Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic Preview
The first-round series between the Magic and Cavaliers is all tied up at two games apiece heading into game five, which is set for 8:00 PM at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. NBA Network is carrying Tuesday night’s matchup on TV. The Cavaliers are favored by 4.5 points and are -191 on the money line. The Magic are +158, and the over/under line is at 199.5 points.
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Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Over their previous five games against the Cavaliers, the Magic have put together a record of 3-2. The last three times that the Cavaliers have hosted the Magic, the over/under record is 2-1 with the teams combining for an average of 195 points. The over/under record in their last three overall matchups is 1-2.
- Across their three previous road games, Orlando has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 94 points per game.
- In their last ten games at home, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 1-9 while going 2-8 vs. the spread. The team averaged 100 points per game in this stretch.
- As the betting underdog, the Magic have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Orlando posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
- As the betting favorite, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic Prediction
After a close first quarter, the Magic exploded in the 3rd quarter, outscoring the Cavaliers 37-10. The Magic held the Cavs to just 4 made threes and 23.5% shooting from outside. Orlando’s 55.8% shooting was well above their season average. The Magic were 2.5-point favorites heading into the game and easily covered the spread with their 112-89 win.
Orlando’s defense was the story of the game, holding the Cavs to just 89 points. Franz Wagner was the game’s leading scorer with 34 points, and he also had 13 rebounds. The Magic just missed the over/under line of 202 points, coming in one point short with 201 points.
Orlando’s ATS record on the road this season is 23-20, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. As the underdog, they are 25-21 vs. the spread.
In their last three games as the underdog, the Magic are 0-3 straight-up and 0-3 vs. the spread. Today’s line is 4.5 points, and they are 18-28 as the underdog this season.
Orlando’s O/U record for the season is 39-47, and their games have averaged 217.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 199.5.
The Magic are 5th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. In their last game, they defeated the Cavaliers by a score of 112-89. Orlando was favored by 2.5 points going into the game.
Against Eastern Conference opponents, the Magic have gone 32-20 compared to 15-15 against the West. On the road, they are 18-25, and their straight-up record as the underdog is 25-21.
Offensively, the Magic are averaging 110.5 points per game this season, which is 25th in the league. Their scoring production is slightly better at home compared to on the road. Orlando’s offense is heavily reliant on getting to the free-throw line, as they are leading the NBA in free-throw attempts per game. This season, Wendell Carter Jr. has hit 37.4% of his three-point looks and is averaging 1.2 made threes per game.
Over their last five games, Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are averaging 22.2 points per game. Wagner shot 50% from the field in these games, while Banchero’s field goal percentage was 44.8%. Banchero’s season average for assists is 5.4, while Wagner is at 3.7. Jalen Suggs has hit 39.7% of his three-point looks this season but is at just 27.3% over his last five games.
When it comes to defense, the Orlando Magic have been one of the best teams in the league this season, ranking 2nd in points allowed per game at 107.6. In their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 90.6 points per contest.
One area where the Magic have excelled is defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.2% from beyond the arc, which is 4th best in the NBA. In fact, in 68.3% of their games this season, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average.
Overall, Orlando has done a good job of keeping teams off the free-throw line, ranking 20th in the league in made free-throws allowed per game at 22.1.
The Cavaliers are looking to bounce back from a 112-89 loss to the Magic in their most recent game. The combined scoring in that game was 201 points, which was well below the O/U line of 202.
In terms of their ATS record, the Cavs are 40-44 for the season and have gone 21-22 ATS at home. Today, they are favored by 4.5 points and have an ATS win streak of two games.
As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 39-16 straight-up and 26-28 vs. the spread. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 6.8 points per game as the favorite.
This season, the Cavaliers have gone 42-43-1 on the O/U and have seen an average of 221.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 199.5 is lower than their season average of 221.8.
The Cavs are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 48-34. In the Central Division, they are in 2nd place.
Overall, the Cavaliers are 23rd in scoring at 112.6 points per game. This figure is slightly below their production at home, where they are 17th in the league at 113.7 points per contest. Cleveland’s pace of 97 possessions per game is 21st in the NBA. The Cavaliers are averaging 13.5 made threes per game this season, which is 10th in the league. They are also 10th in three-point attempts, getting up 36.8 attempts per contest.
Donovan Mitchell is averaging 3.3 made threes per game this season, hitting 36.8% of his looks from beyond the arc. Over his last four games, he has hit 42.5% of his shots from the field and is averaging 21 points in that stretch. Darius Garland is averaging 18 points per game this year to go along with 6.5 assists. For the season, Jarrett Allen is averaging 16.5 points and 10.5 rebounds. Over his last five games, he has hit 72.7% of his shots and pulled down 12.4 rebounds.
When it comes to defending the three-point line, the Cavs have done a solid job this season, ranking 10th in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.8%. On the year, opponents have made just 12.5 three-pointers per game vs. Cleveland.
Overall, the Cleveland defense has been one of the best in the NBA, ranking 7th in points allowed per game at 109.8. In their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 104.4 points per game.
One area where the Cavs have struggled is in the blocked shot department, ranking just 21st in the league at 4.6 blocks per game.
With the Cavaliers being favored by 4.5, our NFL analytics models has this one playing out 112-108 in favor of the Cavaliers.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic Betting Tips
- Take the Cavaliers on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Magic (+4.5)
- Projecting a combined 220 points, we like the over
Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Report
- Ty Jerome – Ankle – Out
- Dean Wade – Knee – Out
- Craig Porter Jr. – Ankle – Out
Orlando Magic Injury Report
No Injuries Reported