Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Preview
The Yankees and Nationals are set to face off in an interleague matchup at 6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. New York is currently 78-55, while the Nationals are 60-73 overall. Carlos Rodon will start for the Yankees, while the Nationals are sending MacKenzie Gore to the mound.
New York is currently favored on the money line, with oddsmakers listing them at -195 compared to the Nationals at +163. The over/under line is sitting at 9 runs, and AMZP will be televising Wednesday’s game.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – New York Yankees odds
Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Yankees have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Nationals have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Yankees have a straight-up record of 6-4 and a runline record of 6-4.
- When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have a 4-6 record against the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games.
Washington picked up a 4-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a two-run lead going into the 8th inning, and the Yankees could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +214 on the money line.
Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going five innings and giving up three earned runs.
At the plate, the Nationals were led by Jose Tena and Andres Chaparro, who each had two hits and an RBI. Dylan Crews also had a two-hit game for Washington. For the Yankees, the top hitter was Brett Gardner, who went 2/4 with an RBI.
Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are currently 78-55 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL East. They hold just a 1.0 game lead over the Orioles heading into today’s game. New York is 22-23 in divisional games this season. The Yankees are looking to pick up a win today, as they have dropped five of their last seven games.
At home, the Yankees are 36-29 this season, and they have gone 42-26 on the road. As the favorite, New York is 60-48 this season, and they have gone 18-7 as the underdog. The Yankees’ overall series record is 25-13-4, and they have won two straight series.
When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. That’s why they have a run line record of 71-62, including a 41-27 mark on the road. They are 21-4 against the run line as the underdog, but just 30-35 at home.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the New York Yankees-Washington Nationals game is right on par with the season-long average of 9 runs per game for the Yankees. The Yankees have played 88 games this season with an over/under line set at 9 or lower, and the under has hit in 66.2% of those games. The under has also hit in the Yankees’ last two games.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 14-8 with an ERA of 4.16. Rodón’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his last outing, he pitched well, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only allowed four hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Rodón has made 13 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.79 strikeouts per nine innings.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the league’s top offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they have the best on-base percentage in the league and are 2nd in slugging percentage. New York also has the top OPS in the league.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, hitting six home runs over his last seven games, while going 8/23 overall. For the season, he is batting .333 and is 1st in the league with 122 RBIs. Juan Soto is 2nd on the team with 95 RBIs and has 37 homers, which is 4th in the league.
With a record of 60-73, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 18.5 games. So far, they have gone 18-20 in divisional matchups. The Nationals will host the Yankees today with an overall record of 31-34 at home this season.
Washington has gone 29-39 on the road this year. As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 48-62 this season, and they are 12-11 as the favorite. The Nationals’ overall series record is 17-22-3, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Yankees.
Washington has been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 75-58 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 40-28 on the run line, compared to 35-30 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 64-46 on the run line, compared to 11-12 as the favorite. Their average run margin this season is -0.5 runs per game.
Washington’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and the over/under record is 64-64. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the record is 13-16-3. The under has hit in five straight games for the Nationals.
Washington is sending left-hander MacKenzie Gore to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 7-11 with a 4.51 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.56, and opponents are batting .272 off him this year. In his last outing, Gore finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Gore has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better at home, where they are also 21st in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. The Nationals are near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.
Luis Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 63 RBIs and is batting .292. He is also 2nd on the team with 15 home runs. CJ Abrams has gone deep 18 times this season, but is batting just .245. Jacob Young has gone 9/24 in his last seven games, including a home run, and has scored three runs during this stretch.
With the Nationals at +163 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to take advantage of the value in this matchup. Our model has the Nationals winning this one 5-5.1, and with the payout, we recommend taking them to win straight up.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our model has Carlos Rodon finishing with fewer strikeouts than MacKenzie Gore, and we also have Gore going a full inning longer. If you’re looking for a prediction on Rodon’s Ks, we have him finishing with six.
Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Derek Law | Out | Elbow |
| Alex Call | Out | Foot/Ankle |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Gil | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
