Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
From Nationals Park in Washington, D.C., the Reds and Nationals face off in an NL matchup. First pitch is at 6:45 PM ET, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 80s. MacKenzie Gore will start for the Nationals, while the Reds are sending Nick Lodolo to the mound. Cincinnati is 4th in the NL Central, while the Nationals are 4th in the NL East.
The over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Reds are favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -108 compared to the Nationals at -110. Cincinnati comes in with a record of 47-51, while the Nationals will look to get above .500, as they are 45-53.
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Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Trends and Key Stats
- The Reds are 3-2 in their five most recent road games, including a 3-2 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Nationals have a 2-3 (SU) record, along with a 2-3 record in their last five home contests.
- Over the last ten games, Reds has a record of 5-5 when playing as favorites and 6-4 when playing as underdogs.
- In their last ten games, the Nationals have a record of 6-4 as the favorite and 3-7 as the underdog.
Washington picked up an 8-5 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Reds, they scored four of their five runs in the 9th inning when the game was already out of reach.
Patrick Corbin started for the Nationals and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but did not issue a walk. On the other side, Frankie Montas got the start for the Reds and took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Juan Yepez and Keibert Ruiz each homered for the Nationals, while Jacob Young scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. James Wood also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Cincinnati is 47-51 overall this season, and they are 8.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Reds are in 4th place in the division, sandwiched between the Pirates and Cubs. So far, they have gone 12-14 in divisional matchups.
The Reds have dropped two straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10. This season, the Reds have been good as the favorite, going 25-21, and they are 22-30 as the underdog. Cincinnati has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 11-17-3 this year.
The Reds have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 53-45. They have been especially good on the road, going 30-15. Their average run margin on the road is +0.7, which is better than their overall average run margin of +0.4. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the favorite, but are just 21-25 on the run line in those games this season.
The Cincinnati Reds are on the road against the Washington Nationals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Reds and their opponents have combined to average 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 44-50. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 9-8. Overall, 52.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.33 ERA. Lodolo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 14 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 9.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Lodolo most recently pitched on July 14th vs. the Marlins, where he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and three walks. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. The left-hander has not given up more than two earned runs in any of his last three outings.
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ leader in home runs, and he is also 3rd on the team in RBIs. De La Cruz is batting .255 for the season and has an on-base percentage of .345. He is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Over his last five games, Rece Hinds has gone 6/18 with three homers and seven RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game. Cincinnati’s offense has been pretty average in terms of home runs and slugging percentage.
With a record of 45-53, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 17.5 games. So far, they have gone 16-15 in divisional matchups. The Nationals have taken the first game of their series vs. the Reds and are 12-17-2 in series this year.
At home, the Nationals are 21-24 compared to 24-29 on the road. As the underdog, Washington has gone 36-45 this year and are 9-8 as the favorite. Washington has dropped six of their last ten games overall.
Washington has been a solid run line bet this season, going 55-43 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 30-23, compared to 25-20 at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 47-34, compared to 8-9 as the favorite. They have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game this season.
The Nationals are playing at home today against the Reds, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Washington’s games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 47-47. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 14-16. The over has hit in their last three games.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Reds at home. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 6-8 with a 4.01 ERA. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.43, and opponents are batting .255 off him this year. In his last outing, Gore took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had turned in three straight outings with just one earned run allowed. Gore has a total of five quality starts this year.
After a strong start to the season, CJ Abrams and Jesse Winker have both struggled at the plate of late, with Abrams going 3/22 in his last five games and Winker going 3/13. However, Juan Yepez has been hot of late, going 9/17 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. Yepez is also on an 11-game hitting streak. For the season, Abrams is batting .265 with a team-high 48 RBIs and 15 homers, which is 13th in the league.
As a team, the Nationals are 21st in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and OPS. Overall, they are batting .239, which is 11th in the league. Currently, they are 23rd in home runs and 25th in OPS.
Our prediction for today’s Reds vs. Nationals game is to take the Reds on the money line, and you can get them at -108. We actually have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Lodolo finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the highest projection for any starter today. As for MacKenzie Gore, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts.
Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- We like the Reds on the moneyline (-108)
- The Reds are also our pick on the spread at -1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Maile | Out | Back |
| Emilio Pagán | Out | Lat |
| Brent Suter | Questionable | Shoulder |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Hamstring |
| Nick Martini | Out | Thumb |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Graham Ashcraft | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Carson Spiers | Out | Shoulder |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
