Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Preview
The Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are at -224 compared to the Nationals at +188. This interleague matchup is set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. YES will be televising the game.
New York comes in with a record of 78-54 and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with a record of 59-73. Patrick Corbin is slated to start for the Nationals, and the Yankees will have Gerrit Cole on the mound.
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Washington Nationals vs. New York Yankees Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Yankees have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- On the other side, the Nationals have gone 2-3 (SU) and 3-2 in their previous five home contests.
- The Yankees have a straight-up record of 7-3 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 7-3.
- The Nationals have a 4-6 record vs. the runline and a 5-5 straight-up record in their last ten games as the underdog.
New York picked up a 5-2 road win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 6th inning, scoring two-thirds of their runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -191 on the money line.
Nestor Cortes got the win for the Yankees, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Nationals, Mitchell Parker only went four innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits.
At the plate, Gleyber Torres and Jazz Chisholm Jr. each homered for the Yankees. Torres, Anthony Volpe, and Alex Verdugo each had three hits and two RBIs. DJ LeMahieu also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Prediction
The Yankees are 78-54 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. They hold a two-game lead over the Orioles for the top spot in the division. New York is on a two-game winning streak, and they took the first game of this series vs. the Nationals. So far, they are 25-13-4 in series this year.
At home, the Yankees are 36-29 this season, and they have gone 42-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Yankees are 60-47 this year and 18-7 as the underdog. New York’s overall record has them 2nd in the AL, trailing the Astros by 2.5 games.
When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 41-26. Their average run margin in those games is +1.4 runs per game. They have covered the run line in each of their last two road games and are 21-4 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The New York Yankees are on the road today against the Washington Nationals, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-56. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 10-13-2. So far this season, only 14.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 66.7% of their games having lower lines.
Gerrit Cole gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Nationals on the road. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 5-2. Cole’s ERA is 3.72, and his WHIP for the season is 1.33. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Cole didn’t give up a run and got the win in 6 innings of work. He only gave up two hits in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in four straight starts. Cole has been tough to hit this year, as opponents are batting .240 off him.
So far this season, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league, and they have the league’s top offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. New York has also been patient at the plate, leading the league in walks and having the best on-base percentage in the league. Aaron Judge has been a big part of their success, as he leads the league with 51 homers and 122 RBIs, while batting .333.
Not only do the Yankees have the league’s top offense, but they also have the best OPS in the league. In his last 10 games, Judge has gone 12/37 with eight homers and 12 RBIs. Gleyber Torres is currently on a six-game hitting streak for the Yankees, and Alex Verdugo has a three-game streak going.
Washington is 59-73 overall this season, and they are 18.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 18-20 in divisional matchups. The Nationals are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Yankees, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Nationals are 30-34 this year compared to a 29-39 mark on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 47-62 this season and 12-11 when favored. Their overall series record is 17-22-3 this year.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 74-58 overall. They are 34-30 against the run line at home and 40-28 on the road. As the underdog, they are 63-46 against the run line. Their average run differential this season is -0.5 runs per game.
Washington’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and the over/under record for their games is 64-63. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 13-15-3. The under has hit in four straight games for the Nationals.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Yankees at home. Corbin has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 3-12 with a 5.73 ERA. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is coming off a solid outing against the Rockies, where he went six innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. In that outing, he had eight strikeouts. Corbin’s ERA on the road is 7.42 compared to 5.09 at home.
Washington’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 20th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They are also just 26th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .377, which is 23rd in the league. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. Abrams has 18 homers this season, while Garcia Jr. has 15. Garcia Jr. also leads the team with 63 RBIs and is batting .292.
Both Jacob Young and Juan Yepez have been swinging the bat well for the Nationals of late. Young has gone 8/18 in his last five games with a home run, while Yepez is 5/15 in his last four games with two homers. Yepez also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
With the Nationals coming in at +188 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Nationals, giving us a lot of room to take the Nationals on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters. As for Patrick Corbin, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which is 17th. However, we do have Corbin finishing with a win, and with the payout for a Nationals win, we would recommend locking in the payout.
Washington Nationals vs New York Yankees Betting Tips
- Take the Yankees on the moneyline
- The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Derek Law | Out | Elbow |
| Alex Call | Out | Foot/Ankle |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
New York Yankees Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rizzo | Out | Arm |
| Tyler Lyons | Out | Personal |
| Jon Berti | Out | Calf |
| Cody Poteet | Out | Tricep |
| Lou Trivino | Out | Elbow |
| Clarke Schmidt | Out | Lat |
| Jonathan Loáisiga | Out | Elbow |
| Ian Hamilton | Out | Lat |
| JT Brubaker | Out | Elbow |
| Luis Gil | Out | Back |
| Kenlly Montas | Out | Personal |
