Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Preview
At 3:30 ET, the Nuggets (-159) will be taking on the Mavericks (+132) in a Western Conference matchup. Denver is currently favored by 3.5 points and has won five straight games.
This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Nuggets are 47-20 and the Mavericks are 38-29. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET and the game will be televised on ABC.
Check out BetCoco for Dallas Mavericks – Denver Nuggets odds
Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Head-to-Head and Key Stats
In the last three games between Dallas and Denver, the Nuggets have dominated the series, going 3-0. This includes a convincing margin of victory of 15 points per contest. Across the last three head-to-head matchups, Denver is averaging 124 points compared to Dallas at 109.
- In their last three road games, Denver has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 102. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home games, Dallas has an ATS record of just 8-2. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 122 points per game.
- As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Dallas posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
The Nuggets are looking to extend their winning streak to six games today against the Mavericks. As the favorite, Denver has won four straight games and is 43-14 this season as the favorite. They are favored by 3.5 points today.
In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Spurs by a score of 117-106. The O/U line for that game was 224.5, giving them their second straight under. Denver covered the spread as 10.5-point favorites.
On the season, Denver has an O/U record of 25-40-2, and their games have averaged 225.1 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 226.5.
Against Western Conference opponents, the Nuggets are 26-14 compared to 21-6 against the East. In the West, they are currently in 2nd place and have a record of 47-20.
Denver’s ATS record for the season is 31-34, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 15-18 ATS compared to 20-14 straight-up.
When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are averaging 114.8 points per game, which is 15th in the league. However, their scoring numbers are significantly better at home (118.9 PPG) compared to on the road (110.8 PPG).
In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the NBA at 96.2 possessions per game. This season, they have outscored the league average in 49.3% of their games.
Denver is one of the best shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 4th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 28th in three-pointers made per game (11.5) and have the 29th-ranked free throw rate.
Coming into the game, the Nuggets’ defense has finished two straight games with an increased number of points allowed. Overall, they are 7th in the league at 110.3 points per game allowed. Most recently, the Nuggets’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 106 points to the Spurs.
Dallas has won two straight games at home and will look to continue that streak as 3.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 16-19 at home and have covered the spread in their last two games.
In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are currently in 8th place with a record of 38-29. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 22-19 and 8-5 against teams in the Southwest Division.
This season, the Mavericks have been the underdog in 27 of their 67 games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 12-15, and they have gone 9-18 straight-up. Currently, they have lost three straight games as the underdog.
In their most recent game, the Mavericks lost to the Thunder by a score of 126-119. They were 9.5-point underdogs going into the game. The O/U line for the game was 233.5, and the teams combined for 245 points.
On average, the Mavericks’ games have seen a combined scoring total of 236.7 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 226.5. This season, their games have averaged an over/under line of 236.1 points, and they have a record of 34-33 on the O/U.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 119.8 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 6th in scoring at 119 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 3rd in made threes per game at 14.7. In terms of overall field goal percentage, they are 11th in the NBA at 48%. In terms of two-point shooting, the Mavericks are 4th in the league at 57%.
Overall, Dallas is 22nd in assists per game at 25.5. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 24th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, the Mavericks are 14th in made free throws per game and 10th in free throw attempts.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 117.7 points per game (22nd). Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 12 turnovers per game, which is 6th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 22nd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.8 rejections per game.
In spite of being 3.5 point underdogs, we anticipate the Mavericks winning this one 118-111.
Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Betting Tips
- We like the Mavericks on the moneyline (+132)
- The Mavericks are also our pick on the spread at +3.5
- Projecting a combined 229 points, we like the over
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Dante Exum – Foot – Questionable
- Luka Doncic – Hamstring – Questionable
- Josh Green – Ankle – Out
- Brandon Williams – Wrist – Out
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
