Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Preview
Friday’s Reds vs. Nationals game has a first pitch set for 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The Reds are 47-50 this season, while the Nationals come in with a record of 44-53. Cincinnati is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
Looking at Friday’s starting pitching matchup, we have Frankie Montas for the Reds and Patrick Corbin for the Nationals. Corbin is 4-9 this season, while Montas has only made one start for the Reds. Washington is 4th in the NL East, and the Reds are 4th in the NL Central. BSOH is carrying this game on TV.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Cincinnati Reds odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- Over the course of their previous five away games, the Reds have recorded a 4-1 record, with a 4-1 performance on the runline.
- In the Nationals’ five most recent home games, their record stands at 2-3 (SU) with 2-3 against the spread.
- Over their last ten games, the Reds have a 5-5 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 5-5 record vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 5-5 vs. the runline and 6-4 straight-up.
Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Marlins with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 6th inning before the Marlins scored a run to tie things up and added another in the 8th to take the lead. Cincinnati was the -184 favorite at home going into the game.
Nick Lodolo got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits. The Reds also wasted a big game from Elly De La Cruz, who homered in the 1st inning, going 1/3.
Cincinnati is 47-50 overall, putting them 4th in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 12-14 against other teams in the division and are eight games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Reds will be on the road today vs. the Nationals with an overall series record of 11-17-3.
As the road team, the Reds have gone 22-22 this season and have won three straight road games. They are 25-28 at home. Cincinnati has been good as the favorite this year, going 25-20, and they are 22-30 as the underdog.
The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 53-44 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 30-14. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it is -2.8 in losing games.
The Reds are on the road against the Nationals today, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. Cincinnati’s games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-50. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Reds have gone 2-16-3. In 29.9% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs.
Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Montas has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 4-7 with an ERA of 4.38. So far, he has turned in six quality starts and is coming off a rough outing where he gave up five earned runs in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Rockies, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. Montas’ ERA on the road is 5.96, compared to 5.98 at home.
Elly De La Cruz, Spencer Steer, and Jeimer Candelario have been the Reds’ most consistent power threats this season, as De La Cruz and Candelario are 1-2 in RBIs, and De La Cruz is 12th in the league with 17 homers. Steer is right behind him with 15 homers and has driven in 60 runs, which is 10th best in the MLB. Over his last seven games, Rece Hinds has been on fire, going 11/26 with five homers and 11 RBIs.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team this season, but are batting just .231 as a team. Currently, they are 17th in on-base percentage and 25th in strikeouts.
Washington closed out their series vs. the Brewers with a 9-3 loss. Heading into the game, the Nationals were the +127 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Nationals, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Brewers scored three times in the bottom of the second.
Jake Irvin got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up six earned runs on nine hits. The Nationals also issued three walks and hit two batters. Juan Yepez was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI.
With a record of 44-53, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East and trail the Phillies by 18.5 games. So far, they have gone 16-15 in divisional matchups. Washington will be hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 20-24 at home compared to 24-29 on the road.
Washington was able to take their most recent series vs. the Brewers, winning two of three games. Over the last 10 games, they are just 3-7. As for their overall series record, the Nationals are 12-17-2 this season.
The Nationals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 54-43 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 30-23 against the run line. As the underdog, they are 46-34 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
The Washington Nationals are playing at home against the Cincinnati Reds today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Nationals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 46-47. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 7-7-2. So far this season, 17.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and the over has hit in their last two games.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Reds at home. Corbin has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 1-9 with a 5.57 ERA. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Corbin has allowed at least one homer in each start. The Nationals will be hoping he can turn things around today and pitch more like he did on June 24th, where he didn’t give up a homer and turned in seven scoreless innings of work.
So far this season, the Nationals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, they are hitting just .239, but they have been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 13th in the league in on-base percentage. Washington’s team OPS of .677 is 24th in the MLB.
CJ Abrams has been the Nationals’ top power threat this season, as his 15 homers are the most on the team and 14th in the league. Abrams is also leading the team with 48 RBIs. However, he has gone just 3/21 in his last five games. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .281 for the season and has gone 5/14 in his last four games.
Our predicted final score for this Reds and Nationals matchup is 6-4 in favor of the Nationals. Given that the Nationals are the underdogs at +105, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning 62% of the time.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Patrick Corbin is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Frankie Montas, who we have at six. However, Corbin is projected to pick up a win in just 13th best among starters, while Montas is at eighth.
Offensively, the Nationals have the best projected team batting average in the league today and are also projected to finish with the most home runs. As for the Reds, they are projected to finish with the seventh-fewest hits in the league.
Our recommended bet is to take the Nationals on the money line at +105.
Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Tips
- We like the Nationals on the moneyline (+105)
- The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 10 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Hamstring |
| Trevor Williams | Out | Hip Flexor |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
Cincinnati Reds Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Luke Maile | Out | Back |
| Emilio Pagán | Out | Lat |
| TJ Friedl | Out | Hamstring |
| Nick Martini | Out | Thumb |
| Stuart Fairchild | Out | Spine |
| Ian Gibaut | Out | Forearm |
| Matt McLain | Out | Shoulder |
| Graham Ashcraft | Out | Elbow |
| Brandon Williamson | Out | Shoulder |
| Tejay Antone | Out | Elbow |
| Carson Spiers | Out | Shoulder |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out | Wrist |
