Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
The Thunder and Mavericks will tip-off their first-round series at 9:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. TNT is carrying this matchup, and the Thunder are the 3.5-point favorites at home. The over/under line is sitting at 218 points, and the Thunder are -162 on the money line compared to the Mavericks at +136.
Check out BetCoco for Oklahoma City Thunder – Dallas Mavericks odds
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Mavericks and Thunder did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Thunder have the leg up at 2-1. However, against the spread the Mavericks went 2-1. The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 241 points per game.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 105 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- In their last ten games at home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 108 points per game in this stretch.
- As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
- The Thunder have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Kyrie Irving had a big game for the Mavericks, scoring 30 points and hitting five threes. Luka Doncic also had a strong game, finishing with 28 points and 13 assists. As a team, the Mavericks hit 12 threes on 33.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Dallas was able to close out the series in six games, winning the series 4-2.
Defensively, the Mavericks held the Clippers to 101 points and 41% shooting from the field. They also limited the Clippers to eight made threes on 25% shooting. P.J. Washington added 14 points for Dallas, hitting four threes.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a double-double for the Thunder with 24 points and 10 rebounds. He also added three assists. Jalen Williams also had 24 points for Oklahoma City, along with four assists and eight rebounds. Williams shot 52.9% from the field and hit two threes.
Chet Holmgren added 14 points and nine rebounds for the Thunder. As a team, Oklahoma City hit 12 threes on 30% shooting. The Thunder won the game 97-89, and they closed out the series in four games, winning 4-0. The Thunder picked up the win on the road.
The Mavericks have a record of 50-32 this season and are currently 5th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 19-11 compared to 31-21 against Western Conference opponents.
As the underdog, the Mavericks have a record of 13-19 this season and are 16-16 ATS as the underdog. On the road, their ATS record is 29-15, and they have covered the spread in their last two road games.
Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 40-48, and the over has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 231.7 points, compared to today’s line of 218.
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Clippers by a score of 114-101. They were favored by 8 points going into the game and have now won two straight games. The O/U line for that game was 209.
Luka Doncic is averaging 29.2 points per game over his last five games to go along with 10.2 assists and 8 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 4.1 made threes per game while shooting 38.2% from outside. P.J. Washington is averaging 10.8 points and 5 rebounds in his last five games and 12.9 points and 5.6 rebounds for the season.
Dallas is one of the top three-point shooting teams in terms of three-pointers made and three-point attempts. They are averaging 14.6 made threes per game and 39.5 attempts. Overall, they are 15th in three-point shooting percentage. The Mavericks are 8th in scoring this season, at 117.9 points per game.
On the season, the Mavericks are giving up 114.6 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Opponents have been able to shoot 47.3% from the field and 36.8% from three-point range.
Over their last five games, Dallas has been much stingier on defense, allowing just 98.6 points per game. During that stretch, opponents have shot 43.1% overall and 35% from beyond the arc.
Throughout the year, opposing teams have scored more than their season average in 61% of games vs. the Mavericks. In terms of made threes, opponents have hit more than their season average in 61% of games vs. Dallas.
Today, the Thunder will look to extend their winning streak to 10 games as they host the Mavericks. Oklahoma City is currently the top seed in the Western Conference with a record of 57-25.
Oklahoma City has been favored in 65 of their 82 games this season and has gone 51-14 in those games. As the favorite, they have covered the spread in three straight games and have an ATS record of 38-27 vs. the favorite.
In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Pelicans by a score of 97-89. The O/U line for that game was 208.5, and OKC was favored by 4.5 points. The Thunder are 45-40-1 on the O/U for the season.
This year, the average O/U line in Thunder games has been 231.3 points, which is higher than today’s line of 218. Their games have averaged a combined 231 points per game.
Against the spread, the Thunder have covered in three straight games on the road and have an overall ATS record of 50-36. At home, they are 28-15 ATS and have an average scoring differential of +13.1 points per game.
Offensively, the Thunder are the NBA’s 2nd best home scoring team this season, at 122.5 points per game. Overall, they are 3rd in the league, averaging 120.1 points per game. Oklahoma City is also near the top of the league in field goal percentage, as they have hit 49% of their shots this season, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games on a field goal percentage of 47.4%. In these games, he also averaged 5.2 assists and 5 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 30.1 points, 6.2 assists, and 5.5 rebounds. Jalen Williams is averaging 19.1 points per game for the season and 18.8 over his last five games.
When it comes to defense, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been one of the best teams in the league this season. They are currently 10th in the NBA, giving up just 111.6 points per game. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 1st in the league at 88.8 points per game.
One area where the Thunder have excelled is in steals and blocked shots. They are currently 1st in the NBA in both categories. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, they are 3rd overall at 45.3%.
One area where opponents have been able to find success against the Thunder is from three-point range. On the season, they are 21st in the league in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.9%. In terms of three-point attempts allowed per game, they are 26th in the league at 37.0.
In spite of being 3.5 point underdogs, we anticipate the Mavericks winning this one 118-117.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+136)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +3.5
- Projecting a combined 235 points, we like the over
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Maxi Kleber – Shoulder – Out
- Luka Doncic – Knee – Probable
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Ankle – Out
