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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Betting Tips 3/27/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Betting Tips 3/27/2024

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Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns 3/27/24
  • We like the Suns on the moneyline (+248)
  • The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +7.5
  • Our NBA model projects 222 points, and we suggest taking the under

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Preview

At 10:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-311) will host the Phoenix Suns (+248) in a Western Conference matchup. The Nuggets are on a four-game win streak and are favored by 7.5 points over the Suns. The over/under line is currently set at 226.5 points.

This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and can be seen on ESPN. The Suns are currently 8th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-30, while the Nuggets are first in the West at 51-21.

Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Phoenix Suns odds

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Head-to-Head and Key Stats

Last season, the Suns and Nuggets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Nuggets have the leg up at 2-1. The Nuggets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 226 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-1-1.

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Phoenix has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 120 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 112 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Suns have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Phoenix posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-0.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Suns have gone 32-39-1 on the over/under this season, and 53 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 226.5. On average, their games have finished with 231.2 points per game.

In their last game against the Spurs, the Suns were favored by 12 points but lost the game by a score of 104-102. The O/U line for that game was 234.5, and the teams combined for 206 points.

Phoenix is 6-12 straight-up as the underdog this season and has gone 7-11 ATS in those games. As the underdog, they are 19-23 straight-up and 15-20 ATS on the road.

This season, the Suns are 42-30 overall, which is good for 3rd place in the Pacific Division and 8th in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 23-20 and 19-10 in non-conference games.

On the road, the Suns are 19-16 this season, and they have an average scoring differential of +2.8 points per game. As the underdog, they are 6-12 straight-up and 7-11 ATS.

This season, the Suns are the 10th highest-scoring team in the NBA, averaging 117.1 points per game. On the road, they are scoring 117 points per game.

When it comes to pace, Phoenix is 15th in the league at 98.4 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 4th in the NBA at 49%.

One area where the Suns have excelled is getting to the free-throw line. They are 5th in the league in free throws attempted and 2nd in made free throws at 19.2 per game.

In terms of defense, Suns is currently on par with the NBA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 114.1 points per game. Inside the arc, the Suns defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.2% and 36.2% from three-point territory.

The Nuggets have won four straight games and are currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 51-21. In non-conference games, they are 22-6 compared to 29-15 against Western Conference opponents.

Denver’s ATS record for the season is 33-37, and they have covered the spread in two straight home games. Overall, they are 18-16 ATS at home and 15-21 ATS on the road.

As the favorite, the Nuggets have won four straight games and have a record of 47-15 this season. Today, they are favored by 7.5 points. In their games as the favorite, they are 28-32 ATS.

In their last game, the Nuggets beat the Grizzlies by a score of 128-103. The O/U line for that game was 214.5, and the teams combined for 231 points. This improved Denver’s O/U record for the season to 29-41-2.

At home, the Nuggets have been a top-10 scoring team, averaging 119.0 points per game. Overall, they are 14th in the NBA with 114.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the league at 49%.

Despite being one of the top teams in assists (3rd), the Nuggets are last in the NBA in three-point attempts (30.8 per game). They are also 28th in free throw attempts and 29th in free throws made.

When it comes to pace, Denver is 28th in the league at 96.1 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 11th in the NBA at 37%.

So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th in the league at 110.0 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Nuggets are forcing 11.8 per game, which is 6th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 11th in blocked shots at 5.5 per game.

Despite being 7.5 point underdogs, we predict the Suns to come out on top with a final score of 113-109.

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns Betting Tips

  • We like the Suns on the moneyline (+248)
  • The Suns are also our pick on the spread at +7.5
  • Our NBA model projects 222 points, and we suggest taking the under

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  • Aaron Gordon – Foot – Questionable
  • Nikola Jokic – Back – Probable
  • Jamal Murray – Knee – Questionable
  • Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
  • Michael Porter Jr. – Illness – Probable
  • Zeke Nnaji – Adductor – Out

Phoenix Suns Injury Report

  • Bradley Beal – Finger – Questionable
  • Jusuf Nurkic – Ankle – Questionable
  • Damion Lee – Knee – Out

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