Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Preview
At 6:45 PM ET, the Mets and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The Mets are 4th in the NL East with a record of 25-35, while the Nationals are 3rd at 27-32.
David Peterson is starting for the Mets, and he will be facing off against Trevor Williams. New York is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. This game can be seen on SNY.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – New York Mets odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Mets have recorded a 2-3 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- The Nationals, on the other hand, have played five home games recently, during which they have recorded a 3-2 (SU) and 4-1 record.
- The Mets are 2-8 in their last ten games as the favorite and 4-6 as the underdog.
- The Nationals hold a 7-3 record as the favorite and a 5-5 record as the underdog.
New York rallied for two runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Mets vs. Nationals series. The Mets scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 5th, picking up an 8-7 win. Heading into the game, the Mets were at -102 on the money line.
Tylor Megill started for the Mets and went five innings, giving up four runs and striking out four. He did not factor in the decision as Jake Diekman got the save. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, giving up six runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
Joey Gallo hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Mark Vientos hit a two-run homer for the Mets, going 2/3 with three RBIs.
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction
The Mets are 25-35 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East, 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York is 6-8 against other teams in the NL East. They will be on the road today, with an overall road record of 12-14.
So far, the Mets have gone 13-21 at home. New York has struggled as the favorite this year, going 13-16, and they are 12-19 as the underdog. The Mets’ series record is 6-11-3, and they are 1-0 in this series vs. the Nationals.
Despite their losing record, the Mets have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 26-34 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 15-11 against the run line. The Mets have been a better bet as an underdog, going 17-14 against the run line, compared to 9-20 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.1.
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs for their game against the Nationals. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 32-27. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 8-5. This season, 61.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone over the line in four straight contests.
David Peterson and the Mets are on the road to take on the Washington Nationals. In his first start of the season, Peterson went 5 innings, giving up 3 runs (2 earned) on 7 hits and 1 home run. He finished with 3 strikeouts and 1 walk.
So far this season, the Mets have been one of the best road offenses in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. However, they have struggled at home, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 12th in the league, and have the 8th most home runs in the MLB.
Over his last six games, J.D. Martinez has gone 7/24 (.292) with two homers and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .275. Martinez’s eight-game hitting streak is the longest on the team. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are both near the top of the league in home runs, with 13 and 9, respectively.
Washington is 27-32 overall and trails the Phillies by 14 games in the NL East. So far, they are 8-7 in divisional games. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10.
At home, the Nationals are 10-14 this season compared to 17-18 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 24-29 this year and 3-3 when favored. So far, their overall series record is 7-11-1.
The Nationals have been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 36-23 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 23-12. The run line has hit in 13 of their 24 home games, but they’ve dropped two straight at home against the run line. As the underdog, the run line has hit in 33 of their 53 games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it’s -3.3 in losing games.
The Washington Nationals are playing at home against the New York Mets today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.3 runs per game. The Nationals have a 26-31 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 9-10. So far this season, 25.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Trevor Williams gets the start for the Nationals today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Braves. In that May 30th start, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has made 11 starts, and opponents are batting .223 this season. Williams’ ERA is 2.22, and he has a record of 5-0. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.46 strikeouts and 2.54 walks. Williams has made one quality start this year.
Washington’s offense has been one of the league’s worst so far this season, averaging just 4 runs per game (23rd) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .232, which is 17th in the league. One of the few bright spots for the Nationals has been CJ Abrams, who is batting .249 with a team-high 9 homers and 26 RBIs.
Joey Gallo has just one home run in his last five games and is batting just .222 over that stretch. Eddie Rosario has been one of the league’s top power hitters so far this season, but is batting just .184. Nick Senzel is on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .375 over his last five games.
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Nationals game is that the Nationals will pick up the win at home by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking to place a bet on the money line, you can get the Nationals at -101, and this is our recommended pick.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have David Peterson finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the fourth-best starter in terms of K’s. As for Trevor Williams, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him as the 10th best starter.
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Mets on the moneyline
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| CJ Abrams | Questionable | Shoulder |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Young | Questionable | Hand |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Edwin Díaz | Out | Shoulder |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Francisco Alvarez | Out | Thumb |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
