Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips 7/25/2024

Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Preview

At 12:05 PM ET, the Padres and Nationals will face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at Nationals Park in Washington, DC, and the Padres are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -185 compared to the Nationals at +155. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

San Diego will be looking to keep their four-game winning streak alive, as they are 54-50 and 2nd in the NL West. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with an overall record of 47-55. Thursday’s starting pitching matchup features Dylan Cease for the Padres and Patrick Corbin for the Nationals. MASN will be televising this one.

Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – San Diego Padres odds

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Trends and Key Stats

• Across their last five road games, the Padres are 4-1. This includes going 3-2 vs. the runline.
• Conversely, the Nationals have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
• Over their last ten games, the Padres have a 6-4 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• Over their last ten games as the underdog, the Nationals have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.

San Diego cruised to a 12-3 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their twelve runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only three runs in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -110.

Matt Waldron got the win for the Padres, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs. Mitchell Parker struggled on the mound for the Nationals, giving up six earned runs in just three innings of work.

At the plate, Kyle Higashioka and Jurickson Profar each homered for the Padres. Higashioka, Xander Bogaerts, and Luis Arraez each had two hits and two RBIs for San Diego’s offense.

Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Prediction

San Diego is 54-50 overall and 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They have won four straight games, and this season, they are 15-17 in divisional games. The Padres have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Nationals.

At home, the Padres are 26-28 this year, and they have gone 28-22 on the road. As the road favorite, the Padres are 9-9 this year, and they have won four straight road games overall. San Diego’s series record is 18-13-3, and they have won three straight series on the road while losing three straight at home.

San Diego is 35-15 against the run line on the road this season, covering in four straight games. The Padres have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game away from home, compared to -0.5 runs per game at Petco Park. San Diego is 31-14 against the run line as an underdog this season.

San Diego is on the road against the Nationals, and the O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres have an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 54-49. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-11. So far this season, 17 of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 16.3% of their games.

Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Cease has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-8 with a 3.76 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has a WHIP of 1.03 and has turned in 12 quality starts. Cease’s ERA on the road is 5.44, along with a record of 5-3. In his last outing, Cease didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Cease has done a good job of limiting homers, giving up just one in his last three starts.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. They are also the league’s top team in terms of fewest strikeouts per game and have the best team on-base percentage in the league. The Padres have been good at avoiding strikeouts and have the league’s 1st ranked on-base percentage. Overall, they are 13th in the league in runs scored (4.5 per game).

Jurickson Profar comes into the game as the league’s 15th ranked RBI man, with 62 RBIs, and his 16 homers are the best mark on the team. Profar is also hitting .300 for the season. Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. are also near the top of the Padres’ home run leaderboard, with 14 homers apiece. However, Cronenworth is hitting just .254 for the season and has gone just 7/39 in his last 10 games.

Washington is 47-55 overall, and they are 17 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they trail the Padres 2-0 in the series. So far, they have gone 16-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Nationals are 23-26 this year and 24-29 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 37-46 this year compared to 10-9 as the favorite. Washington has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 13-17-2.

The Nationals are 27-22 against the run line at home this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two games at Nationals Park. Washington is 9-10 against the run line as the favorite, but they have been a profitable bet on the run line as the underdog, going 48-35. The Nationals have an average run differential of -0.4 runs per game this season.

The Washington Nationals are playing at home against the San Diego Padres today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 49-49. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-16. So far this season, 35.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Padres at home. Corbin has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 2-9 with a 5.35 ERA. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits, three walks, and didn’t allow a homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. Corbin’s ERA at home is 5.09 compared to 5.66 on the road.

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season in terms of home runs and are just 20th in the league in runs scored. As a team, they are batting just .239 and are 25th in the league in slugging percentage. However, they have been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals, as he is hitting .262 with a team-high 15 homers and 49 RBIs.

Luis Garcia Jr. and Jesse Winker have also been solid for the Nationals, as Garcia Jr. is batting .278 and Winker comes in with a batting average of .259. Garcia Jr. is 2nd on the team with 11 homers, while Winker has also gone deep 11 times this season. Currently, Juan Yepez is on a 15-game hitting streak and has been on fire of late, going 11/27 in his last seven games.

With the Nationals at +155 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the value in this matchup. We actually have the Nationals winning this one 6-5, giving you the option to take them on the money line or you could look to the over at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Patrick Corbin finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with six. However, Corbin is projected to go six innings, while Cease is projected to go just five.

Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres Betting Tips

• Take the Padres on the moneyline
• The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Washington Nationals Injury Report

San Diego Padres Injury Report