Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Preview
At 7:00 ET, the 76ers will host the Heat at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. ESPN will be televising the game.
Currently, Philadelphia is favored by 5.5 points and the over/under line is set at 207.5. The 76ers have won eight straight and are 47-35 on the season. As for Miami, they have won two in a row and are 46-36 overall. The Heat are 8th in the East, while the 76ers are 7th.
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Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over their previous five games against the 76ers, the Heat have put together a record of 3-2. Going back to the last five head-to-head games between the 76ers and Heat, the over/under record in these games is 3-2 with a combined average of 215 points per contest.
- Miami has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 115 points per game while allowing 108. The team also performed well vs the spread at 5-0.
- Across their last three home contests, Philadelphia has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 119 points per game.
- The last ten games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 2-8 straight up.
- The 76ers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Prediction
Miami is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 46-36. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Eastern Conference teams, Miami is 32-20 compared to 14-16 against the West.
As the underdog, Miami has gone 11-23 this season. They have lost their last three games as the underdog and are 17-17 ATS on the road compared to 24-14 straight up.
The Heat’s O/U record for the season is 35-47, and their games have averaged 218.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 207.5, and Miami’s last two games have gone over the posted total.
In their last game, the Heat beat the Raptors by a score of 118-103. Miami was favored by 16.5 points in that game and improved their ATS record to 40-39 overall and 24-14 on the road.
Miami heads into the game as one of the worst scoring teams in the league, at 110.1 points per game. On the road, they are even worse, at 108.1 points per contest. The Heat are also near the bottom of the league in pace, averaging just 95.8 possessions per game.
Looking at Tyler Herro’s last five games, he is averaging 21.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 46.6%. Over this stretch, Jimmy Butler has hit 55.6% of his shots and is averaging 18.6 points per game. For the season, both Herro and Butler are averaging 20.8 points per game. Butler has averaged 5 assists per game this year, while Herro is at 4.5.
So far this season, the Heat defense has been performing well, ranking 3rd in the NBA at 108.4 points allowed per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.3% and allowing 35.4% from beyond the arc.
Philadelphia is favored by 5.5 points against the Heat today. This season, the 76ers have been favored in 51 of their 82 games and have gone 38-13 in those games. Their ATS record as the favorite is 34-17.
At home, the 76ers have an average scoring margin of +4.9 points per game. In their last four home games, they have won by an average of 4.9 points per game. Against the spread at home, they are 24-16 and 25-16 straight up.
Philly’s O/U record for the season is 42-40, and their games have averaged a combined 226.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 207.5, and 81 of their games have had higher O/U lines than that.
In their last game, the 76ers defeated the Nets by a score of 107-86. They were favored by 12.5 points in that game and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 214 points.
The win over the Nets improved the 76ers’ record to 47-35 for the season. In the Eastern Conference, they are currently in 7th place and are 3rd in the Atlantic Division.
Philly has won eight straight games and has gone 49-32 against the spread this season. Their current ATS win streak is at 10 games, and they have covered the spread in their last seven home games and five straight on the road.
Joel Embiid has been carrying the 76ers offense of late, averaging 33 points per game over his last three games. In these games, he hit 53.4% of his shots from the field and 3.3 threes per game. His season three-point shooting percentage is 38.8%. Tyrese Maxey is averaging 28.2 points per game over his last four games on a field goal percentage of 47.7%.
Philadelphia is 14th in the league in home scoring at 115.5 points per game. Overall, they are 15th in the league at 114.6 points per contest. The team’s three-point shooting percentage of 36% is 19th in the league. They are also 19th in three-point attempts.
At present, the 76ers’ defense is ranked 9th, allowing 111.5 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the 76ers’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.3% and allowing 35.3% from beyond the arc.
Even though they are 5.5 point underdogs, we see the Heat winning this game by a score of 113-106.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat Betting Tips
- We like the Heat on the moneyline (+175)
- The Heat are also our pick on the spread at +5.5
- Projecting a combined 219 points, we like the over
Philadelphia 76ers Injury Report
- Joel Embiid – Knee – Questionable
- Robert Covington – Knee – Out
- De’Anthony Melton – Injury Recovery – Out
- Kenyon Martin Jr. – Toe – Questionable
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Neck – Out
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Probable
