Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Giants and Nationals is set for 12:05 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The Giants are 58-58 this season, while the Nationals are 52-63. San Francisco is currently 4th in the NL West, and the Nationals are 4th in the NL East.
The over/under line for Thursday’s game is at 9 runs, and the Giants are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -126 compared to the Nationals at +106. Kyle Harrison will start for the Giants, while the Nationals are sending DJ Herz to the mound. MASN will be televising Thursday’s Giants vs. Nationals matchup.
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Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Giants have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Nationals have a 1-4 (SU) record, along with a 4-1 record in their last five home contests.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Giants are 8-2 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
- The Nationals have a 5-5 record vs. the runline and a 6-4 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
San Francisco picked up a 7-4 road win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a two-run lead after the 3rd inning and added three insurance runs in the 6th. As for the Nationals, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Giants were favored at -164 on the money line.
Matt Chapman and Mike Yastrzemski each homered for the Giants, while Heliot Ramos scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/5. Juan Yepez hit the game’s other home run for the Nationals, going 2/4 with two RBIs.
Blake Snell pitched well for the Giants in this one, going six innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Camilo Doval got the save. Jake Irvin had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss.
Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
With an overall record of 58-58, the Giants are 4th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 8.5 games. So far, they have gone 21-19 in divisional matchups. The Giants have taken two of the first three games of this series vs. the Nationals and are 7-3 across their last ten games.
At home, the Giants have gone 33-23 this season, but they are just 25-35 on the road. As the favorite, San Francisco has put together a mark of 35-25 and are 23-33 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 18-15-3 this year.
When the Giants win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, averaging a 3.2-run victory. But when they lose, it’s usually by a wide margin, as they have an average run differential of -3.4 in losses. That’s why their overall run line record is just 56-60, and they have been a better bet as an underdog (32-24) than as a favorite (24-36).
The San Francisco Giants are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Giants have an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-52. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 7-2. So far this season, 10 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 8.6% of their games. The Giants are currently on a 2-game over streak.
Left-hander Kyle Harrison gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 6-5 with an ERA of 4.09. Looking at his overall numbers, Harrison has a WHIP of 1.30 and has turned in eight quality starts. In his 19 appearances, he has a batting average allowed of .247 and is averaging 8.35 strikeouts per nine innings. Harrison most recently pitched on August 3rd, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
San Francisco’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game both at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, and they also have a good team on-base percentage. The Giants have been one of the better home run hitting teams in the league, coming in 15th in the league in that category.
Matt Chapman has been swinging a hot bat for the Giants, going 13/35 in his last nine games, with four home runs and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .248 with a team-leading 56 RBIs. Chapman’s 19 home runs is 14th in the league and leads the Giants. Heliot Ramos is also having a good season, as he is batting .289 with 17 homers.
Washington is 52-63 overall, and they are 16.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals are 4th in the division and have gone 16-15 in divisional games this year. The Nationals have dropped two straight games and are just 3-7 over their last 10.
At home, the Nationals are 26-30 this year while going 26-33 on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 19 games, going 10-9 in those. As for their games as the underdog, the Nationals are 42-54 this year. Washington’s overall series record is 15-19-2 this year.
When the Nationals win, they win by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Their run line record is 65-50, and they are 30-26 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 56-40 against the run line, and they are 35-24 against the run line on the road.
Washington’s games have averaged exactly 9 runs per game this season, and the O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. The Nationals have played to the over in 58 of their 111 games this season, and they have gone over the 9-run line in 11 of the 24 games where the line was set at 9 runs. Their games have gone over the line in 17.4% of their games this season, and they have gone over the line in their last two games.
Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Giants, and he comes into the game with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.27. Herz has made 10 starts this year and has pitched much better at home, with an ERA of 3.81 compared to 7.25 on the road. In his 10 starts, Herz has turned in just one quality start and is averaging 11.46 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Herz picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run vs. the Brewers. He has given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Washington’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 16th in the league. They are also 11th in the league in batting average at .243. However, the Nationals have the worst home run total in the league and have been one of the worst teams in terms of isolated power.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have been the Nationals’ top two hitters this season. Abrams has gone deep 17 times and has driven in 58 runs, both of which are team highs. However, he is batting just .205 over his last nine games. Garcia Jr. has been hot of late, hitting .429 over his last eight games and has two homers in that stretch.
The best way to play the Giants vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Nationals on the money line, with a payout of +106. We have the Nationals taking this one by a score of 6-5, giving you a little wiggle room if you want to take the Nationals on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, DJ Herz is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which would have him finishing fourth among all starters. As for Kyle Harrison, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him 11th.
Washington Nationals vs San Francisco Giants Betting Tips
- Take the Giants on the moneyline
- The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Jordan Weems | Out | Shin |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
San Francisco Giants Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Matzek | Out | Elbow |
| Wilmer Flores | Out | Knee |
| Curt Casali | Out | Personal |
| Tom Murphy | Out | Knee |
| Thairo Estrada | Out | Wrist |
| Tristan Beck | Out | Vascular |
| Ethan Small | Out | Oblique |
| Keaton Winn | Out | Elbow |
| Jung Hoo Lee | Out | Shoulder |
