Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Preview
Seattle is the favorite heading into Sunday’s interleague matchup with the Nationals, as their money line odds are sitting at -173 compared to the Nationals at +143. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 1:35 PM ET, and MASN will be televising this one.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and today’s pitching matchup features Bryan Woo for the Mariners and Patrick Corbin for the Nationals. Corbin will look to keep the Nationals’ winning streak alive, as they have won four straight, while the Mariners are 27-26 and are 1st in the AL West.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Seattle Mariners odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- 1-4 is the record of Mariners in their last five road games. They have also gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
- In the Nationals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 0-5 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games, the Mariners have a 4-6 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have a 3-7 record against the runline and a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Nationals vs Mariners series. Washington went into the matchup as +136 underdogs and squeaked out a 3-1 win. The Nationals only had two more hits than the Mariners and struck out six more times, but still picked up the win.
Seattle’s offense got off to a fast start in the game, scoring their only run in the first inning. As for the Nationals, they didn’t get on the board until the 2nd inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 7th. Washington tacked on an insurance run in the 8th, and both offenses went silent after that.
Trevor Williams got the start for the Nationals, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Dylan Floro got the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan got the save. Gabe Speier took the loss for Seattle out of the bullpen.
Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is currently 27-26 overall and leads the AL West by three games over the Rangers. The Mariners are on a four-game losing streak, which includes dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Nationals. So far, they have gone 6-3 in divisional games.
At home, the Mariners have gone 15-10 this year, and they are 12-16 on the road. As the road team today, the Mariners have lost four straight games. This season, they are 15-13 as the favorite and 12-13 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 8-6-2 this year.
Seattle has been a solid run line bet at home, going 13-12, but they have struggled on the road, going 12-16. The Mariners have lost four straight run line bets on the road, and they have failed to cover in two straight games when they are the favored team.
Seattle is on the road facing the Washington Nationals, and today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 7.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-30. When the over/under line is set at 8.5, they have a 4-2 record. Overall, 7 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which is 13.2% of their games. Their games have had lower over/under lines in 40 games, or 75.5% of the time. They are currently on a streak of 3 straight under games.
Bryan Woo is on the mound for the Mariners today as they take on the Nationals. This will be his 3rd start of the season, and he has been solid in his first two outings. Woo has a win in each of his first two starts, and he has yet to allow an earned run. In his last start, he went 6 innings and struck out 7 against the Yankees.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ best power threat this season, as his 11 home runs are 6th best in the league and leads the team. However, he has struggled at the plate of late, going 3/22 in his last six games. Dylan Moore has also hit six homers this season and comes into the game with a batting average of .244. Moore has gone 6/20 in his last seven games, including two homers.
As a team, the Mariners are batting just .223, which is 23rd in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game, on-base percentage, and slugging. Overall, they are 7th in home runs, but this hasn’t translated to a lot of runs.
Washington has picked up two straight wins to get their record to 23-27, and they are 13.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they are 5-5 in divisional games. The Nationals have won two straight games, and this came after losing seven of their previous eight games.
At home, the Nationals are 10-12 this year, and they are just above .500 at 13-15 on the road. Washington has won two straight games as the underdog, and their overall record as the underdog is 20-25. As for their record as the home underdog, it is 9-11 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 5-10-1, and they have dropped four straight series.
The Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 31-19 overall. They’ve been especially good at home, where they are 13-9 against the run line. Washington has covered the run line in three straight games and has been a profitable underdog bet, going 28-17 against the run line when getting points.
The Washington Nationals are at home today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined average of 8.2 runs per game. The Nationals have gone over the total in 21 of their 48 games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 8-9. The under has hit in their last three games.
Washington is sending left-hander Patrick Corbin to the mound today vs. the Mariners. Corbin has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-5 with a 6.29 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has a WHIP of 1.77 and opponents are batting .318 this year. In his last outing, Corbin took the loss, giving up eight earned runs in six innings of work. He was tagged for three homers in that outing. Before that, he had given up just one homer in three straight outings. Corbin’s ERA at home is 5.62 compared to 6.75 on the road.
So far this season, the Nationals offense has been a below-average unit, averaging 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been a slightly better offensive team at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .226, which is 21st in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .303 is also towards the bottom of the league.
Coming into the game, CJ Abrams and Eddie Rosario are tied for the team lead with seven home runs. However, Rosario is batting just .177 for the season, and he has gone 4/23 over his last six games. Luis Garcia Jr. has been hot of late, going 6/23 in his last six games with two homers. He is also on a three-game hitting streak.
With the Nationals at +143 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. At +143, oddsmakers are giving the Nationals a 41.2% chance of winning, and we actually have them winning this one 5-4. So, we see a Nationals win as a great way to get some solid value.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Patrick Corbin finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing 16th among starters. As for Bryan Woo, we have him finishing with seven strikeouts, which would have him at seventh.
Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- Take the Mariners on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | Questionable | Undisclosed |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
