a bad bet on the run line this season, going 9-22 overall. They have been especially bad at home, going 3-15 on the run line at Marlins Park. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 6-7. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 9-10. Their average run differential in games they have won is +3.1 runs, while their average run differential in games they have lost is -3.5 runs.
The Miami Marlins have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game. Their over/under record is 17-14, and they have hit the over in four straight games. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 2-3, and the average over/under line for their games this season is also 8 runs. Overall, 74.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Roddery Muñoz will be making his first start of the season at home against the Rockies. In his first outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 2 earned runs on 2 hits, with 7 strikeouts, but did not factor into the decision.
As a team, the Marlins are batting just .223, which is 20th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .278 is also near the bottom of the league. However, they do have a couple of hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Luis Arraez has gone 11/29 in his last seven games, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has two homers in this stretch. Chisholm Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 17 RBIs but is batting just .239 for the season.
So far, the Marlins offense is averaging just 3.6 runs per game, and they have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.2 runs per contest. Miami’s team isolated power of .107 is the worst mark in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.
Our prediction for today’s Rockies vs. Marlins game is to take the Marlins on the money line at -152. We see this game ending with a 6-5 win for the Marlins, and with the payout at +125 for the Rockies, we see the Marlins’ money line as the best bet.
Looking at some potential player props, we have Roddery Muñoz finishing with four strikeouts, which would have him finishing as the sixth lowest among today’s starters. As for Dakota Hudson, we have him finishing with four strikeouts, as well, which would have him as the third lowest among today’s starters.
Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies Betting Tips
- Take the Marlins on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Rockies (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Avisaíl García | Out | Undisclosed |
| Tim Anderson | Questionable | Thumb |
| JT Chargois | Out | Neck |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Shoulder |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Elbow |
| A.J. Puk | Out | Shoulder |
| Jake Burger | Out | Oblique |
| Xavier Edwards | Out | Foot |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Josh Simpson | Out | Elbow |
Colorado Rockies Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Bard | Out | Forearm |
| Kris Bryant | Out | Back |
| Germán Márquez | Out | Elbow |
| Antonio Senzatela | Out | Elbow |
| Kyle Freeland | Out | Shoulder |
| Nolan Jones | Out | Back |
| Lucas Gilbreath | Out | Elbow |
