Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Preview
At 6:45 PM from Nationals Park in Washington, we have an interleague matchup between the Orioles and Nationals. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Orioles have a record of 23-11, while the Nationals are 17-17. Corbin Burnes is starting for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Trevor Williams for the Nationals.
Baltimore is the favorite on the money line at -208, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs. Looking at the forecast, there does appear to be a chance of rain in Washington, with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s.
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Washington Nationals Trends and Key Stats
- The Orioles are 4-1 in their five most recent road games, including a 2-3 runline record.
- On the opposing side, the Nationals have a 3-2 (SU) record, along with a 3-2 record in their last five home contests.
- Over their last ten games, the Orioles have a 6-4 straight-up record when playing as the favorite, along with a 4-6 record vs. the runline.
- As the underdog, the Nationals have gone 3-7 vs. the runline and 7-3 straight-up.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Heading into their last game vs. the Reds, the Orioles closed out the series with an impressive 11-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +110 on the money line. It was a big three-run 1st inning that really got the Orioles going, and they added another three runs in the 3rd to put things out of reach. Baltimore’s offense scored a total of 11 runs on 11 hits and only hit three home runs.
Dean Kremer put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six. Anthony Santander was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and five RBIs.
With an overall record of 23-11, the Orioles lead the AL East by one game over the Yankees. The Orioles will be on the road today vs. the Nationals, and they have won four straight games, including closing out their series vs. the Reds with a win. This year, they are 6-1 in divisional games.
At home, the Orioles have gone 12-7 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 11-4. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 12-5 this year. As the favorite, the Orioles are 16-10, and they have gone 7-1 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 8-3, and they have won two straight series and four straight series on the road.
When the Orioles are on the road, they are a good bet to cover the run line, as they are 21-13 overall. They are 10-5 against the run line on the road and have covered in three straight games. Their average run differential on the road is +2.0 runs per game, and they have a run line record of 14-12 when favored.
Through 31 games, the Orioles have had 11 games with over/under lines set at 8.5, going 8-6 in those games. Overall, the O/U record for Baltimore is 17-14, with the combined run average in their games being 9.0. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs.
Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Nationals on the road. He has made seven starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 2.61. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently .92, and opponents are batting .178 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Burnes took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of four straight quality starts. So far, he has four quality starts and is averaging 8.93 strikeouts per nine innings.
The Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s top isolated power number and are 2nd in team slugging percentage and OPS. Baltimore’s offense has been led by Gunnar Henderson, who is 2nd in the league with 10 homers and has a team-best 24 RBIs.
Adley Rutschman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .324 with five homers. Cedric Mullins, Jordan Westburg, and Colton Cowser have also gone deep six times this season.
Led by a big game by Luis Garcia at the plate, the Nationals are coming off a big 11-8 win over the Blue Jays to close out their series. Garcia went 4/4 with four RBIs and a homer. The Nationals really broke things open with an eight-run 2nd inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Nationals were the slight underdog at -116.
MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up six runs on six hits. The Nationals really needed Hunter Harvey to pick up the win out of thejson, and he delivered, going three innings out of the bullpen and not giving up a run.
Washington is hosting the Orioles today with an overall record of 17-17, and they are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Nationals are 5-2 in divisional games this year. Washington closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with two straight wins, taking the series 2-1.
At home, the Nationals are just 6-9 this year compared to an 11-8 mark on the road. So far, they have been good as the underdog, going 15-16, and they are 2-1 when favored. Heading into today’s game, the Nationals have an overall series record of 5-6 and have yet to be swept in a series this year. Their overall record in their last ten games is 7-3.
Washington has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 21-13 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 14-5, compared to just 7-8 at home. They have been an underdog in most of their games this season, going 19-12 on the run line in those games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.7.
The Washington Nationals have played 33 games this season, and 10 of them have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. In those games, the over has hit 7 times and the under has hit 3 times. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-17 overall. Their over streak is currently at 3 games.
Washington is starting Trevor Williams today, and he has made six starts this season. Williams has a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 2.27. So far, he has made one quality start and is coming off a game in which he didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he went five innings and got the win. Williams’ ERA for the season is 2.27, and he has a WHIP of 1.17. For the year, he has allowed just two home runs. Looking at his ERA, it is better on the road at 2.17 compared to 2.44 at home.
Washington’s offense has been led by the duo of CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. so far this season. Abrams is batting .283 with a team-high seven home runs, and Garcia Jr. has a team-best batting average of .337. Both players have also driven in 19 runs, which is 13th in the league. Garcia Jr. comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak, while Senzel and Abrams are on streaks of four and three games, respectively.
As a team, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game. Over his last nine games, Jacob Young has gone 11/30 for the Nationals.
With the Nationals at +173 to pick up the win, they are a great value pick on the money line. We actually have the Nationals winning this one 6-5, so there is also some value on the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is 11th among starters. As for Trevor Williams, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 16th among starters.
Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Tips
- We like the Nationals on the moneyline (+173)
- The Nationals are also our pick on the run line at +1.5
- Projecting a combined 11 runs, we like the over
Washington Nationals Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo | Out | Shoulder |
| Victor Robles | Out | Hamstring |
| Mason Thompson | Out | Elbow |
| Lane Thomas | Out | Knee |
| Josiah Gray | Out | Elbow/Forearm |
| Cade Cavalli | Out | Elbow |
| Robert Garcia | Out | Illness |
| Jose A. Ferrer | Out | Teres Major |
Baltimore Orioles Injury Report
| Player | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays | Out | Calf |
| Tyler Wells | Out | Elbow |
| Grayson Rodriguez | Out | Shoulder |
| Alexis Cruz | Out | Personal |
| Christopher Ramirez | Out | Personal |
| Isaiah Kearns | Out | Personal |
| Félix Bautista | Out | Elbow |
