Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Preview
From Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Marlins and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. This one gets started at 6:45 PM ET and will be televised on BSFL. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and the Nationals are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -182 compared to the Marlins at +152. Miami comes in with a record of 54-92, while the Nationals are 65-80. The Marlins will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East.
Thursday’s forecast in Washington calls for temperatures in the low 80s and partly cloudy skies. Darren McCaughan is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Mitchell Parker. Miami is 5th in the NL East, while the Nationals are 4th.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Miami Marlins odds
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Trends and Key Stats
- 2-3 is the record of Marlins in their last five road games. They have also gone 3-2 vs. the runline.
- Conversely, the Nationals have achieved a 2-3 (SU) record and 2-3 record in their last five home games.
- In their last ten games as the favorite, the Nationals have a record of 5-5 straight-up, and have gone 4-6 against the runline.
- Over their previous ten games as the underdog, the Marlins have a straight-up record of 4-6 and a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Pirates scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Miami was the +130 underdog on the road going into the game.
Jonathan Bermudez had a good start for the Marlins, going two innings and not giving up a run. However, the Marlins couldn’t close things out, and he took the loss. Miami’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd inning and wasted a good performance from Cristian Pache, who went 2/4 with a run scored.
Miami is on the road today to take on the Nationals, and they are 5th in the NL East, 34 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 54-92 and have dropped three straight games. Their losing streak is a result of dropping the final game of their series vs. the Pirates.
So far, the Marlins have gone just 16-29 against other NL East teams. At home, they are 28-47 compared to 26-45 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 50-78 this season, and they have lost three straight as the underdog.
When betting the Marlins on the run line, it’s best to take them as the underdog, as they are 66-62 against the run line in that role. They are just 2-16 against the run line as the favorite. They are 36-35 against the run line on the road, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Washington Nationals. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. This season, the Marlins have played to an over/under record of 79-63, with an average combined run total of 9.0 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, Miami has a record of 4-13-1 in those games. Overall, the Marlins have played in 119 games with over/under lines set below 9 runs, making up 81.5% of their games this season.
Miami is sending right-hander Darren McCaughan to the mound today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made two starts and seven total appearances this year. McCaughan’s ERA is currently 7.40, and he has a WHIP of 1.85. Opposing batters are hitting .333 off McCaughan this year. The last time he pitched, McCaughan went 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four appearances.
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, where they are averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league.
Jake Burger is the Marlins’ top power threat, as he is 15th in the league with 25 homers and has driven in 61 runs, which is also the top mark on the team. However, he is batting just .239 for the season. Jesus Sanchez is batting .246 and is 2nd on the team with 17 homers.
Washington closed out their series vs. the Braves with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +147. It was a big 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Braves could only score one run, which came in the 6th.
Jake Irvin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Washington’s offense was carried by CJ Abrams, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Washington is set to host the Marlins with an overall record of 65-80, which has them 4th in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by 22.5 games in the division. Overall, they are 20-22 against other teams in the NL East.
The Nationals have gone 4-6 across their last ten games and split their two-game series with the Braves. At home, the Nationals are 33-38 compared to 32-42 on the road. As the favorite, Washington has gone 12-12 this year, and they are 8-8 as the home favorite. Their overall record as the underdog is 53-68.
When the Nationals win, they win big. Washington’s average run margin in winning games is +3.4, compared to -3.8 in losing games. The Nationals are 81-64 against the run line this season, with a 38-33 mark at home and a 43-31 record on the road. They have been an underdog in most games, going 70-51 against the run line in those contests. As a favorite, they are just 11-13.
The Washington Nationals are hosting the Miami Marlins in a game with an over/under line of 9 runs. The Nationals have played 140 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 35 of those games. In games with an over/under line of 9 runs, the over has hit 14 times, the under has hit 18 times, and the push has hit 3 times.
Washington is sending left-hander Mitchell Parker to the mound today vs. the Marlins. Parker has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.43. Looking at his overall numbers, Parker has a WHIP of 1.31 and opponents are batting .256 this season. In his 26 starts, Parker has turned in 10 quality starts. His last outing came vs. the Pirates, where he went 3 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs, and taking a no-decision. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
For the season, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game, but at home, they are averaging just 4.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.
CJ Abrams comes into the game as the Nationals’ leader in home runs, but he has really struggled of late, going just 5/31 in his last eight games. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .284 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs. He has also gone deep 15 times this season. The Nationals will be looking for a bounce-back game from Andres Chaparro, who is just 8/35 in his last nine games.
For this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup, we are actually staying away from the money line and instead like the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Nationals, giving us some nice cushion on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Mitchell Parker is actually one of the starters we have ranked the lowest in terms of picking up a win. And with his strikeout numbers also being average, we don’t see a ton of value in the Nationals’ starter.
Offensively, the Nationals are actually projected to finish with the second-fewest strikeouts on the day, and they also have a higher home run projection than the Marlins.
Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Betting Tips
- Take the Nationals on the moneyline
- The Nationals should also cover at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Alex Call | Out | Foot/Ankle |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Joan Adon | Out | Shoulder/Biceps |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
Miami Marlins Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Sandy Alcantara | Out | Elbow |
| Derek Hill | Out | Shoulder |
| Braxton Garrett | Out | Elbow |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out | Back |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out | Shoulder |
| Vidal Bruján | Out | Shoulder |
| José Devers | Questionable | Hand |
| Ryan Weathers | Out | Finger |
| Dane Myers | Out | Ankle |
| Max Meyer | Out | Shoulder |
| Eury Pérez | Out | Elbow |
| Calvin Faucher | Out | Shoulder |
| Andrew Nardi | Out | Elbow |
