Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Preview
Heading into game three of the NBA Finals, the Celtics, who lead the series 2-0, will face the Mavericks. The 1st seeded Celtics are set to tip off against the 5th seeded Mavericks at 8:30 PM ET on Wednesday, June 12th. The game will be televised on ABC, and the Mavericks are favored by -1.5 points. The over/under line is 212.5 points.
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Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The last three times that the Mavericks have faced off vs. the Celtics as the favorite, they have gone 1-0. Over the last three head-to-head matchups between the Celtics and Mavericks, taking the Celtics against the spread has been a good bet, as they are a perfect 2-0-1 ATS.
- In their last ten games away from home, the Celtics have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 107 points per game in these contests.
- In their last ten games at home, the Mavericks have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 106 points per game in this stretch.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Celtics have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Mavericks have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.
Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Prediction
Even though Luka Doncic had a big game for the Mavericks, the Celtics were able to come out on top in the most recent game of this series, winning 105-98. Doncic finished with 32 points, 11 assists, and 11 rebounds. Jrue Holiday had 26 points for the Celtics, and Boston held the Mavericks to just six made threes on 23.1% shooting from beyond the arc.
Boston was favored by seven points heading into the game, and the Celtics’ seven-point win meant the game ended in a push. The 203 combined points were 11.5 points below the over/under line of 214.5 points.
The Celtics have won nine straight games and are the top seed in the Eastern Conference with a record of 64-18. In non-conference games, they are 23-7 compared to 41-11 against the East.
This season, the Celtics have been favored in 94 of their 82 games and have gone 76-18 as the favorite. As the underdog, they are 2-2 and have lost their last two games against the spread as the underdog.
On the road, the Celtics have a record of 33-14 and are 22-23 against the spread. On average, they are outscoring their opponents by 7.8 points per game on the road.
Boston’s O/U record for the season is 51-46-1, and the under has hit in their last three games. This year, their games have averaged 226.7 points per game.
In their last game against the Mavericks, the Celtics won 105-98. They were favored by 7 points in that game, and the O/U line was 214.5.
Boston comes into the game as the NBA’s top three-point shooting team, both in terms of three-pointers made per game and three-point shooting percentage. They are averaging 16.5 made threes per game and 42.5 attempts. Overall, the Celtics are averaging 120.6 points per game, which is the second-best mark in the league. Despite their high-scoring offense, they are just 25th in pace.
Jaylen Brown has been carrying the Celtics offense of late, averaging 27.2 points per game in his last five games. This has come while hitting 53.2% of his shots from the field. Jayson Tatum has averaged 2.6 made threes per game in his last five games, but his three-point shooting percentage in that stretch was just 31%. For the season, Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game. Derrick White is averaging 15.2 points per game for the season and 17 points per game in his last five.
So far this season, the Celtics have been one of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game at 107.8. They have been even better on the road, giving up just 108.8 points per game away from home.
Over their last five games, Boston has been even stingier, allowing just 102 points per game. During this stretch, they have been especially good at defending the three-point line, holding opponents to just 28.8% shooting from beyond the arc.
One area where the Celtics have excelled all season is at the free-throw line. They lead the league in fewest made free throws allowed per game at 16.7.
In games against Western Conference opponents, the Mavericks have gone 31-21 compared to 19-11 against the East. Overall, they are 50-32, which has them in 5th place in the West.
Dallas has a scoring differential of +3.5 points per game at home this season. On the road, they are 32-20 compared to 30-19 at home. The Mavericks are 25-24 ATS at home and 34-17 ATS on the road.
This season, the Mavericks have been the favorite in 61 of their 82 games. They have a record of 44-17 in those games and are 38-23 ATS as the favorite. As the favorite, they have a scoring differential of +6.6 PPG.
In their last game against the Celtics, the Mavericks lost by a score of 105-98. They were 7-point underdogs going into the game, resulting in a push for their ATS record. The O/U line for the game was 214.5.
Dallas has lost two straight games and is looking to improve their O/U record of 46-55 for the season. In their last two games, the under has hit, and their games have averaged 203 points.
Coming into the game, Luka Doncic is averaging 31.8 points per game over his last five games, while shooting 50% from the field. In these games, he averaged 4.6 made threes per game. For the season, he is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. The Mavericks are 4th in the NBA in both three-point attempts and makes this season.
Dallas is 10th in the league in home scoring this season, at 116.9 points per game. Overall, they are 9th in the league, at 117.9 points per contest. The team’s overall field goal percentage of 48% is 11th best in the NBA.
As the Dallas Mavericks prepare to take on the Boston Celtics, their defense will look to continue their strong play over the last five games, where they have allowed just 105.4 points per game. On the season, Dallas is 16th in the NBA, giving up 113.5 points per contest.
One area where the Mavericks have been solid is defending the three-point line. On the year, they are 16th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.4%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 8th in the NBA, holding opponents to just 34.1% from beyond the arc.
When looking at their overall numbers, Dallas is 14th in made free-throws allowed per game at 21.5. Over their last five games, they have been slightly better, ranking 15th in the league at 15.4 made free-throws allowed per game.
Despite being 1.5 point underdogs, we predict the Celtics to come out on top with a final score of 142-132.
Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Betting Tips
- We like the Celtics on the moneyline (+104)
- The Celtics are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 274 points, we like the over
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
Boston Celtics Injury Report
No Injuries Reported
