Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Orioles head into Wednesday night’s interleague matchup vs. the Nationals looking to move to 24-12, while the Nationals are looking to move above .500 for the season, as they are currently 18-17. This one is set to get started at 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, where the forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s.
Wednesday’s money line odds are at -172 for the Orioles and +144 for the Nationals. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Kyle Bradish for the Orioles vs. Mitchell Parker for the Nationals.
Check out BetCoco for Washington Nationals – Baltimore Orioles odds
Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- 4-1 is the record of Orioles in their last five road games. They have also gone 2-3 vs. the runline.
- On the opposing side, the Nationals have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Looking back on their last ten games as the favorite, the Orioles are 5-5 straight-up and 3-7 vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.
It was all Washington in the last game of this series, as the Nationals took down the Orioles by a score of 3-0. The Nationals offense only had two more hits than the Orioles and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +184 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Trevor Williams for the Nationals and Corbin Burnes for the Orioles. Williams only went five innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run. On the other side, Burnes was tagged for three homers and took the loss.
Washington’s two homers came from Jesse Winker and Joey Meneses. Winker, Meneses, and Juan Soto each had two hits for the Nationals’ offense.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
The Orioles are 23-12 overall and lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. So far, they have gone 6-1 in divisional games. Baltimore has gone 12-7 at home compared to an 11-5 mark on the road.
So far, the Orioles have been really good as the underdog, going 7-1, and they are 5-5 as the road favorite. Baltimore has an overall series record of 8-3 and has won two straight series. Their road series winning streak is up to four straight series.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. Their run line record is 21-14, and they are 11-8 against the run line at home. The Orioles are 10-6 against the run line on the road, and they have been favored in 27 of their 37 games.
The Orioles have played 32 games this season, with 22 of them having over/under lines set at 8.5 or lower. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 17-15. In the 10 games with over/under lines set at 9 or higher, the over/under record is 3-5-1.
Kyle Bradish and the Orioles are on the road to take on the Nationals. Bradish is coming off a start in which he went 4 2/3 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. He struck out 5 batters and did not allow a home run. That start came at home against the Yankees.
Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 11/33 (.333) over his last eight games with one home run and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .322 with five homers and 22 RBIs, which is 3rd on the team. Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Henderson’s 10 homers is 2nd in the league, and Westburg is 6th in the league with six homers.
As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are 2nd in the league in isolated power. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in runs scored and have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Baltimore also has the league’s 3rd best OPS and are 2nd in slugging.
Washington is hosting the Orioles today with an overall record of 18-17, and they have won two straight games. The Nationals are 3rd in the NL East, seven games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 5-2 in divisional matchups.
The Nationals have won two straight at home, and they are 7-9 at home this year. On the road, Washington has gone 11-8 this season. As the underdog, the Nationals are 16-16 this year and 2-1 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 5-6, and they are coming off a series loss to the Yankees.
The Nationals have been a profitable run line team this season, going 22-13 overall. They are 8-8 against the run line at home, but 14-5 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-1 as the favorite. They have an average run differential of -0.2 runs per game this season.
The Washington Nationals have had a combined run average of 8.5 runs per game this season, but their over/under record is just 16-18. Their average over/under line is 9 runs, but their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 0-2. Overall, 71.4% of their games have had over/under lines set below 9 runs, and their games have gone over the total just 22.9% of the time.
Mitchell Parker is getting the start for the Nationals today, and he will be facing the Orioles. Parker has been solid in his first two starts, picking up a win in his first outing against the Astros and then taking a no-decision against the Marlins. In his last start, Parker went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 3 earned runs.
Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .232 and have a collective on-base percentage of .313. The Nationals have been a bit below average in terms of power, as they are 15th in home runs and have a team ISO of .135.
Luis Garcia Jr. has been the Nationals’ top hitter so far this season, batting .330 with three homers. He has been even better of late, going 9/18 in his last six games with two homers. CJ Abrams and Nick Senzel are the team’s top two home run hitters, but Abrams has a much better batting average (.275) compared to Senzel’s mark of just .231.
Our prediction for today’s Orioles vs. Nationals game is to take the Nationals on the money line at +144. We actually have the Nationals winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Kyle Bradish finishing with five strikeouts, which is 9th worst among today’s starters. As for Mitchell Parker, we have him finishing with five K’s, which is 22nd.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- We like the Nationals on the moneyline (+144)
- On the run line we like Nationals (+1.5)
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Shoulder |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays | Out | Calf |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
