Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
With the series at 3-1 in favor of the Celtics, the 1st seed in the East, the 5th-seeded Mavericks will face off in game five of the NBA Finals at 8:30 PM ET on Monday, June 17th. The game will be broadcast on ABC, and the Celtics are favored by -6.5 points. The over/under is 209.5 points.
Check out BetCoco for Boston Celtics – Dallas Mavericks odds
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Head-to-Head and Key Stats
Last season, the Mavericks and Celtics did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Celtics have the leg up at 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 1-1-1 and finished with an over/under mark of 1-2. These games averaged a combined 204 points per contest.
- Through their last ten road contests, the Mavericks offense has averaged 106 points per game while allowing an average of 103. Dallas posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 7-2-1 ATS.
- Through their last three home contests, the Celtics offense has averaged 98 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Boston posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
- In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Mavericks have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-1-1 in these scenarios.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Celtics have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-1-1 against the spread.
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks picked up a big win in the most recent game of this Celtics vs. Mavericks series, winning by a score of 122-84. Dallas was a 1-point underdog heading into the game, and they easily covered the spread. The Mavericks got off to a hot start in this game, outscoring the Celtics 34-21 in the first quarter.
Luka Doncic led the Mavericks with 29 points, and he also added five assists and five rebounds. Kyrie Irving was also a big contributor for the Mavericks with 21 points. On the other side, the Celtics shot just 36.2% from the field. Going into the game, the over/under line was at 211.5 points, and the teams fell just short of that with a combined 206 points.
Today, the Mavericks are looking to complete a season sweep of the Celtics after winning their last matchup by a score of 122-84. In that game, the O/U line was 211.5, and the teams combined for just 206 points.
This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 46-57, and the under has hit in their last four games. On average, their games have finished with 228.7 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 209.5.
When it comes to ATS, the Mavericks have gone 60-42 this season, including a 34-17 record on the road. As the underdog, they are 22-18 vs. the spread and have covered in two straight games as the underdog.
Dallas is currently 5th in the Western Conference with a record of 50-32. Against the West, they are 31-21 and 19-11 in non-conference games. On the road, they are 32-20.
In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are in 1st place in the Southwest Division. As the underdog this season, they are 19-22 and have an ATS scoring differential of -3.4 points per game.
Luka Doncic has averaged 30.8 points per game over his last five games, while shooting 50% from the field. In these games, he also pulled down 8.4 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 33.9 points, 9.8 assists, and 9.2 rebounds. Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 2.7 made threes per game for the season on a shooting percentage of 35.3%.
This season, the Mavericks are 4th in both three-point attempts and makes. Overall, they are 11th in scoring at 117.9 points per game. On the road, they have averaged 114.6 points per game compared to 116.6 at home.
Heading into their matchup with the Boston Celtics, the Dallas Mavericks are allowing 113.1 points per game on the season, which is 13th in the NBA. On the road, they are giving up 113.6 points per game, which is 14th in the league.
Over their last five games, the Mavericks have been even stingier on the defensive end, allowing just 101 points per contest, which is the 2nd-best mark in the NBA over that span.
One area where opponents have had success against the Mavericks this season is from three-point range. On the year, opposing teams are shooting 36.4% from deep against Dallas, which is 16th in the league.
Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 64.6% of games vs. the Mavericks this year.
Today, the Celtics are favored by 6.5 points at home against the Mavericks. This season, they have been favored in 95 of their 82 games and have gone 76-19 in those games with an average scoring margin of +11.3 points per game.
In their last game against the Mavericks, the Celtics lost by a score of 122-84. Boston was favored by 1 point going into the game, and this loss dropped their overall record to 64-18.
Despite the loss, the Celtics are still in 1st place in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 41-11 compared to 23-7 against the West. Their ATS record vs. the East is 23-24 on the road and 27-21 at home.
This season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 51-48-1, and their games have averaged 226.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 209.5 is lower than 94 of their previous games, and the team has hit the under in their last five games.
Boston comes into the game as the NBA’s 3rd-ranked scoring offense, at 120.6 points per game. They have been even better at home, with an average of 121.2 points per contest. The Celtics are also near the top of the league in three-point attempts and makes, averaging 42.5 attempts and 16.5 makes per game.
Over their last five games, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown have been shooting the ball well from three, with Brown averaging 2.4 threes per game and Tatum at 3.1. Tatum’s season three-point shooting percentage is 37.6%. For the season, Tatum is averaging 26.9 points per game, and Brown is averaging 23 points per game. In this stretch, Brown’s overall shooting percentage is 49.4%.
When it comes to defense, the Boston Celtics have been one of the best teams in the league, ranking 3rd in points allowed per game at 107.8. Over their last five games, they have been even better, allowing just 102 points per contest.
One area where the Celtics have excelled is in their ability to prevent opponents from getting to the free-throw line. On the season, they are giving up just 16.8 made free-throws per game, which is tops in the NBA.
Despite being one of the best defensive teams in the league, opponents have been able to make more threes than their season average in 54.9% of games against the Celtics. However, they have done a good job of limiting attempts from beyond the arc, as they are 20th in three-point attempts allowed per game.
Based on our analysis, we foresee the Celtics winning the game with a predicted score of 111-104.
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Tips
- Take the Celtics on the moneyline
- The Celtics should also cover at -6.5
- Projecting a combined 215 points, we like the over
Boston Celtics Injury Report
- Kristaps Porzingis – Lower Leg – Questionable
Dallas Mavericks Injury Report
- Luka Doncic – Thoracic – Probable
