Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview
At 9:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-185) will host the Milwaukee Bucks (+151) at Ball Arena. The Nuggets (-4.5) are favored in this non-conference matchup, and the over/under line is currently set at 239.5.
This game will be played in Denver and can be seen on ALT.
Check out BetCoco for Denver Nuggets – Milwaukee Bucks odds
Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Bucks and Nuggets did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Nuggets have the leg up at 2-1. The Nuggets also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 225 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 3-7 while averaging 123 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
- Across their three previous home games, Denver has an ATS mark of 0-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 103 points per game.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 0-5 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have gone 2-7-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
Today, the Bucks are the 4.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets. This season, Milwaukee has been the underdog in just two of their games, going 0-2 straight-up and 1-1 against the spread.
When looking at their ATS record, the Bucks are 18-28 overall and 8-12 on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last six road games.
Milwaukee’s O/U record for the season is 28-18, and their games have averaged 244.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 239.5 is right around their season average.
In their most recent game, the Bucks defeated the Pelicans by a score of 141-117. They were favored by 3.5 points and easily covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 243 points.
With a record of 32-14, the Bucks are currently in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. Against the East, they are 24-12 and 8-2 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Bucks have a scoring differential of +1.5 points per game. They have won their last two road games and have a road record of 11-9.
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 124.4 points per game (2nd). On the road, they are averaging 122.8 points per game (1st).
So far, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 78.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 2nd in the league at 102.1 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, Milwaukee is 3rd in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also one of the top teams in terms of true shooting percentage (2nd).
At present, the Bucks’ defense is ranked 24th, allowing 120.1 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Bucks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.6% and allowing 34.6% from beyond the arc.
In Denver’s last game, they defeated the 76ers by a score of 111-105. The Nuggets were favored by 13 points in that game. The combined scoring total of 216 was well below the over/under line of 225.5.
Today, the Nuggets are favored by 4.5 points against the Bucks. This season, Denver has been favored in 42 of their 47 games and has a record of 30-12 as the favorite. As the favorite, they have gone 17-23 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +4.8 points per game.
At home, the Nuggets have won four straight games and have an average scoring margin of +9.8 points per game. Their overall home record is 18-4, which is the 4th-best in the Western Conference.
For the season, Denver is 32-15, which is good for 3rd place in the Northwest Division and 4th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 17-10 and 15-5 in non-conference games.
The Nuggets have an O/U record of 17-29-1 this season, with the under hitting in their last five games. Today’s O/U line of 239.5 is higher than all but two of their games this season (44 of 47).
At home, the Nuggets are averaging 120.1 points per game, which is 9th in the NBA. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 115.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 4th in the league at 49%. However, they are just 26th in free throw attempts and 28th in three-point attempts.
When it comes to pace, the Nuggets are the slowest team in the NBA, averaging just 96.1 possessions per game. In terms of assists, Denver is 4th in the league with 28.8 per game.
So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.9% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 4th in the league at 56%.
Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 111.0 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 53.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.8% from downtown.
Despite being 4.5 point underdogs, we predict the Bucks to come out on top with a final score of 125-116.
Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Tips
- We like the Bucks on the moneyline (+151)
- The Bucks are also our pick on the spread at +4.5
- Projecting a combined 241 points, we like the over
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
- Julian Strawther – Knee – Out
Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report
- Giannis Antetokounmpo – Illness – Probable
