Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
Heading into game two of the Western Conference Finals, the 5th-seeded Mavericks lead the 3rd-seeded Timberwolves 1-0. The game is scheduled for 8:30 PM ET on Friday, May 24th, and will be televised on TNT. The Timberwolves are favored by -5.5 points, and the over/under is 207 points.
Check out BetCoco for Minnesota Timberwolves – Dallas Mavericks odds
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Timberwolves and Mavericks have gone in favor of the Timberwolves, putting together a record of 6-4. Going back to the last five head-to-head games between the Timberwolves and Mavericks, the over/under record in these games is 2-3 with a combined average of 218 points per contest.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 106 points per game in these contests.
- When looking at their past ten home matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 108 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
- The Mavericks have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
- As the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Minnesota posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Despite being 4.5-point underdogs, the Mavericks pulled out a 108-105 win over the Timberwolves in the most recent game of this series. Going into the game, the over/under line was at 206.5 points, and the teams surpassed that by 6.5 points. The Mavericks held the Timberwolves to just 42.7% shooting in the game, and Minnesota’s 18 made threes was above their season average.
Offensively, the Mavericks made just six threes, which was well below their season average. Luka Doncic had 33 points to lead all scorers, while Jaden McDaniels hit six threes for the Timberwolves. Kyrie Irving was the second-leading scorer for the Mavericks with 30 points.
Dallas is 19-17 ATS as the underdog this season and has covered the spread in three straight games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 16-20. The O/U record for their games is 43-52, and the over has hit in their last two games.
The Mavericks’ road ATS record for the season is 32-16, and they are 30-18 straight up on the road. In the Western Conference, they are 5th and have a record of 31-21 against other teams in the West.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks beat the Timberwolves by a score of 108-105. They were 4.5-point underdogs going into the game. Today’s O/U line of 207 is lower than their last game’s line of 206.5.
On average, Dallas games have seen a combined scoring total of 230.3 points this season. Their O/U lines have averaged 231.9 points.
In the Western Conference standings, the Mavericks are in 5th place with a record of 50-32. Against the spread, they are 56-39 for the season.
Looking at Luka Doncic’s last five games, he is averaging 26.6 points, 8.8 assists, and 10.6 rebounds. In these games, he hit 37.5% of his threes and 46% of his shots from the field. On the season, he is averaging 4.1 made threes per game. P.J. Washington is averaging 12.9 points and 5.6 rebounds for the season but over his last five games, he averaged 16 points and 8 rebounds.
This season, the Mavericks are 4th in three-point attempts and 11th in three-point field goal percentage. On average, they are making 14.6 threes per game. Dallas is also 9th in scoring at 117.9 points per contest. For the season, they are at 117.2 points per game at home and 115.4 on the road.
On the season, the Mavericks have been a middle of the road defensive team, ranking 17th in points allowed per game at 114.0. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 4th in points allowed at just 102.8 points per game.
One area where Dallas has struggled this season is in steals, ranking 25th in the league at 6.9 per game. However, they have been solid in terms of blocked shots, ranking 13th in the NBA at 5.0 per game.
So far this year, opponents have made 36.5% of their three-point attempts vs. the Mavericks, which is 16th in the league. In terms of overall field goal percentage allowed, they are 13th at 47.1%.
Minnesota is favored by 5.5 points at home today and has a record of 50-19 as the favorite this season. When favored, they have gone 32-36 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +8.5 points per game.
As the favorite, the Timberwolves are 14-11 straight-up and 16-9 vs. the spread as the home team. On average, their games as the favorite have seen a combined scoring total of 218.1 points.
Minnesota’s last game was also against the Mavericks, and they lost by a score of 108-105. The O/U line for that game was 206.5, and the teams combined for 213 points.
This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 49-45, and 86 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 207. In games with higher O/U lines, the Timberwolves are 44-42, and they are 4-3 in games with lower O/U lines.
Overall, Minnesota is 56-26 this season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 19-11 and 37-15 against Western Conference opponents.
In terms of ATS, Minnesota is 48-45 for the season, going 21-26 ATS at home and 27-19 ATS on the road.
Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 20th-ranked scoring offense, at 113 points per game. Their production at home is even worse, at 111.3 points per contest. Despite their low ranking in pace, the Timberwolves are 3rd in three-point shooting percentage, at 38%.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 24.8 points per game over his last five games on a shooting percentage of 42.3%. In this stretch, he also averaged 6.6 assists and 6.4 rebounds. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit just 21.4% of his threes in his last five games but is still averaging 17 points and 10 rebounds in these games.
When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the NBA this season, allowing just 105.7 points per game. This is also the best mark in the league when playing at home (103.2 ppg). Over their last five games, they have given up just 99 points per game (2nd).
One area where the Timberwolves have been successful is in defending the three-point line. On the season, they are 3rd in three-point percentage allowed (35.6%). In terms of steals and blocked shots, they are 6th and 7th, respectively.
When it comes to opponents’ scoring, Minnesota has held them below their season average in 84.1% of their games. In terms of opponents’ three-point shooting, they have held them below their average 81.7% of the time.
Despite being 5.5 point underdogs, we predict the Mavericks to come out on top with a final score of 113-112.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+176)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +5.5
- Projecting a combined 225 points, we like the over
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Mike Conley – Soleus – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Maxi Kleber – Shoulder – Out
- Luka Doncic – Knee/Ankle – Probable
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Ankle – Out
