Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Preview
The Mavericks and Clippers are tied at one game apiece in this first-round Western Conference series. Tip-off for game three is set for 8:00 PM ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. ESPN is carrying the game on TV. The over/under line is sitting at 210.5 points, and the Mavericks are favored by 4.5 points at home. On the money line, the Mavericks are at -196 compared to the Clippers at +162.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Los Angeles Clippers odds
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The Clippers and Mavericks did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Clippers have a record of 2-1. The Clippers also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 208 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
- Across their five previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-1 while averaging 107 points per game.
- The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
- As the betting underdog, the Clippers have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
- As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 7-3 in these matchups.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction
Despite being 1.5-point underdogs, the Mavericks went into Los Angeles and picked up a 96-93 win over the Clippers in the most recent game of this series. Luka Doncic led all scorers with 32 points and also had nine assists. The Clippers shot just 36.8% from the field, and their eight made threes were well below their season average.
Heading into the game, the over/under line was set at 217 points, and the teams fell well short of that mark with a combined 189 points. The Mavericks covered the spread, and they held the Clippers to just 93 points. James Harden and Paul George each had 22 points for the Clippers.
Today, the Clippers are looking to avenge their most recent loss, which came against the Mavericks. In that game, the Clippers were favored by 1.5 points but lost by a score of 96-93.
As underdogs this season, the Clippers have gone 6-14 and are 4.5-point underdogs in today’s game. Their ATS record as underdogs is 7-13, and they have gone 20-21 ATS on the road.
For the season, the Clippers have an O/U record of 38-45-1, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 227.2 points, which is higher than today’s line of 210.5.
In the Western Conference standings, the Clippers finished in 4th place with a record of 51-31. Against Western Conference teams, they went 30-22 compared to 21-9 in non-conference games.
This season, the Clippers have gone 39-45 ATS and are 32-32 ATS as the favorite. Currently, they have lost three straight games against the spread as the favorite.
Los Angeles is averaging 115.6 points per game this season, which is the 12th best mark in the league. Despite being above average in scoring, the Clippers have been below average in terms of pace, averaging 96.6 possessions per contest. The team’s field goal percentage of 48% is the 6th best mark in the NBA.
Looking at Bones Hyland’s last two games, he has averaged 28.5 points per game on a field goal percentage of 47.8%. In these games, he also averaged 7.5 assists. Over his last two games, Paul George has shot 46.2% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc. James Harden has hit 38.1% of his threes this season.
When it comes to defense, the Clippers have been solid this season, ranking 10th in points allowed per game at 112.0. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 108.6 points per game.
One area where they have been particularly effective is defending the three-point line. Over their last five games, they have held opponents to just 30.9% shooting from beyond the arc.
Overall, opposing teams have scored less than their season average in 58.5% of games vs. the Clippers this season. They have also been able to limit opponents’ rebounding, ranking 16th in defensive rebounds per game.
The Mavericks come into today’s game as the 5th seed in the Western Conference with a record of 50-32. In the Southwest Division, they are in 1st place. As the home team, Dallas is 25-16 this season.
Dallas has gone 38-14 as the favorite this season and is favored by 4.5 points today. In the Western Conference, they are 31-21 compared to 19-11 against non-conference opponents.
Looking at their ATS record, the Mavericks are 49-35 overall and 33-19 as the favorite. At home, they are 21-20 ATS compared to 28-15 on the road. Dallas has covered the spread in their last two games as the favorite.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Clippers by a score of 96-93. They were 1.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for that game was 217, and the teams combined for just 189 points.
Dallas has seen the under hit in their last five games and have an O/U record of 37-47 for the season. Today’s O/U line of 210.5 is lower than all of their previous games.
Looking at Luka Doncic’s last three games, he is averaging 31.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 41.3%. In these games, he averaged 9.3 rebounds. Across his last four games, P.J. Washington has averaged 12.5 points and 5.5 rebounds. For the season, Washington has hit 1.8 threes per game at a rate of 32%.
Dallas is the 8th ranked scoring offense this season, at 117.9 points per game. Their scoring average at home is 118.7 points per contest. The Mavericks are also among the league leaders in three-point shooting, averaging 14.6 made threes per game, which is the 3rd best mark in the NBA.
When playing at home this season, the Mavericks are giving up an average of 115.0 points per game, which is 20th in the league. Overall, they are 19th in the NBA at 115.3 points per game allowed.
Over their last five games, the Mavericks have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 9th in the league at 107.2 points per game allowed.
On the season, opposing teams have made 13.1 three-pointers per game against Dallas, which is 20th in the NBA. However, over their last five games, the Mavericks have done a good job of defending the three-point line, ranking 22nd in three-point percentage allowed.
With the Mavericks being favored by 4.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 120-118 in favor of the Mavericks.
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Betting Tips
- Take the Mavericks on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Clippers (+4.5)
- Projecting a combined 238 points, we like the over
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Tim Hardaway Jr. – Ankle – Out
- Daniel Gafford – Back – Questionable
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper – Ankle – Out
Los Angeles Clippers Injury Report
- Kawhi Leonard – Knee – Questionable
