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Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips 3/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips 3/26/2024

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Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks 3/26/2024:
  • We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (-102)
  • The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NBA model projects 226 points, and we suggest taking the under

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Preview

Two teams that are currently tied for the 6th seed in the Western Conference will face off tonight in Sacramento. The Kings (-119) are a 1.5-point favorite over the Mavericks (-102) in a game that will tip at 10:00 ET.

Dallas has won four straight games and is currently 7th in the West. Sacramento is also 42-29 and is 6th in the conference. The over/under line for this game is 235.5 points.

Check out BetCoco for Sacramento Kings – Dallas Mavericks odds

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats

In the last five head to head matchups, the Kings have had the upper-hand, going 3-2. The over/under record in the five most recent head to head games between the Mavericks and Kings is 2-3 with an average of 243 points per game. The last three times that the Mavericks have been on the road vs. the Kings, the over/under record is 2-3.

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • The last ten games that Dallas was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Kings have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks have a record of 34-37-0 on the over/under this season, and their last four games have gone under the O/U line. Today’s line of 235.5 is right in line with their season average of 236.1.

Dallas’ ATS record for the season is 40-31, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 22-12 ATS and have an average scoring differential of -0.5 points per game.

Looking at their season-long ATS record, the Mavericks are 13-15 as underdogs and 27-16 as favorites. As underdogs, they are 10-18 straight-up and 28-28 overall.

The Mavericks are currently 7th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-29. In their last game, they defeated the Jazz by a score of 115-105. Dallas was favored by 7.5 points in that game.

So far this season, the Mavericks have a scoring differential of +3.8 points per game at home and are 22-15 straight-up. On the road, they are 20-14 and have won their last two games.

On offense, the Mavericks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 14.5 made threes per game (3rd). Overall, they are 6th in scoring at 118.6 points per game. Interestingly, they have scored less than the NBA average in 39.4% of their games this season.

When it comes to shooting efficiency, Dallas is 11th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also a top-10 team in true shooting percentage (9th). In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 12th in the NBA at 99.6 possessions per game.

Despite being one of the top three-point shooting teams, the Mavericks are just 26th in two-point attempts. However, they are converting 57% of their two-point attempts, which is 4th in the league. In terms of free throws, Dallas is 14th in makes (17.4) and 9th in attempts (23).

The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 22nd in the league, allowing an average of 116.9 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.4% while allowing 36.5% from downtown.

Sacramento is looking to extend their winning streak to three games today. They are currently favored by 1.5 points and have a straight-up record of 42-29, which is 6th in the Western Conference.

The Kings have a 36-35 ATS record for the season, including going 14-20 ATS at home. As the favorite, their ATS record is 22-27, and they have covered the spread in their last two games.

In their last game, the Kings defeated the 76ers by a score of 108-96. The O/U line for that game was 220.5, and Sacramento was favored by 7.5 points.

This season, the Kings have an O/U record of 34-36-1, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 233.7 points.

Sacramento is 2nd in the Pacific Division and has a 27-17 record against Western Conference opponents. In the West, they are currently in 6th place.

At home, the Kings are averaging 119.8 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA. On the season, they are 9th in scoring at 117.6 PPG. In terms of pace, Sacramento is 11th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Kings have made an average of 14.2 three-pointers per game, which is 5th in the NBA. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 12th at 48%. When it comes to two-point shooting, Sacramento is 5th in the league at 57%.

On average, the Kings are grabbing 10.6 offensive rebounds per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 6th at 28.6 per game.

So far, the Kings’ defense is ranked 18th in the league at 116.1 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Kings are causing 12.6 turnovers per game, ranking 16th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 28th in rejections, averaging 4.2 blocked shots each game.

Even though they are considered 1.5-point underdogs, our projection points to a 116-110 win for the Mavericks.

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips

  • We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (-102)
  • The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
  • Our NBA model projects 226 points, and we suggest taking the under

Sacramento Kings Injury Report

  • Trey Lyles – Knee – Out
  • Sasha Vezenkov – Ankle – Questionable
  • Kevin Huerter – Shoulder – Out

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

  • Josh Green – Ankle – Out

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