Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
The Timberwolves and Mavericks are set to tip off this Western Conference Finals series at 8:30 PM ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The Timberwolves are the 4.5 point favorites and are -184 on the money line. As for the Mavericks, their money line odds are +152. The over/under line is currently sitting at 208 points. TNT is carrying the game on TV.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last ten head-to-head matchups between then Timberwolves and Mavericks have gone in favor of the Timberwolves, putting together a record of 6-4. In the last five head to head games between the Mavericks and Timberwolves, the average combined point total is 224 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 106 points per game in these contests.
- In their last three home games, Minnesota has averaged 100 points per game while allowing 94. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
- The Timberwolves have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Luka Doncic had a huge game for the Mavericks, putting up 29 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists. He also shot 60% from the field and hit four threes. Derrick Jones Jr. added 22 points for the Mavericks, and both he and Kyrie Irving hit four threes.
As a team, the Mavericks hit 16 threes on 47.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Overall, they shot 51.2% from the field. Dallas won the game 117-116, which allowed them to close out the series in six games. The Mavericks won the series 4-2 and will now move on to the next round of the playoffs.
Jaden McDaniels was the leading scorer for the Timberwolves in their 98-90 win over the Nuggets, as he finished the game with 23 points. He also added six rebounds and knocked down 75% of his threes. Karl-Anthony Towns also had 23 points for Minnesota, while pulling down 12 rebounds. As a team, the Timberwolves hit 10 threes on 29.4% shooting from beyond the arc.
With the win, the Timberwolves closed out their series vs. the Nuggets, winning the series 4-3. Minnesota picked up the win on the road, and they held Denver to just 90 points. As a team, the Nuggets hit 10 threes on 29% shooting from beyond the arc. Anthony Edwards added 16 points for the Timberwolves in the win.
Dallas has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 15-20 as the underdog this season. Today, they are getting 4.5 points against the Timberwolves. In their games as the underdog, they have gone 18-17 against the spread.
This season, the Mavericks have gone 42-52 on the over/under, and their games have averaged 230.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 208, and 93 of their games have had higher O/U lines.
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Thunder by a score of 117-116. The O/U line for that game was 208.5. Dallas was favored by 4 points, giving them the ATS loss.
In the Western Conference standings, the Mavericks are currently in 5th place with a record of 50-32. Against the Western Conference, they are 31-21 and 19-11 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Mavericks are 29-18 straight up and 31-16 ATS. Their average scoring margin on the road is +1.1 points per game.
Looking at the Mavericks’ offense, they are averaging 117.9 points per game this season, which is 8th in the league. For the season, they are 4th in three-pointers made per game, at 14.6, and 3rd in attempts, at 39.5. Despite their high volume of three-point attempts, they have a three-point shooting percentage of 36%, which is 14th in the NBA.
Luka Doncic is averaging 25.8 points per game over his last five games, to go along with 8.6 assists and 11.4 rebounds. In these games, he hit 44.7% of his threes. P.J. Washington is averaging 19.2 points and 8.8 rebounds in his last five games while hitting 45.7% of his threes. Doncic’s season average is 33.9 points per game, and Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game for the season.
So far this season, the Mavericks have given up 114.1 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. Over their last five games, Dallas has been even better on defense, allowing just 103.8 points per game, which is 4th in the league.
One area where the Mavericks have been solid is defending the three-point line. On the season, opponents are shooting just 36.5% from three against Dallas, which is 16th in the NBA. Over their last five games, the Mavericks have been even better, holding teams to just 30.8% shooting from beyond the arc.
When it comes to steals, Dallas is 25th in the league at 6.9 per game. However, they have been able to block shots at a solid rate, ranking 14th in the NBA.
Minnesota is looking to extend their win streak to three games after defeating the Nuggets 98-90. They covered the spread as 4.5-point underdogs, and the game finished with a scoring total of 188 points, which was well below the O/U line of 201.5.
This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 48-45, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 208 points, and their games have averaged 218.1 points per game.
In terms of their ATS record, Minnesota is 48-44 for the season and has covered the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 21-25 ATS compared to 27-19 on the road.
The Timberwolves are currently in 3rd place in the Western Conference with a record of 56-26. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 37-15 and 12-4 in their division.
Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 18th-ranked scoring offense, at 113 points per game. Their production has been a little worse at home, as they are averaging 111.5 points per contest on their home floor. In terms of pace, the Timberwolves are 26th in the league, averaging 97 possessions per game.
Anthony Edwards is averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five games on a field goal percentage of 44.8%. For the season, he is averaging 25.9 points per contest. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 21.8 points per game for the season, to go along with 8.3 rebounds.
When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves are the best in the NBA, allowing just 105.7 points per game. They are also the top-ranked field goal percentage defense, holding opponents to just 45.2% shooting from the floor.
Minnesota has been especially tough on opposing two-point shooters, ranking first in the league at 50.8%. They have also been good at defending the three-point line, ranking third in three-point field goal percentage allowed.
Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have given up just 100.8 points per game, which is the second-best mark in the league during that span.
Even though they are 4.5 point underdogs, we see the Mavericks winning this game by a score of 113-112.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+152)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +4.5
- Projecting a combined 225 points, we like the over
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Mike Conley – Calf – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Maxi Kleber – Shoulder – Out
- Luka Doncic – Knee/Ankle – Probable
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Ankle – Out
