Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Preview
Minnesota comes in as the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are at -189 compared to the Nationals at +159. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and this one is being televised by BSN.
Joe Ryan will be starting for the Twins, and he is facing off against Patrick Corbin for the Nationals. Minnesota is 24-23 this season, while the Nationals have won seven straight and are 21-25 overall.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Minnesota Twins odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Twins have recorded a 1-4 record, with a 2-3 performance on the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Nationals have a 0-5 (SU) record, along with a 1-4 record in their last five home contests.
- The Twins have a straight-up record of 4-6 in their last ten games as the favorite, with a runline record of 3-7.
- When playing as the underdog, the Nationals have a 3-7 record against the runline and a 7-3 straight-up record in their last ten games.
It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Twins by a score of 12-3. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Twins and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +135 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Mitchell Parker for the Nationals and Pablo López for the Twins. Parker only went six innings but gave up just three hits and one earned run. On the other side, López was tagged for two homers and seven runs in five innings of work.
Minnesota actually got on the board first in this game, scoring one run in the second inning. Washington didn’t get on the board until the bottom of the 4th, but they broke the game open with a four-run 5th and added three more in the 6th. As for the Twins, they scored their final two runs in the 6th.
Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Minnesota is on a seven-game losing streak, and they are 24-23 overall this season. The Twins are 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have gone 12-10 in AL Central matchups. Minnesota lost the first game of this series vs. the Nationals and are just 2-8 over their last 10 games.
As the road team, the Twins are 13-12 this year compared to 11-11 at home. So far, they have been really good as the road favorite, going 11-3. As the favorite overall, the Twins are 19-11 and 5-12 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 7-6-2, and they have lost two straight series.
The Twins are 23-24 against the run line this season. They are 14-11 on the road, but have failed to cover the run line in their last three road games. Minnesota is 15-15 against the run line when favored and 8-9 when the underdog. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game.
Minnesota’s over/under record for the season is 22-24, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 2-9. Their combined run average for the season is 8.9 runs per game, and the over has hit in 10.6% of their games this season when the line is set at 8.5 runs.
Minnesota is sending right-hander Joe Ryan to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made six straight quality starts and has an ERA of 3.57. Overall, Ryan is 2-3 and has a WHIP of 1.02. Opposing batters are hitting .224 this season off Ryan. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had only given up one earned run in three straight outings. So far, Ryan has made four road starts and is 1-0 with a 1.87 ERA.
Carlos Correa, Willi Castro, and Jose Miranda are all currently on hitting streaks for the Twins, with Correa and Castro both having hit safely in three straight games and Miranda in five. Over his last eight games, Correa is batting just .214, while Carlos Santana has also struggled of late, going 6/31 in his last eight games. Santana is batting just .201 for the season and is tied for 2nd on the team with seven home runs.
As a team, the Twins are 16th in the league in scoring at 4.4 runs per game. They have been a better offense on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting a collective .231, which is 15th in the MLB right now.
With a record of 21-25, the Nationals are 12 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and are 3rd in the division. So far, they are 5-5 in divisional matchups. The Nationals have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games and picked up a win in the first game of this series vs. the Twins.
At home, the Nationals are 8-10 this season compared to 13-15 on the road. As the underdog, Washington has gone 18-23 this season and are 3-2 as the favorite. The Nationals’ overall series record is 5-9-1, and they have dropped three straight series.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 28-18. The Nationals have been even better on the road, going 18-10, and have covered the run line in four straight games at home. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 25-16 against the run line.
The Washington Nationals have had a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-24. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 7-9, and they have gone over the line in two straight games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 8.5 runs.
Washington is sending left-hander Patrick Corbin to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with a 5.59 ERA. Corbin’s WHIP for the season is 1.74, and opponents are batting .319 off him this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 5.4 strikeouts and 3.35 walks. Corbin’s last outing came vs. the White Sox, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won vs. the Red Sox, giving up just one earned run in five innings of work.
Washington’s offense has been pretty inconsistent this season, as they are 21st in the league in runs per game at 4.1. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have the 18th most home runs in the MLB.
CJ Abrams and Eddie Rosario have been swinging the bat well for the Nationals of late, with Abrams going 10/36 in his last nine games and Rosario also hitting three homers in this stretch. Abrams is batting .267 for the season, while Rosario is at just .190. Luis Garcia Jr. has been the team’s most consistent hitter, batting .281 for the season.
With the Nationals at +159, we see this as a great value pick, as our predicted score is 5-4 in favor of the Nationals. Looking at the starting pitchers, Patrick Corbin is projected to finish with four strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a line of 5th worst in hits allowed and 13th in terms of earned runs.
As for Joe Ryan, his projected strikeout total is six, and we have him finishing with the ninth worst in terms of earned runs. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under line, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with nine runs.
Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins Betting Tips
- We like the Nationals on the moneyline (+159)
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 9 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
Minnesota Twins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony DeSclafani | Out | Elbow |
| Zack Weiss | Out | Shoulder |
| Brock Stewart | Out | Shoulder |
| Royce Lewis | Out | Quadricep |
| Justin Topa | Out | Knee |
| Josh Winder | Out | Shoulder |
| Daniel Duarte | Out | Elbow |
