Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips 7/3/2024

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Preview

The forecast for Wednesday’s matchup between the Mets and Nationals calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the upper 80s. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 6:45 PM ET. Christian Scott is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Mitchell Parker. New York is 42-41, while the Nationals are 39-46.

The Mets are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 3rd in the NL East, while the Nationals are the slight underdog on the money line (+112) and have lost three straight. New York is favored on the money line (-132), and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. MASN is carrying this game on TV.

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Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats

• The Mets are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 4-1 runline record.
• In the Nationals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 1-4 (SU) with 1-4 against the spread.
• Over their last ten games, the Mets have a 7-3 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have gone 4-6 against the runline, with a straight-up record of 6-4 over their last ten games.

It was all Mets in the last game of this series, as New York took down the Nationals by a score of 7-2. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Nationals and struck out 14 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -145 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Sean Manaea for the Mets and DJ Herz for the Nationals. Manaea went just seven innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Herz was tagged for five hits and one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work.

Washington actually got on the board first in this game, scoring one run in the bottom of the 3rd. The Mets didn’t respond until the 6th, when they put up one run to tie the game. After that, they exploded for five run in the top of the 10th, picking up a 7-2 win.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are 42-41 overall, and they lead the Nationals by four games for 3rd place in the NL East. Right now, they trail the Phillies by 13 games in the division. New York has won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Mets are 21-25 this season, and they are 21-16 on the road. As the road favorite, the Mets have gone 8-6 this year, and they are 23-21 as the favorite overall. New York has won two straight games as the favorite, and they have won three straight series on the road.

The Mets have been a profitable run line team on the road this season, going 23-14. They have covered in three straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game away from home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 24-15, compared to 16-28 as the favorite.

The Mets are on the road today against the Nationals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than their combined run average of 9.7. Overall, the Mets have had a record of 44-36 on the over/under line this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Mets have gone over 13 times and under 9 times.

Christian Scott will be making his 4th start of the season today on the road against the Nationals. He has yet to pick up a win, but has been solid in his first 3 outings. Scott has gone 5 innings in each of his first 2 starts, and then went 6 innings his last time out, but has yet to get a decision. In his last start, he struck out 4 and gave up 2 runs on 4 hits.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the league. Currently, the Mets have three players with double-digit home runs, led by Pete Alonso’s 18 homers.

Alonso has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs. Brandon Nimmo also has a three-game hitting streak going and is 11th in the league in RBIs. For the season, Nimmo is batting .251 and has 13 homers.

The Nationals are 39-46 overall this season, and they are 17.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Mets by four games for 3rd place in the division. Washington has dropped three straight games, and they are 2-8 across their last 10 contests.

At home, the Nationals are 17-21 this season while going 22-25 on the road. This year, the Nationals have struggled as the underdog, going 31-39, and they are 8-7 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 11-14-1, and they have lost two straight series.

Washington has been a profitable run line team this season, going 48-37 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 28-19, compared to 20-18 at home. They have been an underdog in most games, going 41-29 against the run line in those contests. They have been favored in 15 games, going 7-8 against the run line in those contests.

The Washington Nationals are playing at home against the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals have an over/under record of 39-42 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-14. So far this season, 29.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets at home. Parker has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.32 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Parker’s WHIP for the season is 1.12, and opponents are batting .229 off him this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.21 strikeouts and just 2.06 walks.

Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They have been especially bad in the power department, as their 68 home runs are the worst in the league. As a team, they are batting just .235 and have the league’s 23rd slugging percentage. However, they do have the 7th fewest strikeouts in the league.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top offensive player this season, as he is batting .286 with 13 homers and 43 RBIs. Abrams is also on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 6/18 in his last six games. Joey Meneses and Abrams are tied for the team lead in RBIs, but Meneses is batting just .234 for the season.

Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line, with the payout currently at +112. We have the Nationals winning this one 6-5, giving us some room to take the Nationals on the money line or to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is ninth worst among today’s starters. As for Christian Scott, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a line that is right in the middle of the pack.

Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Betting Tips

• Take the Mets on the moneyline
• The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Washington Nationals Injury Report

New York Mets Injury Report