Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks Preview
The Knicks and 76ers are set to tip-off game three of their first-round series at 7:30 PM ET from the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. New York enters this one up 2-0 in the series and is the 4.5 point underdog on the road. The over/under line is sitting at 201.5 points, and the money line odds for the Knicks are +158 compared to the 76ers at -192. TNT is carrying the game on TV.
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Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Knicks and 76ers have gone in favor of the Knicks, putting together a record of 7-3. Looking back over the previous three times that the Knicks and 76ers have faced off, they have combined to average 201 points per game and have an over/under record of 1-2.
- New York has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 122 points per game while allowing 111. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
- In their last five home games, Philadelphia has averaged 112 points per game while allowing 108. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Knicks have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Philadelphia has an ATS mark of 9-1 while going 10-0 straight up.
Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks Prediction
The Knicks pulled out a close win in the most recent game of this series, beating the 76ers by a score of 104-101. New York was favored by 4.5 points heading into the game, so they did not cover the spread. The Knicks outscored the 76ers 30-21 in the 3rd quarter to take a 79-74 lead into the 4th. The over/under line for the game was 205.5 points, and the teams fell just short of that with 205 combined points.
Jalen Brunson led the Knicks with 24 points, and Josh Hart had 21 points and 15 rebounds. Tyrese Maxey had a big game for the 76ers, finishing with 35 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds. As a team, the 76ers shot just 36.1% from three-point range, which was around their season average.
In terms of their ATS record, the Knicks are 46-37 this season and have covered the spread in three straight road games. On the road, they are 23-17 ATS compared to 23-20 straight up.
As underdogs, the Knicks have gone 17-18 ATS this season and are 14-21 straight up. They have been the underdog in 35 of their 82 games and have a scoring differential of -2.5 points per game.
New York’s O/U record for the season is 37-46-1, and their games have averaged a combined 220.7 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 201.5 is lower than all of their previous games.
The Knicks are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 50-32. In their last game, they beat the 76ers by a score of 104-101. New York was favored by 4.5 points in that game.
Offensively, the Knicks are averaging 112.8 points per game this season, which is 19th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, at 114.4 points per game. The Knicks’ field goal percentage of 46% is 22nd in the NBA. Jalen Brunson is averaging 31 points per game over his last five games, while Donte DiVincenzo has averaged 16.6 points in his last five games while hitting 3.2 threes per contest.
Julius Randle is averaging 24 points and 9.2 rebounds this season, but he is currently out with a shoulder injury. Josh Hart has averaged 12.2 rebounds and 17.4 points in his last five games. Overall, the Knicks have outscored the league average in 43.9% of their games.
When it comes to defense, the Knicks have been one of the best units in the NBA this season, allowing just 108.1 points per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 111.1 points per contest, which is the 8th best mark in the NBA.
One area where the Knicks have been able to limit their opponents is from beyond the arc, as they are 11th in the NBA in three-point field goal percentage allowed at 36.2%. In terms of steals, New York is 19th in the league at 7.5 per game.
When it comes to rebounding, the Knicks have been solid, ranking 5th in the NBA at 45.2 boards per contest. However, they have struggled to protect the rim this season, ranking 29th in blocked shots per game at just 4.1.
Today, the 76ers are favored by 4.5 points against the Knicks. This season, they have been favored in 52 of their 82 games and have gone 39-13 in those games. As the favorite, they have a scoring margin of +8.2 PPG.
Philadelphia’s ATS record for the season is 50-34, including a record of 24-17 ATS at home. As the favorite, they are 34-18 ATS and have covered the spread in 10 straight games.
In their most recent game against the Knicks, the 76ers lost by a score of 104-101. They were 4.5-point underdogs going into the game and the O/U line was 205.5.
The 76ers are currently 3rd in the Atlantic Division with a record of 47-35. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 7th place. At home, they have won five straight games and have a record of 26-16.
This season, the average combined scoring total in 76ers games is 225.6. Today’s O/U line is set at 201.5, and their games have averaged an O/U line of 226.2 points.
Joel Embiid is averaging 29.5 points per game over his last four games, but he has shot just 39.6% from the field in that stretch. Tyrese Maxey has been shooting the ball well of late, hitting 50.5% of his shots from the field and 39.5% of his threes. This has led to an average of 3.4 made threes per game in his last five games.
Philadelphia is 16th in scoring this season, at 114.6 points per game. Their home scoring average is 115.2 points per contest, which is 14th in the league. Looking at their three-point shooting, the 76ers are 19th in both three-point percentage and attempts.
When it comes to defense, the 76ers have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are 9th in points allowed per game at 111.4. At home, they are giving up 110.4 points per contest, which is also 9th in the NBA.
Over their last five games, Philadelphia has been even better on the defensive end, ranking 4th in points allowed at 103.6. During that stretch, they have been especially stingy inside the arc, giving up just 45.2% shooting on two-point attempts.
One area where the 76ers have struggled defensively this season is at the free-throw line. They are 25th in made free-throws allowed per game at 23.5. However, over their last five games, they have done a better job at keeping opponents off the charity stripe, ranking 21st in made free-throws allowed.
In spite of being 4.5 point underdogs, we anticipate the Knicks winning this one 111-106.
Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks Betting Tips
- We like the Knicks on the moneyline (+158)
- The Knicks are also our pick on the spread at +4.5
- Projecting a combined 217 points, we like the over
Philadelphia 76ers Injury Report
- Joel Embiid – Knee – Questionable
- Robert Covington – Knee – Out
- De’Anthony Melton – Back – Questionable
New York Knicks Injury Report
- Julius Randle – Shoulder – Out
- Mitchell Robinson – Ankle – Questionable