Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Preview
From Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Mariners and Nationals face off in an interleague matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 4:05 PM ET. MASN will be televising Saturday’s game.
Seattle is currently 27-25, while the Nationals are 22-27 overall. Logan Gilbert will start for the Mariners, while the Nationals are starting Trevor Williams. Washington is on a three-game winning streak, and they are the slight underdog on the money line (+145). The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Seattle Mariners odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- The Mariners are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the other side, the Nationals have gone 0-5 (SU) and 1-4 in their previous five home contests.
- The Mariners have a 4-6 straight-up record in their last ten games as the favorite, and 4-6 against the runline.
- The Nationals have a 3-7 record vs. the runline and a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
Washington cruised to an easy 6-1 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 4th inning, scoring three of their six runs. As for the Mariners, they scored their only run in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +108 on the money line.
MacKenzie Gore got the win for the Nationals, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued five walks. George Kirby had a rough outing for the Mariners, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up five earned runs.
At the plate, Keibert Ruiz and Luis Garcia Jr. each homered for the Nationals. Ruiz, Eddie Rosario, and CJ Abrams each had two RBIs. J.P. Crawford hit the Mariners’ only home run and drove in their only run.
Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Seattle is currently 27-25 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL West. They hold a three-game lead over the Rangers for the top spot in the division. The Mariners have dropped three straight games, which includes losing the first game of this series vs. the Nationals.
At home, the Mariners have gone 15-10 this year, but they are just 12-15 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle has gone 15-12 and 12-13 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 8-6-2 this year.
Despite a slightly negative run differential on the season, the Mariners have been a solid bet on the run line, going 25-27 overall. They have been better at home, going 13-12, but have struggled on the road, going 12-15. Their run line losing streak on the road is at three games, and they are 13-12 as the underdog.
Seattle is on the road today against the Washington Nationals, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Mariners have an over/under record of 20-29 on the season, and their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs this season, the over has hit in four of their six games. Overall, just 11.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their games have gone under the total in two straight contests.
Right-hander Logan Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Gilbert has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.20 ERA. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision against the Yankees, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Gilbert has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .197 off Gilbert this season, and he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back, he has allowed a total of seven homers this year.
Seattle’s offense comes into today’s game averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the MLB. They have been even worse at home, putting up just 3.5 runs per contest. The Mariners are also the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts, averaging 10 per game.
Cal Raleigh is the Mariners’ top run producer this season, with 28 RBIs, and his 11 homers are 7th best in the league. However, he is hitting just .220 for the season and has gone 4/22 over his last six games. Dylan Moore has also struggled this season, batting just .242, but he has gone 7/20 in his last seven games and has two homers in that stretch.
Washington is 22-27 overall, and they are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 13.5 games. So far, they have gone just 5-5 in divisional games. The Nationals have struggled on the road this year, going 13-15, and they are just under .500 at 9-12 at home.
So far, the Nationals have really struggled as the underdog, going 19-25, compared to 3-2 as the favorite. Washington has dropped four straight series, and their overall series record is 5-10-1 this year. The Nationals have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games.
Washington has been a run line machine this season, going 30-19 on the run line overall. They are 12-9 against the run line at home and 18-10 on the road. The Nationals have covered the run line in two straight games and have done so in two straight games as an underdog. Overall, they are 3-2 against the run line as a favorite and 27-17 as an underdog.
The Nationals are home today against the Mariners with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Washington’s games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and they have an over/under record of 21-26. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-9. So far this season, 22.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Trevor Williams gets the start for the Nationals today and has made nine appearances this season. He has a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 2.35. Out of his nine appearances, Williams has turned in one quality start. In his last outing, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and took the no-decision. Williams has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 1.62 compared to 2.78 on the road.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are just 23rd in runs per game at 4.0. This is also the 16th worst mark in the league. Overall, they are batting just .226 and have the league’s 16th worst home run total. The team’s on-base percentage of .304 is also just 18th in the league.
CJ Abrams and Eddie Rosario are tied for the team lead in home runs, but Rosario has really struggled with his batting average this season, hitting just .183. Rosario has also gone just 4/19 in his last five games. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .279 for the season and is on a five-game hitting streak.
Our pick for this Mariners vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Nationals on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +145. We have the Nationals winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Trevor Williams is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he ranks sixth among starters in terms of K’s. As for Logan Gilbert, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts as well, and he ranks ninth among starters.
Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- We like the Nationals on the moneyline (+145)
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
