Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Preview
Thursday’s matchup between the Mets and Nationals is set to get started at 11:05 AM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The Mets are currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -114 compared to the Nationals at -105. The over/under line is at 9 runs.
New York will be looking to get a win and move above .500, as they are 42-42 and are 3rd in the NL East. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East with a record of 40-46. MLBN has TV coverage for Thursday’s game.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – New York Mets odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mets have recorded a 3-2 record, with a 3-2 performance on the runline.
- In the Nationals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
- Over the last ten games, Mets has a record of 6-4 when playing as favorites and 8-2 when playing as underdogs.
- The Nationals have a 6-4 record when favored, while their record as the underdog is 3-7.
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets and Nationals series. New York went into the matchup as -127 favorites but lost the game 7-5. Washington’s offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out five times, but still picked up a win.
Mitchell Parker got the start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up five runs. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. Jacob Barnes got the win out of the bullpen, and Kyle Finnegan got the save.
Luis Garcia Jr. and James Wood were the only two Nationals hitters to have more than one hit. Garcia, Jesse Winker, and Francisco Lindor each homered for their respective teams.
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets are currently 42-42 overall, and they are 14 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. So far, they have gone 13-11 in divisional matchups. New York is on the road today, and they are 2 games under .500 at home compared to being 21-17 on the road.
As the road favorite, the Mets have gone 8-7 this year and are 23-22 overall when favored. They have been good on the road this year, as the Mets are looking for their fourth straight series win on the road today. Their overall series record is 12-13-3, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games overall.
The Mets have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 23-15. They have an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game on the road, which has helped them cover the run line. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 24-15, compared to 16-29 as the favorite.
The Mets have played in 81 games this season, and only 10.7% of those games have had an over/under line set at 9 runs or higher. Their games have averaged 9.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 45-36. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 4-2-3. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with an ERA of 4.57. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his 16 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Quintana finished with a no-decision vs. the Astros, giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 3.9 compared to 7.24 on the road.
As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure. New York’s team batting average is .249, which is 8th in the MLB right now.
Francisco Lindor and Mark Vientos have been two of the Mets’ top hitters of late, with Lindor going 13/42 in his last nine games, and Vientos has five homers in this stretch. Lindor is also on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, Lindor is batting .249 with 15 homers, and Pete Alonso leads the team with 18 homers.
Washington is 40-46 overall and trails the Mets by three games in the NL East. So far, they have gone 15-12 against other teams in their division. The Nationals are also 17 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead.
At home, the Nationals are 18-21 this year and 22-25 on the road. They have really struggled when favored this year, going just 8-7. As for their record as the underdog, they are 32-39 this year. Washington has dropped two straight series and has an overall series record of 11-14-1.
Washington has been a solid run-line bet this season, going 49-37 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 28-19 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most of their games, going 42-29 against the run line in those games. Their average run margin for the season is -0.2 runs per game.
Washington’s over/under record is 40-42, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 3-5-2. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their average line for the season.
Washington is sending Jake Irvin to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he has made 17 starts this season. Irvin’s overall record is 6-6, and he has an ERA of 3.03. Out of his 17 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Irvin gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, he has allowed just one earned run in three of them. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.47 compared to 1-5 with a 4.6 ERA at home.
Washington’s offense has been led by CJ Abrams, who is batting .283 for the season and has gone 9/24 in his last eight games. During this stretch, he has one home run, six runs scored, and four RBIs. Joey Meneses is also on a three-game hitting streak and is the team’s leader in RBIs (43) but is batting just .235 for the season.
As a team, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They are also 21st in home runs and have an OPS of just .668. Overall, they are batting a collective .235, which is 15th in the MLB.
Our prediction for this Mets vs. Nationals matchup is to take the Nationals on the money line at -105. We have the Nationals winning this game by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 9 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room on either side, but we do see this game going over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jose Quintana is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and Jake Irvin is projected to finish with six. However, we have Quintana finishing with a better ERA and giving up fewer runs than Irvin.
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Nationals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | Out | Knee |
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Harrison Bader | Questionable | Neck |
| Edwin Díaz | Out | Suspension |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out | Shoulder |
| Drew Smith | Out | Elbow |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
