Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Preview
Tip-off for game four of this first-round Western Conference series between the Clippers and Mavericks is set for 3:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavericks currently lead the series 2-1 and are favored by six points at home. The over/under line is sitting at 208.5 points, and the Mavericks are -238 on the money line compared to the Clippers at +194. ABC is carrying this one on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Los Angeles Clippers odds
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over their previous five games against the Mavericks, the Clippers have put together a record of 3-2. The last three times that the Mavericks have hosted the Clippers, the over/under record is 0-3 with the teams combining for an average of 230 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 0-3.
- Although Los Angeles has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 104 points per game in these games.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Dallas has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 104 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction
The most recent game of this Mavericks vs. Clippers series went to the Mavericks, as they picked up an 11-point win at home. Dallas had a huge 2nd quarter, outscoring the Clippers 36-18, and they went into the 4th quarter with a 78-67 lead. The Mavericks easily covered the spread, as they were favored by 4.5 points and won 101-90. The game also fell well short of the over/under line of 213.5 points.
Both teams struggled from beyond the arc in the most recent game, as the Clippers made just 10 threes and the Mavericks made only 9. Luka Doncic had a double-double for the Mavs with 22 points, 9 assists, and 10 rebounds. As for the Clippers, James Harden and Norman Powell each had 21 points, with Harden hitting five threes.
Today, the Clippers are looking to avoid a three-game losing streak as they are currently 6-point underdogs against the Mavericks. In their last game, the Clippers lost to the Mavericks by a score of 101-90.
This season, the Clippers have an O/U record of 38-46-1, and the under has hit in their last five games. On average, their games have finished with 226.8 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 208.5.
In terms of their ATS record, the Clippers are 39-46 overall and 20-22 on the road. Against the spread, they have failed to cover in their last two games and are 7-14 as underdogs this season.
In the Western Conference standings, the Clippers are currently in 4th place with a record of 51-31. Within the Pacific Division, they are in 1st place. Against Western Conference teams, the Clippers are 30-22 and 21-9 against the East.
Coming into the game, the Clippers are 12th in the league in scoring at 115.6 points per contest. But they have been below the league average in terms of scoring in 53.7% of their games. Looking at their pace, the Clippers are 27th in the league, averaging 96.6 possessions per game. Despite their below-average pace, the Clippers are 8th in field goal percentage, at 48%.
James Harden is averaging 18.8 points per game in his last four games on a shooting percentage of 45.8%. Over this stretch, he is averaging 3.2 made threes per game. Paul George has hit 2.2 threes per game in his last four but just 15.2 points. Kawhi Leonard is averaging 23.7 points per game for the season but is questionable with a knee injury.
On the season, the Clippers have been a top-10 defense, allowing 111.8 points per game (10th). On the road, they have been just as good, giving up 112.1 points per game (9th).
Over their last five games, the Clippers have been even better, allowing just 104 points per game (6th).
One area where the Clippers have struggled on defense is at the free-throw line, where they are 11th in made free throws allowed per game (21.1).
On the season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 59.8% of their games vs. the Clippers.
In terms of three-point shooting, the Clippers have done a good job of holding opponents below their season average, allowing opponents to make fewer threes than their season average in 59.8% of their games.
Dallas is 39-14 as the favorite this season and are favored by 6 points in today’s game. Against the spread, they are 34-19 as the favorite and have a scoring margin of +6.8 points per game in these games.
In games with an O/U line higher than 208.5, Dallas has averaged 232.2 points per game this season. Today’s line is 208.5, and the Mavericks have seen their last six games go under the posted total.
The Mavericks have an O/U record of 37-48-0 this season. On average, their games have finished with 234.2 points per game.
Overall, the Mavericks are 50-32 this season, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. In their last game against the Clippers, the Mavericks won 101-90 and covered the spread (-4.5).
Against the spread, Dallas is 50-35 for the season and has covered the spread in their last two games. At home, they are 22-20 ATS, while going 28-15 ATS on the road.
For the season, Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. Over his last three games, he is averaging 29 points, 4 threes, 8 assists, and 9.7 rebounds. Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.6 points per game this season and 25 points per game in his last three. In his last three games, he shot 49.1% from the field and 47.6% from beyond the arc.
Dallas is averaging 118.3 points per game at home this season, which is 9th in the league. Overall, they are 8th in scoring at 117.9 points per contest. The Mavericks are 3rd in made threes this season, at 14.6 per game, but are just 14th in three-point shooting percentage.
So far this season, the Mavericks have been a middle-of-the-road defensive team, allowing 115.0 points per game (18th). Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 12th in points allowed at 106.8.
One area that the Mavericks have struggled defensively is three-point shooting. On the season, they are allowing opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc (20th). Over their last five games, they have been a little better in that area, ranking 16th in three-point percentage allowed at 35.6%.
When it comes to rebounds, the Mavericks are 20th in the league at 42.9 per game. They are 14th in defensive rebounds and 15th in blocked shots.
Coming in as 6 point favorites, our projections have the Mavericks picking up a 118-115 win.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Clippers (+6)
- Projecting a combined 233 points, we like the over
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Tim Hardaway Jr. – Ankle – Doubtful
- Luka Doncic – Knee – Questionable
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Ankle – Out
Los Angeles Clippers Injury Report
- Kawhi Leonard – Knee – Questionable
