Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview
At 10:00 ET, the Timberwolves will take on the Nuggets in a Northwest division matchup. Minnesota is currently riding a two-game winning streak and is favored by 6 points. The over/under line is set at 212.5.
This game will be played in Denver at Ball Arena and can be seen on ESPN. The Timberwolves are 55-24 and currently hold the top spot in the Western Conference. The Nuggets are 55-24 and are second in the West. The moneyline for Minnesota is +183, while Denver sits at -223.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Minnesota Timberwolves odds
Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Denver and Minnesota, the Timberwolves hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 11 points.
- The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
- Through their last ten home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 8-2 while averaging 113 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
- As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
In Minnesota’s last game, they defeated the Wizards by a score of 130-121. The over/under line for that game was 224 points. This improved the Timberwolves’ record to 55-24, which is currently the best in the Western Conference.
For the season, Minnesota has gone 40-38 against the spread and 22-17 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they are 11-7 ATS on the road and 9-9 straight-up.
This season, Minnesota has seen 74 of their games have higher over/under lines than today’s line of 212.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 40-39, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Minnesota’s average over/under line for the season is 221.1 points, and their games have averaged a combined 219.4 points. In their last game vs. the Wizards, the O/U line was 224 points.
Minnesota is currently favored by 1.5 games over the Nuggets in the Western Conference standings. The Timberwolves have won their last two games and are 40-38 ATS for the season.
When it comes to scoring, the Timberwolves are 18th in the NBA at 113.2 points per game. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 114.2 points compared to 112.2 at home.
Minnesota has outscored the league average in just 43% of their games this season. They are 21st in pace at 97.1 possessions per game.
One area where the Timberwolves have excelled is three-point shooting. They lead the league in three-point shooting percentage at 38%. Overall, they are 10th in field goal percentage.
Minnesota’s defense has been playing well, ranking 1st in the NBA with 106.2 points allowed per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 50.5% while allowing 35.3% from downtown.
The Nuggets have won two straight games as the favorite and are favored by 6 points today. In their last game, they covered the spread with a 111-95 win over the Jazz. Denver was favored by 15.5 points in that game.
Denver has an ATS record of 20-19 at home and has covered the spread in three straight games at home. As the favorite, they are 31-36 ATS this season.
This season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 31-46-2. In their games, the average over/under line is 226 points, and the average combined scoring is 224.1 points.
With a win over the Jazz, the Nuggets improved to 55-24 on the season. In the Western Conference, they are in 2nd place and are 2nd in the Northwest Division.
Overall, the Nuggets have gone 31-18 against Western Conference opponents and 24-6 in non-conference games. At home, they are 32-8 compared to 23-16 on the road.
At home, the Nuggets are 10th in the NBA in scoring at 118.6 points per game. Overall, they are 14th in the league with an average of 114.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 4th at 49%. They are also 8th in two-point shooting at 56%.
Despite being 28th in pace, the Nuggets are 3rd in the NBA in assists at 29.4 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Denver is 13th with an average of 10.7 per contest.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 10th in the league at 37%. However, they are last in the NBA in three-point attempts per game. Denver is also 29th in free throw attempts and makes.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets’ defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 6th in the league at 109.5 points per game allowed. Denver’s defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 4th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 10th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.6 rejections per game.
In spite of being 6 point underdogs, we anticipate the Timberwolves winning this one 111-109.
Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Tips
- We like the Timberwolves on the moneyline (+183)
- The Timberwolves are also our pick on the spread at +6
- Projecting a combined 220 points, we like the over
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Aaron Gordon – Foot – Questionable
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
- Karl-Anthony Towns – Knee – Out
- Jaylen Clark – Achilles – Out
