Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction & Betting Tips 7/7/2024

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Preview

From Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Nationals and Cardinals face off in an NL matchup. First pitch is set for 1:35 PM ET, and the Cardinals are the slight money line favorite, with their line sitting at -123 compared to the Nationals at +105. The over/under line is currently 9 runs.

Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, and they are 46-42 overall, putting them second in the NL Central. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with an overall record of 42-47. DJ Herz will be on the mound for the Nationals. BSMW is carrying this game on TV.

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Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats

• Over the course of their previous five away games, the Cardinals have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
• On the other side, the Nationals have gone 1-4 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
• Over their last ten games, the Cardinals have a 6-4 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 2-8 record vs. the runline.
• The Nationals have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.

Washington cruised to a 14-6 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Cardinals, they scored four of their six runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -128 on the money line.

MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals, going just 3 1/3 innings while giving up five runs and striking out five. Jacob Barnes got the win out of the bullpen. Lance Lynn only went 2 2/3 innings for the Cardinals, giving up 10 earned runs on nine hits.

Nolan Gorman hit the game’s only home run while going 3/5 with two doubles and five RBIs. Keibert Ruiz had a three-hit game for the Nationals, including a home run and three RBIs.

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

St. Louis is five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central and have an overall record of 46-42 as they play on the road today vs. the Nationals. The Cardinals are 13-12 against other teams in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 24-18 at home and 22-24 on the road.

The Cardinals have won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 24-19 when favored this year. As the underdog, St. Louis has gone 22-23. Their overall series record is 15-11-2, and they are currently tied with the Nationals in their series.

When it comes to the run line, the Cardinals have been a .500 team this season, going 44-44. They have been a better bet at home, going 24-18, compared to 20-26 on the road. As the underdog, they have been a good bet, going 28-17, while they have struggled as the favorite, going just 16-27. Their average run differential is -.5 runs per game, with a scoring margin of -.8 runs per game on the road and -.2 runs per game at home.

St. Louis has seen the over hit in two straight games, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Nationals is set at 9 runs. This season, the Cardinals have played to an average combined run total of 8.6 runs per game, and their over/under record is 40-45. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 6-5-1 on the year. Overall, 78.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.

Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with a 3.88 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .227 this season. In his 16 appearances, Gibson has turned in eight quality starts. In his most recent outing, he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work but still came away with the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gibson’s ERA at home is 4.69 compared to 3.37 on the road.

St. Louis comes into today’s game averaging 4 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is 14th. The Cardinals have been one of the worst power-hitting teams in the league this season, as their isolated power (ISO) of .137 is 20th in the league.

Over his last six games, Masyn Winn has gone 11/27 (.407), but he has not gone deep during this stretch. Brendan Donovan and Nolan Gorman are the team’s top home run hitters, with 8 and 17 homers, respectively. Gorman is batting just .202 this season, but his 17 homers are 10th in the league.

With a record of 42-47, the Nationals are 16 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they trail the Mets by two games for 3rd place in the division. Washington is 20-22 at home compared to 22-25 on the road. So far, they have gone 16-12 in divisional games.

As the underdog, the Nationals are 33-40 this year, and they are 9-7 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 11-15-2, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 52-37. They have been especially good at home, where they are 24-18 against the run line. The Nationals have covered the run line in four straight home games and are 44-29 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The Washington Nationals are playing host to the St. Louis Cardinals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Nationals and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 42-43. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-6-2. This season, 18.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their over streak is currently at 2 games.

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Cardinals, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up an earned run. In that July 2nd start vs. the Mets, Herz went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back at his last six games, Herz has made one quality start and has a record of 1-2 with a 4.67 ERA. Opponents are batting .259 vs. Herz this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 12.33 strikeouts and 2.33 walks.

Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 17th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, the Nationals are batting .238, and their team on-base percentage of .308 is 15th in the league. One area they have struggled in is home runs, as they are just 24th in the league in that category.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 14 home runs are 13th in the league. He is also leading the team with 46 RBIs. Luis Garcia Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/33 in his last nine games with three homers and 11 RBIs. This has helped him move into the 2nd spot in the Nationals’ lineup in terms of RBIs (44).

We like the Nationals on the money line in this one, with the payout currently sitting at +105. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Nationals, giving us a lot of value in taking them to win outright.

Looking at the starting pitchers, DJ Herz is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Kyle Gibson, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is the eighth worst.

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Tips

• Take the Cardinals on the moneyline
• The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over

Washington Nationals Injury Report

St. Louis Cardinals Injury Report