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Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Betting Tips 4302024 sport preview

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Betting Tips 4/30/2024

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Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs 4/30/24
  • We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (+136)
  • The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview

Looking to win big? The Maple Leafs and Bruins face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN. The Bruins are hosting the game at TD Garden in Boston, MA.

This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 5.5 goals, and the Bruins are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Maple Leafs.

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last three games that the Bruins have hosted the Maple Leafs, they are a perfect 3-0. The over/under record in the five most recent head to head games between the Maple Leafs and Bruins is 1-3-1 with an average of 4 goals per game. The last three times that the Maple Leafs have been on the road vs. the Bruins, the over/under record is 1-4.

  • Across their three previous road games, Toronto has an puck line mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 2 goals per game.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Bruins offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 3. Boston posted an overall record of 5-5 while going 3-7 ATS.
  • The Bruins have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • As the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have an puck line mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

When playing on the road this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 24-11-6 and are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone just 3-7 and are 1-4 in their last five games. In the Eastern Conference standings, the Maple Leafs are in 5th place and have a record of 46-26-10.

As the underdog, Toronto has gone 7-8-2 this season and have lost two straight games when not favored. In games against other teams from the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 22-28 this season and are 11-15 against other Atlantic Division teams. In their last three games, Toronto has gone 1-2.

When looking at their offense, the Maple Leafs have an average of 3.6 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. In terms of the Maple Leafs’ offense during power plays, they are 12th in power play goals and 23rd in shorthanded goals.

Entering the game, goalie Joseph Woll has started 23 games this season. His current record stands at 12-11, and his save percentage is 0.586%.

At home this season, the Bruins have gone 24-11-6, and they have dropped their last two games in Boston. In the Eastern Conference, Boston is in 4th place and 2nd in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Bruins have gone 6-4, and they are 47-20-15 overall.

When favored, Boston has gone 38-18-11, and they have lost their last two games when favored. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Bruins have gone 30-20.

The Bruins come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 14th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 21st in the league. Boston’s offense is currently ranked 15th in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 13th in the league.

Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Jeremy Swayman has started 43 games in this season. His current record is 25-10, and his save percentage stands at 0.776%.

In spite of being 1.5 goal underdogs, we anticipate the Maple Leafs winning this one 4-3.

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Tips

  • We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (+136)
  • The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NHL model projects 7 goals, and we suggest taking the under

Boston Bruins Injury Report

  • Milan Lucic – Lower Body/Personal – Out
  • Derek Forbort – Lower Body – Questionable
  • Andrew Peeke – Undisclosed – Out
  • Justin Brazeau – Upper Body – Questionable
  • Matthew Poitras – Shoulder – Out

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report

  • Matt Murray – Hip – Out
  • John Klingberg – Hip – Out
  • Jake Muzzin – Neck – Out
  • Auston Matthews – Illness – Questionable
  • Timothy Liljegren – Undisclosed – Questionable
  • Bobby McMann – Lower Body – Questionable

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