Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Preview
Seattle comes into the interleague matchup vs. the Nationals looking to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 27-24 overall. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 21-27 and will be starting MacKenzie Gore. The Mariners are starting George Kirby.
Friday’s money line odds have the Mariners at -151 compared to the Nationals at +125. Tonight’s over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the game will be televised on RSNW.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Seattle Mariners odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- The Mariners are 2-3 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Nationals have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Mariners have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a runline record of 4-6.
- When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have gone 3-7 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 7-3 over their last ten games.
Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
The Mariners will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-0 loss. Seattle was the +130 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Mariners, as they got out of the 1st inning without giving up a run. However, the Yankees scored a run in the 2nd and added three more in the 3rd to put things out of reach. Seattle’s offense scored their only three runs in the 2nd inning of their 6-3 win over the Yankees on Saturday.
Luis Castillo got the start for the Mariners and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits. Seattle’s offense was held to just three hits, all of which were singles. The Mariners also didn’t have a walk in the loss.
Seattle is on the road today to take on the Nationals, having dropped two straight games. The Mariners are 27-24 this season, putting them three games ahead of the Rangers for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone 6-3 in divisional games.
The Mariners have been good at home this year, going 15-10, but they are just 12-14 on the road. As the road favorite, Seattle is 4-3 this year and they are 15-11 as the favorite overall. Seattle’s series record is 8-6-2, and they split their most recent series with the Yankees.
Seattle is 25-26 vs. the run line this season, including a 12-14 mark on the road. The Mariners have gone 13-12 vs. the run line at home, where they have a +0.4 run differential. Their average run differential in all games is -0.1, and they have a -0.5 run differential on the road. In their 26 losses, the Mariners have been outscored by an average of 3.7 runs per game.
The Seattle Mariners are on the road today against the Washington Nationals. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. Their games have averaged 7.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-28 overall. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 6-9, and nearly half of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 4-4 with a 3.99 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.01. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Orioles. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of those wins was a complete-game shutout vs. the Royals. Opponents are batting .226 off Kirby this season, and he has issued just 0.8 walks per nine innings.
Cal Raleigh comes into the game as the Mariners’ top home run hitter this season, but he has struggled of late, going just 3/18 in his last five games. Dylan Moore has also hit six homers this season, but he has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/17 in his last six games with two homers. Moore’s 19 RBIs are the 3rd most on the team.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .226, and they have the league’s worst strikeout rate. Overall, they have the 8th most homers in the league.
Washington closed out their series vs. the Twins with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Twins scored one run in the top of the 9th. The Nationals were the +108 underdog at home going into the game.
Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Nationals couldn’t close things out, and Irvin took the loss. Washington’s offense was carried by Joey Meneses, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Washington is 21-27 overall and trails the Phillies by 14.5 games in the NL East. The Nationals are 3rd in the division and have gone 5-5 in divisional matchups. They come into today’s game having lost two straight, and they are 2-8 over their last 10 games.
So far, the Nationals have gone 8-12 at home compared to 13-15 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 18-25 this year and 3-2 as the favorite. The Nationals’ overall series record is 5-10-1, and they have dropped four straight series.
Washington has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 29-19 overall. They are 11-9 against the run line at home, where they have a scoring margin of -0.6 runs per game. As the underdog, the Nationals are 26-17 against the run line.
Washington Nationals games have gone over the total in 21 of 46 games this season. The average combined run total in their games is 8.4 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their games have gone over the total 6 times and under the total 5 times. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs.
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Mariners. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.30 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.38, and opponents are batting .254 off him this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Gore has made three quality starts this year.
So far this season, the Nationals offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse in terms of power, as their 40 home runs is 21st in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .225, which is 19th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .305 is also below average. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they are the 10th fewest in the league in strikeouts.
Jesse Winker has been one of the Nationals most consistent hitters this season, as he is batting just .226 overall, but his on-base percentage of .346 is 3rd on the team. Winker has also gone deep 6 times this season. CJ Abrams comes into the game with a 4-game hitting streak and is batting .257 for the season with a team-high 21 RBIs.
With the Nationals being the underdogs at +125, they are a great value pick to get the win today. We actually have the Nationals taking this one 5-4, giving you a couple of ways to play this one. If you like the over/under, the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this one going over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, MacKenzie Gore is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he is a good option to pick up a win. As for George Kirby, he is projected to finish with five K’s and is 17th among starters in terms of picking up a win.
Washington Nationals vs Seattle Mariners Betting Tips
- We like the Nationals on the moneyline (+125)
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
Seattle Mariners Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Gregory Santos | Out | Lat |
| Jackson Kowar | Out | Elbow |
| Matt Brash | Out | Elbow |
| Tayler Saucedo | Out | Knee |
