Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Preview
This first-round Western Conference series between the Clippers and Mavericks is currently being led by Dallas 3-2. Game six is set for 9:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavericks are favored by 7.5 points and are -339 on the money line. The Clippers are +266, and the over/under line is sitting at 206.5 points. ESPN is carrying the game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Los Angeles Clippers odds
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
When looking back on the last three head-to-head matchups between Los Angeles and Dallas, the Mavericks hold the edge with a record of 2-1. Not only does the team have the better record, but they have won in convincing fashion, posting an average scoring differential of 12 points.
- Across their ten previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 108 points per game.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Clippers have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction
The Mavericks picked up a 30-point win over the Clippers in the most recent game of this series. Dallas was favored by three points heading into the game and easily covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was set at 208 points, and the teams combined to score 216 points.
Luka Doncic had a big game for the Mavericks, finishing with 35 points, 10 assists, and seven rebounds. Maxi Kleber was also a big factor for Dallas, knocking down five threes and finishing with 15 points. Paul George and Ivica Zubac both had 15 points for the Clippers, who shot just 37.9% from the field and made only nine threes.
Today’s game against the Mavericks will be a rematch of the Clippers’ last game, which they lost by a score of 123-93. In that game, the O/U line was set at 208 points.
As the road team, the Clippers have gone 27-16 this season, and they are 21-22 against the spread on the road. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 3.3 points per game on the road.
For the season, the Clippers are 40-47 against the spread and 40-47 straight up. Today, they are 7.5-point underdogs and have an ATS record of 8-15 as the underdog.
In terms of their O/U record, the Clippers are 40-46-1 for the season. The over has hit in their last two games, and their games have averaged 226.7 points per game.
Looking at the Western Conference standings, the Clippers are in 4th place with a record of 51-31. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 30-22 and 21-9 against non-conference opponents.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the NBA’s 12th-ranked scoring offense at 115.6 points per game. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 115.3 points per game compared to 114.2 at home. Despite being near the bottom of the league in pace, the Clippers are among the league leaders in three-point shooting percentage, at 38%.
Paul George has averaged 19.8 points per game over his last five games while hitting 42.9% of his shots from the field. In that stretch, he hit 3.2 threes per game. James Harden is averaging 22.2 points per game in his last five games on a shooting percentage of 47.9%. He also hit 3.6 threes per game in those games.
On the season, the Los Angeles Clippers are giving up 112.0 points per game, which is 11th best in the NBA. When playing on the road, the Clippers are also giving up 112.0 points per game, which is 9th best in the league.
Over their last five games, the Clippers have been even better on the defensive end, giving up just 105.6 points per game, which is 8th best in the NBA during that stretch.
Opponents have been able to score less than their season average in 61.0% of games vs. the Clippers, which is 15th best in the NBA. When it comes to three-point shooting, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average vs. Los Angeles in 62.2% of games.
Today, the Mavericks are favored by 7.5 points at home against the Clippers. In their last game, the Mavs also covered the spread as 3-point favorites, winning by a score of 123-93.
Dallas has an O/U record of 39-48-0 this season, and the over has hit in their last two games. On average, their games have seen 231.9 points scored, compared to today’s line of 206.5.
Overall, the Mavericks have a record of 50-32, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 31-21 and 19-11 against non-conference opponents.
Against the spread, the Mavericks are 51-36 this season, including a record of 29-15 on the road and 22-21 at home. Currently, they are 14th in the West with a road ATS record of 29-15.
Looking at their ATS record as the favorite, the Mavericks are 35-20 and 40-15 overall. As the favorite, they have gone 40-15 straight-up, compared to 13-19 as the underdog.
Luka Doncic is averaging 30.2 points per game over his last five games on 41.7% shooting. In these games, he also averaged 9.2 rebounds. For the season, he has hit 38.2% of his threes and is averaging 4.1 made threes per game. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game this season and 25.8 points per game in his last five games. He hit 3.4 threes per game in his last five games.
This season, the Mavericks are 3rd in both three-point attempts and makes. Overall, they are 8th in scoring at 117.9 points per game. For the season, they have hit 36% of their threes, which is 15th in the league. Dallas is also a good two-point shooting team, as their field goal percentage of 56% is the 5th best mark in the NBA.
When playing at home this season, the Dallas Mavericks are giving up an average of 114.5 points per game, which is 19th in the NBA. Over their last five games, the Mavs have been even better on the defensive end, allowing just 100.2 points per contest, which is 4th in the league during that stretch.
On the year, opponents have made 36.9% of their three-point attempts vs. Dallas, which is 20th in the NBA. However, over their last five games, the Mavericks have struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing opponents to make 39.8% of their attempts from beyond the arc.
Overall this season, opponents have scored more than their season average vs. Dallas in 61% of their games. However, when it comes to steals, the Mavs are just 24th in the NBA at 6.9 per game.
With the Mavericks being favored by 7.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 116-113 in favor of the Mavericks.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Clippers (+7.5)
- Projecting a combined 229 points, we like the over
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Tim Hardaway Jr. – Ankle – Out
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Ankle – Out
Los Angeles Clippers Injury Report
- Kawhi Leonard – Knee – Out
- Terance Mann – Leg – Questionable
