Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction & Betting Tips 9/15/2024

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Preview

Adam Oller is starting for the Marlins on Sunday, while the Nationals are going with MacKenzie Gore. First pitch from Nationals Park is set for 1:35 PM ET. BSFL will be televising this matchup.

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the Nationals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -177. The Marlins are +150, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, but their overall record is 55-94, which has them in 5th place in the NL East. The Nationals have won two straight and are 4th in the division with a record of 67-81.

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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats

• The Marlins are 1-4 across their last five road games. They have gone 1-4 vs. the runline.
• On the other side, the Nationals have gone 2-3 (SU) and 2-3 in their previous five home contests.
• As the favorite, the Nationals are 6-4 over their last ten games, including going 6-4 vs. the runline.
• When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have won 3-7 of their previous ten games straight-up, while going 4-6 against the runline.

Washington picked up a 4-1 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were favored at -145 on the money line.

Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. Valente Bellozo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.

Jose Tena and Joey Gallo each homered for the Nationals, while Juan Yepez went 1/3 with two RBIs and a run scored. Keibert Ruiz also had a two-hit game at the plate.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 55-94, which has them 34.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 17-31 in divisional games. The Marlins have dropped two straight games, and they are 3-7 across their last 10.

At home, the Marlins are 28-47 this season compared to a 27-47 mark on the road. Miami has really struggled as the favorite this year, going just 4-14. As for their record as the underdog, they are 51-80, and they have lost two straight as the underdog.

When the Marlins are favored, they are 2-16 against the run line this season. As an underdog, they are 67-64. Their average run differential in wins is +2.8, while it is -3.8 in losses. Their overall run line record is 69-80, with a -1.3 run differential per game.

The Miami Marlins are on the road to face the Washington Nationals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the combined run average of 8.9 runs per game when these teams play. The Marlins have a record of 79-65 on over/under bets this season, with an average line of 8 runs per game. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 28 of their 51 games. The under has hit in their last two games.

Adam Oller and the Marlins are on the road to take on the Nationals. Oller has started 4 games this season, and he has a record of 1-2. He started the season with a win over the Cubs, but has taken losses in his last 2 starts. In his most recent outing, he went 5 innings and gave up 6 runs on 7 hits.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. As a team, the Marlins are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and are 25th in the league in home runs. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .296 is 22nd in the league.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 25 homers and Sánchez right behind him at 17. Burger comes into the game hitting .244 for the season and has gone 6/21 in his last five games. Josh Bell is currently on a seven-game hitting streak for the Marlins.

Washington is 67-81 overall this season, and they are 22 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Currently, they are in 4th place in the division and have gone 22-23 in divisional games. The Nationals have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Nationals are 35-39 this year compared to a 32-42 mark on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 27 games, going 14-13 in those contests. As the underdog, the Nationals are 53-68 this year, and they have won two straight games as the favorite.

The Nationals are 40-34 against the run line at home this season, and they are currently riding a two-game run line win streak at home. They are 83-65 overall against the run line this season, with an average run margin of -0.6 runs per game. They are 43-31 against the run line on the road, where they have an average run margin of -0.5 runs per game.

The Washington Nationals are playing at home today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. The Nationals have an over/under record of 70-72 on the season, and their games have averaged a total of 9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 19-22. In total, 59 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 39.9% of their games this season. Their current under streak is at 2 games.

MacKenzie Gore will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Braves, as he gets the start for the Nationals today. In that outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Gore has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 8-12 with a 4.34 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.52. Out of his 29 starts, Gore has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.65 strikeouts per nine innings.

Washington’s offense has been a bit below average this season, as they are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and isolated power. However, they do come in with the 11th best batting average in the league. The Nationals are also one of the better teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.

CJ Abrams has been one of the Nationals’ top power threats this season, leading the team with 20 homers. Abrams is also coming off a stretch in which he went 5/19 with two homers over his last five games. Luis Garcia Jr. has been a strong overall hitter for the Nationals, batting .281 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs.

Our prediction for the Nationals vs. Marlins game is that the Nationals will pick up a 6-5 win. However, with the Nationals being -177 on the money line, we would recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs. Our prediction is that this one will go over, and you can get the over at -104.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Adam Oller finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters today. As for MacKenzie Gore, we have him finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for third. However, Gore is projected to go just five innings, and we have Oller going 5.1 innings.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips

• Take the Nationals on the moneyline
• On the run line we like the Marlins (+1.5)
• Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over

Washington Nationals Injury Report

Miami Marlins Injury Report