Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Preview
At 6:45 PM ET, the Mets and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. Monday’s matchup is taking place at Nationals Park in Washington, DC, and the Nationals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -125 compared to the Mets at +106. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on MASN.
New York will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 24-35 overall and 4th in the NL East. Washington is 3rd in the NL East, with a record of 27-31.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – New York Mets odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- Across their last five road games, the Mets are 1-4. This includes going 2-3 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Nationals have achieved a 3-2 (SU) record and 4-1 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Nationals have a record of 7-3 straight-up, and have gone 3-7 against the runline.
- Looking at the Mets’ previous ten games as the underdog they are 4-6 straight-up and 6-4 vs. the runline.
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction
New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-4 loss to the Diamondbacks, Jose Quintana was solid on the mound, allowing three runs on four hits and striking out four. They also got a big offensive performance from Brandon Nimmo, going 1/4 with two RBIs.
The Mets were leading 4-3 going into the 9th inning but couldn Diamondbacks scored two runs in the top of the 9th to steal the win. New York was the -107 favorite at home going into the game.
The Mets are on the road today to take on the Nationals, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak. Currently, the Mets are 4th in the NL East with a record of 24-35. They trail the Phillies by 16.5 games for the NL East lead and are 5-8 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Mets are just 13-21 this year, and they are only slightly better on the road at 11-14. As the road underdog, the Mets have gone 8-10 this year, and they are just 13-16 when favored. New York’s overall series record is 6-11-3, and they split their most recent series vs. the Diamondbacks.
When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.8 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.1 runs per game. This has led to a run line record of 25-34 on the season, including a 14-11 mark on the road. Despite being the underdog in more than half of their games, they have a winning record against the run line in those contests.
The Mets will be on the road against the Nationals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 31-27. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Mets have a 5-4 record. So far this season, 39.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and 45.8% of their games have had lines set lower than 8 runs. The over has hit in the Mets’ last three games.
Tylor Megill and the Mets are on the road to take on the Nationals. Megill has started three games so far this season, and he is coming off a strong outing at home against the Dodgers, where he went 7 innings and struck out 9. He took the loss in his first start of the season, giving up 2 earned runs in 5 innings vs. the Guardians.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 11th in the league, and have the 10th most home runs in the MLB. New York’s team on-base percentage is just 14th in the league, and they have a collective OPS of .686.
Over the last seven games, Francisco Lindor has gone 10/28 with two homers and five RBIs. This has helped him improve his season batting average to .227. Lindor’s nine homers are the 2nd most on the team, behind Pete Alonso, who has gone deep 13 times this season. Alonso is also on a four-game hitting streak.
Heading into their last game vs. the Guardians, the Nationals closed out the series with a 5-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +114 on the money line. It was a four-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Guardians could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.
Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Washington’s offense was carried by Ildemaro Vargas, who went 2/4 with a run scored and a RBI.
Washington is 27-31 overall and trails the Phillies by 13 games in the NL East. So far, they are 8-6 against other NL East teams. The Nationals kick off their series vs. the Mets with an overall home record of 10-13.
As the underdog, the Nationals are 24-29 this year compared to 3-2 as the favorite. They are also above .500 on the road, going 17-18 this season. Washington’s series record is 7-11-1, and they lost their most recent series vs. the Guardians.
When the Nationals win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game, which is why they have a 36-22 run line record this season. They are 23-12 against the run line on the road, where they have a -0.1 run differential. As the underdog, they are 33-20 against the run line, compared to 3-2 as the favorite.
The Nationals have played in 56 games this season, and 34 of them have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or more. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 25-31. When the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 3 times, under 5 times, and pushed once. Currently, they are on a 2-game under streak.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 4-4 with a 2.92 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.28, and opponents are batting .244 off him this year. In his 11 starts, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 11.05 strikeouts per nine innings. Gore’s most recent outing came against the Braves, where he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Nationals are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .230, and their team OPS of .658 is also near the bottom of the league.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top home run hitter this season, but he is batting just .249 overall and has gone just 4/22 in his last five games. Joey Meneses has been the team’s top run producer, with 29 RBIs, but he has just two homers and is batting .240 for the season. Eddie Rosario is also struggling at the plate, with a batting average of just .176.
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Nationals game is that the Nationals will pick up a 5-4 win at home. Given that they are at -125 on the money line, that is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have MacKenzie Gore finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tylor Megill with five. And in terms of the offenses, the Mets are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Nationals with eight.
Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Betting Tips
- Take the Nationals on the moneyline
- On the run line we like the Mets (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| CJ Abrams | Questionable | Shoulder |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jacob Young | Questionable | Hand |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
New York Mets Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Brooks Raley | Out | Elbow |
| Edwin Díaz | Out | Shoulder |
| Kodai Senga | Out | Shoulder |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out | Shoulder |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out | Knee |
| Francisco Alvarez | Out | Thumb |
| Christopher Larez | Out | Personal |
