Since losing their first 5 Premier League meetings with Chelsea, Brighton have been able to frustrate the Blues with 3 draws in their last 4 meetings, including a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge last month. Chelsea controlled large parts of that game but failed to put their chances away and were hit with a last-minute equalizer from Danny Welbeck. Graham Potter has made the Seagulls very hard to beat, with just 1 defeat in their last 7 Premier league games, but their home form remains of concern, with 13 points from 10 matches at the Amex this year that sees them 15th in the Home Form Table. In contrast, Chelsea have managed 23 points from 11 games on the road, only Manchester City have more, and it is hard to see past Thomas Tuchel’s side winning here.
The issue has been converting opportunities into goals, Chelsea have scored 45 goals so far this season, more than double Brighton with 21 and so however hard Brighton try to keep things tight and compact, a Chelsea breakthrough could be crucial.
