Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (44-35, 8th in the East) will host the Dallas Mavericks (49-30, 5th in the West) in a non-conference matchup. The Mavericks come into this game as 6.5-point favorites and have won four straight games. The over/under line for this game is set at 215 points.
This game will be played at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on ESPN.
Check out BetCoco for Miami Heat – Dallas Mavericks odds
Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over their previous five games against the Heat, the Mavericks have put together a record of 3-2. In the last five head to head games between the Mavericks and Heat, the average combined point total is 223 points per game. The over/under record in these matchups is 2-3.
- Although Dallas has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 8-2. The team averaged 121 points per game in these games.
- In their last five home games, Miami has averaged 115 points per game while allowing 108. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 5-0 vs. the spread.
- The last ten games that Miami was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 3-7 straight up.
- As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.
Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
In the Western Conference standings, the Mavericks are currently in 5th place with a record of 49-30. Against other teams in the West, they are 31-20 and 18-10 in non-conference games.
Dallas has won four straight games and is also in 1st place in the Southwest Division. On the road, they are 24-15 compared to 25-15 at home.
For the season, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 47-32, and they have covered the spread in four straight games. On the road, their ATS record is 26-13.
The O/U record for the Mavericks this season is 37-42, and their games have averaged 234.5 points per game. In their last two games, the final score has gone over the O/U line.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Hornets by a score of 130-104. They were favored by 13 points in that game, and the O/U line was 223.5.
Heading into tonight’s game, the Mavericks are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, averaging 118.7 points per game (5th). Interestingly, they have actually been better on the road this season, averaging 118.0 points compared to 119.4 at home (6th).
When it comes to pace, Dallas ranks 7th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th overall at 48%. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 4th in the league at 57%.
So far this season, the Mavericks have attempted the 2nd-most three-pointers in the NBA, averaging 39.6 per game. However, they are just 12th in three-point shooting at 37%. Overall, they are 8th in true shooting percentage.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 115.8 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 55.7% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.5% while allowing 36.7% from downtown.
Miami has an O/U record of 33-46-0 this season, and the over has hit in seven straight games. Today’s line is set at 215, and the average O/U line in their games is 220.8.
The Heat’s ATS record for the season is 39-37, and they have covered the spread in three straight games. At home, their ATS record is 15-23, compared to 24-14 on the road.
In the Eastern Conference, Miami is currently in 8th place with a record of 44-35. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Heat are 30-20, and they are 14-15 against the West.
Miami’s most recent game was a 117-111 win over the Hawks. They were favored by 3.5 points in that game, and the O/U line was 217.5.
As underdogs, the Heat have gone 11-22 straight-up this season, and they have lost two straight games as the underdog. Today, they are getting 6.5 points against the Mavericks.
At home, the Heat are averaging 112.2 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, Miami is 27th in scoring at 110.1 points per game. In terms of pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 95.9 possessions per game.
So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA average in 39.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, the Heat are 23rd in the league at 46%. From beyond the arc, Miami is 13th in three-point shooting at 37%.
When it comes to assists, the Heat are 20th in the NBA at 25.7 per game. In terms of free throw attempts, Miami is 13th at 22.2 per game. At home, the Heat are averaging 9.3 offensive rebounds per game, which is 27th in the league.
At present, the Heat’s defense is ranked 4th, allowing 108.5 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.2% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.5% of their three-point attempts.
The Mavericks enter this game as 6.5-point favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 117-114.
Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Heat (+6.5)
- Projecting a combined 231 points, we like the over
Miami Heat Injury Report
- Josh Richardson – Shoulder – Out
- Terry Rozier – Neck – Questionable
- Duncan Robinson – Back – Questionable
- Tyler Herro – Foot – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Josh Green – Ankle – Questionable
- Greg Brown III – Personal – Out
- Dereck Lively II – Leg – Out
